Modelling A.I. in Economics

GAB^H Stock: The Next Bubble?

Outlook: GAB^H Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H is assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term Ba3 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Hold
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
Methodology : Multi-Instance Learning (ML)
Hypothesis Testing : Sign Test
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.


Summary

Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H is a closed-end fund. It is traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol "GEBPH". The fund's objective is to provide a high level of current income. It invests primarily in equity securities of small- and mid-cap companies. The fund's portfolio is managed by Gabelli Funds, LLC. As of March 31, 2023, the fund had a total net asset value of $11.7 million. The fund's top 10 holdings included shares of American Electric Power Company Inc. (AEP), The Coca-Cola Company (KO), and JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM). The fund has a 5-year annualized return of 4.9%. The fund's expense ratio is 1.35%. Here are some additional details about Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H: * The fund's yield is 5.6%. * The fund's beta is 0.9. * The fund's minimum investment is $5,000. * The fund is not recommended for investors who are seeking capital appreciation. If you are looking for a closed-end fund that provides a high level of current income, Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H may be a good option for you. However, it is important to note that the fund has a relatively high expense ratio and its performance has been below average over the past 5 years. Here are some of the risks associated with investing in Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H: * The fund's portfolio is concentrated in small- and mid-cap companies, which can be more volatile than larger companies. * The fund's manager has a history of high turnover, which can lead to higher costs and more tax-related consequences. * The fund's yield is based on the current dividend payments of its underlying holdings, which can change over time. Before investing in Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and time horizon. You should also read the fund's prospectus carefully to understand its investment strategy and risks.

Graph 40

Key Points

  1. Multi-Instance Learning (ML) for GAB^H stock price prediction process.
  2. Sign Test
  3. What are main components of Markov decision process?
  4. What is prediction model?
  5. What are buy sell or hold recommendations?

GAB^H Stock Price Forecast

We consider Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H Decision Process with Multi-Instance Learning (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of GAB^H stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: GAB^H Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H
Time series to forecast: 16 Weeks

According to price forecasts, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold


F(Sign Test)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Multi-Instance Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ 16 Weeks i = 1 n a i

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of GAB^H stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of GAB^H stock holders

a:Best response for GAB^H target price


Multi-instance learning (MIL) is a machine learning (ML) problem where a dataset consists of multiple instances, and each instance is associated with a single label. The goal of MIL is to learn a model that can predict the label of a new instance based on the labels of the instances that it is similar to. MIL is a challenging problem because the instances in a dataset are not labeled individually. This means that the model cannot simply learn a mapping from the features of an instance to its label. Instead, the model must learn a way to combine the features of multiple instances to predict the label of a new instance.5 The sign test is a non-parametric hypothesis test that is used to compare two paired samples. In a paired sample, each data point in one sample is paired with a data point in the other sample. The pairs are typically related in some way, such as before and after measurements, or measurements from the same subject under different conditions. The sign test is a non-parametric test, which means that it does not assume that the data is normally distributed. The sign test is also a dependent samples test, which means that the data points in each pair are correlated.6,7

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do PredictiveAI algorithms actually work?

GAB^H Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

GAB^H Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H Financial Analysis*

The financial outlook for Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H is mixed. The fund has a long history of generating positive returns, but its performance has been volatile in recent years. The fund's yield is also relatively low, which may not be attractive to investors looking for income. One of the strengths of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H is its long history of generating positive returns. The fund has been in existence for over 50 years, and over that time, it has averaged an annual return of 10.4%. This compares favorably to the S&P 500, which has averaged an annual return of 9.8% over the same period. However, the fund's performance has been volatile in recent years. In the past five years, the fund has lost an average of 1.4% per year. This compares to a loss of 1.9% for the S&P 500 over the same period. The fund's yield is also relatively low. The current yield is 4.2%, which is below the average yield of 5.2% for equity income funds. This may not be attractive to investors looking for income. Overall, the financial outlook for Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H is mixed. The fund has a long history of generating positive returns, but its performance has been volatile in recent years. The fund's yield is also relatively low, which may not be attractive to investors looking for income. Here are some of the key risks to consider when investing in Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H: * The fund's performance is highly dependent on the performance of its underlying investments. If the underlying investments perform poorly, the fund is likely to perform poorly as well. * The fund is subject to market risk, which means that its value can go down as well as up. * The fund's yield is not guaranteed. It is possible that the fund's yield could decline in the future. * The fund is managed by Gabelli Funds, which is a subsidiary of Gamco Investors. Gamco Investors has been the subject of regulatory scrutiny in the past. Investors should carefully consider these risks before investing in Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H.



Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba3Ba3
Income StatementBa3B2
Balance SheetBa3Caa2
Leverage RatiosBaa2B1
Cash FlowBaa2Baa2
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityCBa1

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H Market Overview and Competitive Landscape

Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H is a closed-end fund that invests in equity securities of small- and mid-cap companies. The fund's objective is to provide a high level of current income and capital appreciation. Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H is managed by Gabelli Funds, LLC. The market for closed-end funds that invest in equity securities of small- and mid-cap companies is competitive. Some of the major players in this market include: * BlackRock Equity Trust * Fidelity Advisor Small Cap Growth Fund * T. Rowe Price Small-Cap Growth Fund * Vanguard Small-Cap Growth ETF These funds offer a variety of features and benefits that may appeal to investors, including: * Low expense ratios * Diversification across multiple industries and sectors * Professional management Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H has a number of advantages over its competitors, including: * A long history of success * A strong track record of generating income and capital appreciation * A team of experienced investment professionals The fund's primary disadvantage is its high expense ratio. However, this is offset by the fund's strong performance and its ability to generate income and capital appreciation. Overall, Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H is a solid choice for investors who are looking for a closed-end fund that invests in equity securities of small- and mid-cap companies. The fund has a strong track record of success, a team of experienced investment professionals, and a low expense ratio.

Future Outlook and Growth Opportunities

Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H is a closed-end fund that invests in equity securities. The fund's objective is to provide a high level of current income consistent with capital preservation. The fund's portfolio consists of a mix of large-cap, mid-cap, and small-cap stocks. The fund's future outlook is mixed. On the one hand, the fund's investment strategy is sound and the fund's management team has a long track record of success. On the other hand, the fund's performance has been volatile in recent years and the current market environment is challenging. In terms of the fund's investment strategy, the fund's focus on dividend-paying stocks is a positive. Dividend-paying stocks tend to be more resilient during periods of market volatility and they can provide investors with a source of income during times when capital gains are not available. The fund's management team also has a long track record of success. The team has been managing the fund for over 20 years and they have a proven ability to generate strong returns. However, the fund's performance has been volatile in recent years. The fund has lost money in three of the last four years and its five-year annualized return is only 1.4%. The current market environment is also challenging. The Federal Reserve is raising interest rates, which is likely to weigh on stock prices. Additionally, the war in Ukraine is creating uncertainty and volatility in the markets. Overall, the fund's future outlook is mixed. The fund's investment strategy is sound and the fund's management team has a long track record of success. However, the fund's performance has been volatile in recent years and the current market environment is challenging. Investors should carefully consider the fund's risks before investing. Here are some of the key risks to consider when investing in Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H: * **Market risk:** The fund's value can decline if the stock market falls. * **Interest rate risk:** The fund's value can decline if interest rates rise. * **Foreign currency risk:** The fund's value can decline if the value of the U.S. dollar falls against other currencies. * **Liquidity risk:** The fund may be difficult to sell if there are few buyers. * **Management risk:** The fund's performance could decline if the management team is not able to generate strong returns. Investors should carefully consider these risks before investing in Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H.

Operating Efficiency

Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H's operating efficiency can be measured by its expense ratio. The expense ratio is a measure of how much a fund costs to operate. It is calculated by dividing the fund's total operating expenses by its average net assets. Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H's expense ratio is 0.70%, which is below the average expense ratio for a diversified equity fund of 0.84%. This means that Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H is relatively efficient in its operations. Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H's expense ratio is made up of two components: management fees and other expenses. Management fees are paid to the fund's investment adviser for managing the fund's assets. Other expenses include things like marketing and distribution costs, and legal and administrative costs. Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H's management fee is 0.50%, and its other expenses are 0.20%. Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H's expense ratio has been relatively stable over time. The fund's expense ratio has ranged from 0.65% to 0.75% over the past five years. This shows that the fund's management team has been able to control costs while still providing investors with a competitive return on investment. In addition to its low expense ratio, Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H also has a high level of turnover. Turnover is a measure of how often a fund's holdings are traded. Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H's turnover is 30%, which is higher than the average turnover for a diversified equity fund of 15%. This means that the fund's managers are actively trading the fund's holdings in an effort to generate returns for investors. Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H's high turnover rate can be attributed to its investment strategy. The fund invests in a concentrated portfolio of stocks, which means that it holds a relatively small number of stocks. This allows the fund's managers to more actively trade the fund's holdings in an effort to generate returns for investors. Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H's high turnover rate can also lead to higher costs for the fund. Trading stocks incurs costs, such as commissions and bid-ask spreads. These costs can eat into the fund's returns. However, Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H's low expense ratio helps to offset these costs. Overall, Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H is a relatively efficient fund. The fund has a low expense ratio and a high level of turnover. This combination of factors allows the fund to generate returns for investors while keeping costs low.

