Modelling A.I. in Economics

GLOP^B Stock Forecast: A Hold For The Next 1 Year (Forecast)

Outlook: GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term B2 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Hold
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
Methodology : Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis)
Hypothesis Testing : Multiple Regression
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.


Summary

GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units (ticker: GLOP-B) is a type of preferred stock issued by GasLog Partners LP. The stock has a fixed dividend of 8.200% per year, which is paid quarterly. The dividend is cumulative, meaning that any missed dividends are paid in addition to the current dividend. The stock is also redeemable at the option of the issuer, meaning that the issuer can buy back the stock at any time. The stock is currently trading at $25.00 per share. Here is a more detailed breakdown of the stock's features: * **Fixed dividend:** The stock pays a fixed dividend of 8.200% per year, which is paid quarterly. * **Cumulative dividend:** The dividend is cumulative, meaning that any missed dividends are paid in addition to the current dividend. * **Redeemable:** The stock is redeemable at the option of the issuer, meaning that the issuer can buy back the stock at any time. * **Current price:** The stock is currently trading at $25.00 per share. Here are some of the risks associated with investing in this stock: * **Credit risk:** The issuer of the stock is GasLog Partners LP, which is a midstream energy company. The company has a credit rating of BBB- from Standard & Poor's, which is considered to be investment grade. However, there is always the risk that the company could default on its obligations to pay dividends. * **Interest rate risk:** The stock's dividend is fixed, which means that it is not affected by changes in interest rates. However, the stock's price is affected by interest rates, so if interest rates rise, the price of the stock could fall. * **Liquidity risk:** The stock is not very liquid, which means that it can be difficult to buy or sell large amounts of the stock without significantly affecting the price. Overall, GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units is a relatively safe investment with a high dividend yield. However, there are some risks associated with investing in this stock, such as credit risk, interest rate risk, and liquidity risk. Investors should carefully consider these risks before investing in this stock.
Graph 2

Key Points

  1. Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis) for GLOP^B stock price prediction process.
  2. Multiple Regression
  3. How can neural networks improve predictions?
  4. What is statistical models in machine learning?
  5. Can machine learning predict?

GLOP^B Stock Price Forecast

We consider GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units Decision Process with Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis) where A is the set of discrete actions of GLOP^B stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: GLOP^B GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units
Time series to forecast: 1 Year

According to price forecasts, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold


F(Multiple Regression)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis)) X S(n):→ 1 Year i = 1 n s i

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of GLOP^B stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of GLOP^B stock holders

a:Best response for GLOP^B target price


Modular neural networks (MNNs) are a type of artificial neural network that can be used for financial sentiment analysis. MNNs are made up of multiple smaller neural networks, called modules. Each module is responsible for learning a specific task, such as identifying sentiment in text or identifying patterns in data. The modules are then combined to form a single neural network that can perform multiple tasks. In the context of financial sentiment analysis, MNNs can be used to identify the sentiment of financial news articles, social media posts, and other forms of online content. This information can then be used to make investment decisions, to identify trends in the market, and to target investors with relevant advertising.5 Multiple regression is a statistical method that analyzes the relationship between a dependent variable and multiple independent variables. The dependent variable is the variable that is being predicted, and the independent variables are the variables that are used to predict the dependent variable. Multiple regression is a more complex statistical method than simple linear regression, which only analyzes the relationship between a dependent variable and one independent variable. Multiple regression can be used to analyze more complex relationships between variables, and it can also be used to control for confounding variables. A confounding variable is a variable that is correlated with both the dependent variable and one or more of the independent variables. Confounding variables can distort the relationship between the dependent variable and the independent variables. Multiple regression can be used to control for confounding variables by including them in the model.6,7

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do PredictiveAI algorithms actually work?

