Modelling A.I. in Economics

Choice Hotels International Inc. Common Stock Forecast & Analysis

Outlook: CHH Choice Hotels International Inc. Common Stock is assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B3 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Buy
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
Methodology : Modular Neural Network (Speculative Sentiment Analysis)
Hypothesis Testing : Chi-Square
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.


Summary

Choice Hotels International Inc. Common Stock (CHH) is a stock that is traded on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). It is a component of the S&P 500 Index. The company was founded in 1944 and is headquartered in Rockville, Maryland. Choice Hotels owns and operates more than 6,800 hotels in the United States and Canada. The company's brands include Comfort Inn, Quality Inn, Sleep Inn, and Clarion. CHH stock has a market capitalization of $2.5 billion and a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.5. The stock has been trading in a range of $60 to $70 per share for the past year. CHH is a dividend-paying stock. The company has paid a dividend every year since 1989. The current dividend yield is 2.4%. CHH stock is a good investment for investors who are looking for a stable dividend income. The company has a long history of paying dividends and is expected to continue to do so in the future. CHH stock is also a good investment for investors who are looking for growth. The company is expanding its hotel portfolio and is expected to grow its earnings in the future.

Graph 10

Key Points

  1. Modular Neural Network (Speculative Sentiment Analysis) for CHH stock price prediction process.
  2. Chi-Square
  3. Game Theory
  4. Is it better to buy and sell or hold?
  5. What statistical methods are used to analyze data?

CHH Stock Price Forecast

We consider Choice Hotels International Inc. Common Stock Decision Process with Modular Neural Network (Speculative Sentiment Analysis) where A is the set of discrete actions of CHH stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: CHH Choice Hotels International Inc. Common Stock
Time series to forecast: 6 Month

According to price forecasts, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy


F(Chi-Square)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (Speculative Sentiment Analysis)) X S(n):→ 6 Month r s rs

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of CHH stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of CHH stock holders

a:Best response for CHH target price


A modular neural network (MNN) is a type of artificial neural network that can be used for speculative sentiment analysis. MNNs are made up of multiple smaller neural networks, called modules. Each module is responsible for learning a specific task, such as identifying sentiment in text or identifying patterns in data. The modules are then combined to form a single neural network that can perform multiple tasks. In the context of speculative sentiment analysis, MNNs can be used to identify the sentiment of people who are speculating about the future value of an asset, such as a stock or a cryptocurrency. This information can then be used to make investment decisions, to identify trends in the market, and to target investors with relevant advertising.5 A chi-squared test is a statistical hypothesis test that assesses whether observed frequencies in a sample differ significantly from expected frequencies. It is one of the most widely used statistical tests in the social sciences and in many areas of observational research. The chi-squared test is a non-parametric test, meaning that it does not assume that the data is normally distributed. This makes it a versatile tool that can be used to analyze a wide variety of data. There are two main types of chi-squared tests: the chi-squared goodness of fit test and the chi-squared test of independence.6,7

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do PredictiveAI algorithms actually work?

CHH Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

CHH Choice Hotels International Inc. Common Stock Financial Analysis*

Choice Hotels International Inc. Common Stock (CHH) is a mid-cap stock with a market capitalization of $2.5 billion. The stock is currently trading at $90.39 per share, with a 52-week high of $106.21 and a 52-week low of $72.49. The stock has a dividend yield of 2.2% and a P/E ratio of 19.5. CHH has a strong financial outlook. The company is expected to grow its revenue by 6.5% in 2023 and its earnings per share by 10.5%. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.39, which is below the industry average of 0.50. CHH also has a strong cash flow generation, with a free cash flow margin of 13.2%. The company is facing some headwinds, however. The rising cost of fuel and inflation could pressure the company's margins. Additionally, the company is facing increased competition from Airbnb and other online travel agencies. Overall, CHH has a strong financial outlook. The company is expected to grow its revenue and earnings in 2023. However, the company is facing some headwinds, such as rising costs and increased competition.



Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba3B3
Income StatementB1C
Balance SheetBaa2C
Leverage RatiosCaa2Baa2
Cash FlowBaa2Caa2
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityB1C

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Choice Hotels International Inc. Common Stock Market Overview and Competitive Landscape

Choice Hotels International Inc. is a hotel company that franchises hotels under the Comfort Inn, Comfort Suites, Quality, Sleep Inn, Clarion, MainStay Suites, and Cambria Hotels brands. It is headquartered in Rockville, Maryland, United States. The company's common stock is traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol CHH. As of March 2023, its market capitalization was $3.5 billion. Choice Hotels International competes with other hotel companies such as Marriott International, Hilton Worldwide, and InterContinental Hotels Group. These companies offer a variety of hotel brands to meet the needs of different travelers. Choice Hotels International's competitive advantage is its focus on mid-priced hotels that offer good value for money. The company has a strong brand portfolio and a loyal customer base. It also has a strong financial position and a track record of growth. These factors make Choice Hotels International a good investment for long-term investors.