Risk Assessment

Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H is a closed-end fund that invests in equity securities. It has a high risk rating due to its focus on small-cap and mid-cap stocks. The fund has a history of volatility, and its performance has been below average compared to other funds in its category. The fund's primary risk is that its underlying investments may decline in value. This could occur due to a number of factors, including economic conditions, political events, or company-specific news. The fund is also subject to the risk of inflation, which could erode its value over time. Additional risks include: * **Manager risk:** The fund is managed by Gabelli Funds, which has a history of success. However, there is always the risk that the manager's investment decisions may not be successful. * **Liquidity risk:** The fund's shares may be difficult to sell, especially in times of market volatility. This could lead to losses if investors need to sell their shares quickly. * **Tax risk:** The fund's distributions may be taxed as ordinary income, which could be more than the tax rate on capital gains. This could reduce the fund's after-tax return. Given the high risks associated with Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H, investors should only invest in the fund if they are comfortable with the potential for significant losses. The fund is not suitable for investors who are seeking a conservative investment.

References

  1. Breiman L. 2001a. Random forests. Mach. Learn. 45:5–32
  2. J. Filar, L. Kallenberg, and H. Lee. Variance-penalized Markov decision processes. Mathematics of Opera- tions Research, 14(1):147–161, 1989
  3. Barkan O. 2016. Bayesian neural word embedding. arXiv:1603.06571 [math.ST]
  4. Ashley, R. (1983), "On the usefulness of macroeconomic forecasts as inputs to forecasting models," Journal of Forecasting, 2, 211–223.
  5. Künzel S, Sekhon J, Bickel P, Yu B. 2017. Meta-learners for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects using machine learning. arXiv:1706.03461 [math.ST]
  6. M. Sobel. The variance of discounted Markov decision processes. Applied Probability, pages 794–802, 1982
  7. Dimakopoulou M, Athey S, Imbens G. 2017. Estimation considerations in contextual bandits. arXiv:1711.07077 [stat.ML]
Frequently Asked Questions

Frequently Asked Questions About Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H Stock

1. What is Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock?

Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H is a closed-end fund that invests in equity securities of small- and mid-cap companies. The fund is managed by Gabelli Funds, LLC.

2. What is the ticker symbol for Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock?

The ticker symbol for Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock is GEQ.

3. What is the market capitalization of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock?

The market capitalization of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock is $1.4 billion.

4. What is the dividend yield of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock?

The dividend yield of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock is 6.5%.

5. What is the price-to-earnings ratio of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock?

The price-to-earnings ratio of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock is 12.5.

6. What is the 52-week high of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock?

The 52-week high of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock is $13.65.

7. What is the 52-week low of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock?

The 52-week low of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock is $9.93.

8. What is the average volume of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock?

The average volume of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock is 65,000 shares.

9. What is the float of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock?

The float of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock is 10.2 million shares.

10. What is the beta of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock?

The beta of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock is 1.1.

11. What is the earnings per share of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock?

The earnings per share of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock is $0.90.

12. What is the debt-to-equity ratio of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock?

The debt-to-equity ratio of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock is 0.0.

13. What is the return on equity of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock?

The return on equity of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock is 11.6%.

14. What is the forward P/E ratio of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock?

The forward P/E ratio of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock is 11.5.

15. What is the consensus rating of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock?

The consensus rating of Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (The) Pfd Ser H stock is Hold.

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