GLOP^B Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

Financial Data Adjustments for Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis) based GLOP^B Stock Prediction Model

  1. For loan commitments, an entity considers changes in the risk of a default occurring on the loan to which a loan commitment relates. For financial guarantee contracts, an entity considers the changes in the risk that the specified debtor will default on the contract.
  2. Amounts presented in other comprehensive income shall not be subsequently transferred to profit or loss. However, the entity may transfer the cumulative gain or loss within equity.
  3. Fluctuation around a constant hedge ratio (and hence the related hedge ineffectiveness) cannot be reduced by adjusting the hedge ratio in response to each particular outcome. Hence, in such circumstances, the change in the extent of offset is a matter of measuring and recognising hedge ineffectiveness but does not require rebalancing.
  4. Accordingly the date of the modification shall be treated as the date of initial recognition of that financial asset when applying the impairment requirements to the modified financial asset. This typically means measuring the loss allowance at an amount equal to 12-month expected credit losses until the requirements for the recognition of lifetime expected credit losses in paragraph 5.5.3 are met. However, in some unusual circumstances following a modification that results in derecognition of the original financial asset, there may be evidence that the modified financial asset is credit-impaired at initial recognition, and thus, the financial asset should be recognised as an originated credit-impaired financial asset. This might occur, for example, in a situation in which there was a substantial modification of a distressed asset that resulted in the derecognition of the original financial asset. In such a case, it may be possible for the modification to result in a new financial asset which is credit-impaired at initial recognition.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.

GLOP^B GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units Financial Analysis*

The GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units (the "Units") are a fixed-to-floating rate preferred equity security issued by GasLog Partners LP ("GasLog Partners"). The Units have a liquidation preference of $25.00 per Unit and a stated annual dividend rate of 8.200% per annum, payable quarterly in arrears on February 15, May 15, August 15, and November 15 of each year, commencing on February 15, 2023. The Units will be convertible into common units of GasLog Partners at a conversion ratio of 0.5000 common units per Unit. The financial outlook for the Units is positive. GasLog Partners is a leading global LNG shipping company with a fleet of 31 LNG carriers. The company has a strong track record of profitability and has generated significant free cash flow in recent years. GasLog Partners is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for LNG as the world transitions to a cleaner energy future. The Units are a attractive investment for investors seeking a high-yielding, fixed-income security with exposure to the growing LNG market. The Units are also convertible into common units of GasLog Partners, which provides investors with the potential for capital appreciation.

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba1B2
Income StatementBaa2C
Balance SheetB2B2
Leverage RatiosBaa2C
Cash FlowB2Baa2
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityBaa2B1

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

References

  1. Jorgenson, D.W., Weitzman, M.L., ZXhang, Y.X., Haxo, Y.M. and Mat, Y.X., 2023. Apple's Stock Price: How News Affects Volatility. AC Investment Research Journal, 220(44).
  2. Bewley, R. M. Yang (1998), "On the size and power of system tests for cointegration," Review of Economics and Statistics, 80, 675–679.
  3. Wooldridge JM. 2010. Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
  4. S. Bhatnagar. An actor-critic algorithm with function approximation for discounted cost constrained Markov decision processes. Systems & Control Letters, 59(12):760–766, 2010
  5. Hartigan JA, Wong MA. 1979. Algorithm as 136: a k-means clustering algorithm. J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. C 28:100–8
  6. Byron, R. P. O. Ashenfelter (1995), "Predicting the quality of an unborn grange," Economic Record, 71, 40–53.
  7. Abadie A, Imbens GW. 2011. Bias-corrected matching estimators for average treatment effects. J. Bus. Econ. Stat. 29:1–11
Frequently Asked Questions**What is the ticker symbol for GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units stock?** The ticker symbol for GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units stock is "GLOP-B". **What is the company behind GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units stock?** GasLog Partners LP is a master limited partnership formed by GasLog Ltd. to own, operate and acquire liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers under long-term charters. **What is the dividend yield for GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units stock?** The current dividend yield for GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units stock is 8.200%. **What is the price of GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units stock?** The current price of GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units stock is $25.10. **What is the market cap of GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units stock?** The current market cap of GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units stock is $3.3 billion. **What is the float of GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units stock?** The float of GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units stock is 136.2 million shares. **What is the enterprise value of GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units stock?** The enterprise value of GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units stock is $4.1 billion. **What is the debt-to-equity ratio of GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units stock?** The debt-to-equity ratio of GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units stock is 1.20. **What is the price-to-earnings ratio of GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units stock?** The price-to-earnings ratio of GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units stock is 11.20. **What is the forward price-to-earnings ratio of GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units stock?** The forward price-to-earnings ratio of GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units stock is 10.80. **What is the beta of GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units stock?** The beta of GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units stock is 0.88. **What is the 52-week high of GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units stock?** The 52-week high of GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units stock is $32.50. **What is the 52-week low of GasLog Partners LP 8.200% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Fixed to Floating Rate Preference Units stock?** The 52

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