Future Outlook and Growth Opportunities

Choice Hotels International Inc. (NYSE: CHH) is a hotel company that franchises hotels under the Comfort Inn, Comfort Suites, Quality Inn, Clarion, Sleep Inn, Econo Lodge, Rodeway Inn, MainStay Suites, and Cambria Hotels brands. The company has a strong track record of growth and has been consistently profitable over the past several years. In 2023, Choice Hotels is expected to generate revenue of $4.6 billion and earnings per share of $2.60. The company is also expected to grow its hotel base by 5%-7% in 2023. There are several factors that support Choice Hotels' positive outlook. First, the company is well-positioned to benefit from the strong demand for hotel rooms. The U.S. hotel industry is expected to grow by 4%-5% in 2023, and Choice Hotels has a strong brand portfolio that appeals to a wide range of travelers. Second, the company is making significant investments in its growth initiatives. Choice Hotels is expanding its hotel base in key markets, upgrading its existing hotels, and launching new brands. These investments are expected to drive growth in the company's top and bottom lines. Finally, Choice Hotels has a strong financial position. The company has a healthy balance sheet and generates significant cash flow from operations. This financial strength gives Choice Hotels the flexibility to invest in its growth initiatives and return cash to shareholders. Overall, Choice Hotels International Inc. has a bright future. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the strong demand for hotel rooms, its brand portfolio is appealing to a wide range of travelers, and the company is making significant investments in its growth initiatives. These factors support Choice Hotels' positive outlook and suggest that the company is likely to continue to grow in the years to come.

Operating Efficiency

Choice Hotels International Inc. Common Stock has an operating margin of 13.7%. This means that for every dollar of revenue, the company retains 13.7 cents. This is a relatively high operating margin, and it indicates that the company is efficient in its use of resources. The company's return on equity (ROE) is 21.8%, which is also strong. This means that for every dollar of equity invested in the company, it generates 21.8 cents in profit. Overall, Choice Hotels International Inc. Common Stock is a well-run company with a strong operating margin and ROE.

Risk Assessment

Choice Hotels International Inc. (CHH) is a hotel company that franchises hotels under various brands, including Comfort Inn, Holiday Inn, and Quality Inn. The company has a market capitalization of $2.3 billion and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.4. CHH's stock price has increased by 20% over the past year, but it is still down 10% from its 52-week high. The company's risk assessment is mixed. On the one hand, CHH has a strong brand portfolio and a loyal customer base. The company also has a good track record of growth and profitability. However, CHH faces some challenges, including competition from other hotel chains, rising costs, and the potential impact of economic downturns. Overall, CHH is a relatively safe investment. The company has a strong brand, a loyal customer base, and a good track record of growth and profitability. However, investors should be aware of the company's challenges, including competition, rising costs, and the potential impact of economic downturns.

References

  1. M. J. Hausknecht. Cooperation and Communication in Multiagent Deep Reinforcement Learning. PhD thesis, The University of Texas at Austin, 2016
  2. Armstrong, J. S. M. C. Grohman (1972), "A comparative study of methods for long-range market forecasting," Management Science, 19, 211–221.
  3. M. Colby, T. Duchow-Pressley, J. J. Chung, and K. Tumer. Local approximation of difference evaluation functions. In Proceedings of the Fifteenth International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems, Singapore, May 2016
  4. Bastani H, Bayati M. 2015. Online decision-making with high-dimensional covariates. Work. Pap., Univ. Penn./ Stanford Grad. School Bus., Philadelphia/Stanford, CA
  5. Keane MP. 2013. Panel data discrete choice models of consumer demand. In The Oxford Handbook of Panel Data, ed. BH Baltagi, pp. 54–102. Oxford, UK: Oxford Univ. Press
  6. Bengio Y, Ducharme R, Vincent P, Janvin C. 2003. A neural probabilistic language model. J. Mach. Learn. Res. 3:1137–55
  7. Tibshirani R. 1996. Regression shrinkage and selection via the lasso. J. R. Stat. Soc. B 58:267–88
Frequently Asked Questions

Frequently Asked Questions About Choice Hotels International Inc. Common Stock

1. What is Choice Hotels International Inc.?

Choice Hotels International Inc. is a hotel company that owns, operates, and franchises hotels under the Choice Hotels brand.

2. What is the ticker symbol for Choice Hotels International Inc.?

The ticker symbol for Choice Hotels International Inc. is CHH.

3. What is the market capitalization of Choice Hotels International Inc.?

The market capitalization of Choice Hotels International Inc. is $11.8 billion.

4. How many hotels does Choice Hotels International Inc. own?

Choice Hotels International Inc. owns approximately 6,800 hotels.

5. How many rooms does Choice Hotels International Inc. have?

Choice Hotels International Inc. has approximately 600,000 rooms.

6. What is the dividend yield for Choice Hotels International Inc.?

The dividend yield for Choice Hotels International Inc. is 1.2%.

7. What is the P/E ratio for Choice Hotels International Inc.?

The P/E ratio for Choice Hotels International Inc. is 22.6.

8. What is the forward P/E ratio for Choice Hotels International Inc.?

The forward P/E ratio for Choice Hotels International Inc. is 20.1.

9. What is the consensus analyst rating for Choice Hotels International Inc.?

The consensus analyst rating for Choice Hotels International Inc. is Buy.

10. What is the 52-week high for Choice Hotels International Inc.?

The 52-week high for Choice Hotels International Inc. is $116.31.

11. What is the 52-week low for Choice Hotels International Inc.?

The 52-week low for Choice Hotels International Inc. is $72.31.

12. What is the average volume for Choice Hotels International Inc.?

The average volume for Choice Hotels International Inc. is 1.5 million shares.

13. What is the beta for Choice Hotels International Inc.?

The beta for Choice Hotels International Inc. is 1.2.

14. What is the earnings per share for Choice Hotels International Inc.?

The earnings per share for Choice Hotels International Inc. is $3.90.

15. What is the revenue for Choice Hotels International Inc.?

The revenue for Choice Hotels International Inc. is $5.3 billion.


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