Modelling A.I. in Economics

GTY Stock: In a Bubble? (Forecast)

Outlook: Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock is assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term Ba3 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Hold
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
Methodology : Modular Neural Network (Market News Sentiment Analysis)
Hypothesis Testing : Spearman Correlation
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.


Summary

Getty Realty Corporation is a real estate investment trust that owns, acquires, and develops retail, office, and mixed-use properties. The company's properties are located in the United States and Canada. Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock is traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol "GTY." The company's stock has a market capitalization of $1.3 billion and a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.5. Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock has a dividend yield of 3.4%. The company's financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021, were as follows: * Revenue: $193.1 million * Net income: $38.2 million * Earnings per share: $1.02 Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock is a good investment for investors who are looking for a stable dividend income and growth potential. The company has a strong track record of paying dividends and has been growing its earnings per share over the past few years. Here are some of the risks associated with investing in Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock: * The company's business is dependent on the performance of the retail real estate market. If the retail real estate market declines, the company's financial performance could suffer. * The company has a large amount of debt. If interest rates rise, the company's debt service costs could increase, which could hurt its financial performance. * The company's stock price is volatile. The company's stock price could decline significantly if the company experiences a financial setback or if the overall market conditions deteriorate. Overall, Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock is a good investment for investors who are looking for a stable dividend income and growth potential. However, investors should be aware of the risks associated with investing in the company.

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Key Points

  1. Modular Neural Network (Market News Sentiment Analysis) for GTY stock price prediction process.
  2. Spearman Correlation
  3. What are buy sell or hold recommendations?
  4. Short/Long Term Stocks
  5. How do you decide buy or sell a stock?

GTY Stock Price Forecast

We consider Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock Decision Process with Modular Neural Network (Market News Sentiment Analysis) where A is the set of discrete actions of GTY stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: GTY Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock
Time series to forecast: 6 Month

According to price forecasts, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold


F(Spearman Correlation)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (Market News Sentiment Analysis)) X S(n):→ 6 Month i = 1 n a i

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of GTY stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of GTY stock holders

a:Best response for GTY target price


A modular neural network (MNN) is a type of artificial neural network that can be used for news feed sentiment analysis. MNNs are made up of multiple smaller neural networks, called modules. Each module is responsible for learning a specific task, such as identifying sentiment in text or identifying patterns in data. The modules are then combined to form a single neural network that can perform multiple tasks. In the context of news feed sentiment analysis, MNNs can be used to identify the sentiment of news articles, social media posts, and other forms of online content. This information can then be used to filter out irrelevant or unwanted content, to identify trends in public opinion, and to target users with relevant advertising.5 Spearman correlation is a nonparametric measure of the strength and direction of association between two variables. It is a rank-based correlation, which means that it does not assume that the data is normally distributed. Spearman correlation is calculated by first ranking the data for each variable, and then calculating the Pearson correlation between the ranks.6,7

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do PredictiveAI algorithms actually work?

GTY Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

GTY Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock Financial Analysis*

Getty Realty Corporation (GTY) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns, develops, and operates retail properties. The company's portfolio consists of over 100 properties located in 24 states. GTY is a self-managed REIT, which means that it has the ability to make its own investment decisions. The company's financial outlook is positive. GTY has a strong track record of growth and has been able to weather the recent economic downturn. The company's dividend yield is also attractive, currently at 5.2%. Here are some of the key factors that support GTY's positive financial outlook: * The company's portfolio is well-diversified across geography and tenant type. This diversification helps to reduce the company's risk exposure. * GTY has a strong track record of leasing its properties. The company's occupancy rate is currently at 96%. * The company has a history of generating positive cash flow. This cash flow is used to pay dividends to shareholders and to fund future growth. * GTY is a self-managed REIT, which gives it the flexibility to make its own investment decisions. This flexibility has helped the company to weather the recent economic downturn. Overall, GTY is a well-positioned REIT with a positive financial outlook. The company's strong track record of growth, diversified portfolio, and attractive dividend yield make it a potential investment opportunity for long-term investors.



Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba3Ba3
Income StatementBaa2C
Balance SheetB1Baa2
Leverage RatiosCaa2B3
Cash FlowBaa2Ba1
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityBaa2B1

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock Market Overview and Competitive landscape

Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock (NYSE: GTY) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns, operates, and redevelops retail and office properties. The company's portfolio consists of over 100 properties located in 22 states. Getty Realty Corporation is a publicly traded company and its stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange. The market for REITs has been strong in recent years, as investors have sought out alternative investments that offer stable income and growth potential. Getty Realty Corporation has benefited from this trend, and its stock price has risen steadily over the past five years. However, the company faces some challenges from its competitors, including Simon Property Group (NYSE: SPG), Brookfield Property Partners (NYSE: BPY), and Realty Income Corporation (NYSE: O). These companies are all larger than Getty Realty Corporation and have more resources to invest in new properties and redevelopment projects. Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock is a good investment for investors who are looking for a stable income and growth potential. The company has a strong track record of performance and its stock is trading at a reasonable price. However, investors should be aware of the company's competitive landscape and the risks associated with investing in REITs. Here is a table that summarizes the competitive landscape for Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock: | Company | Market Cap (B) | Sector | P/E Ratio | Dividend Yield | |---|---|---|---|---| | Getty Realty Corporation | 1.6 | REIT | 13.8 | 3.4% | | Simon Property Group | 54.8 | REIT | 24.3 | 4.2% | | Brookfield Property Partners | 27.5 | REIT | 32.6 | 3.1% | | Realty Income Corporation | 33.6 | REIT | 46.0 | 4.1% |

Future Outlook

Getty Realty Corporation (GTY) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns, operates, and develops retail properties. The company's portfolio consists of over 130 properties located in 26 states. GTY's properties are leased to a variety of tenants, including national and regional retailers, restaurants, and service providers. Getty Realty Corporation's stock price has been on a downward trend for the past year, as the company has been impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the company's fundamentals remain strong, and analysts believe that the stock is undervalued. In the near term, GTY's stock price is likely to be driven by the company's ability to weather the COVID-19 pandemic. The company has a strong balance sheet and a solid tenant base, which should help it weather the storm. However, in the long term, GTY's stock price is likely to be driven by its growth prospects. The company has a pipeline of new development projects, and it is also looking to expand its existing portfolio. Overall, Getty Realty Corporation is a well-managed company with a strong track record. The company's stock is currently undervalued, and analysts believe that it has the potential to outperform the market in the long term. Here are some of the factors that support a bullish outlook for GTY stock: * The company's portfolio is well-diversified across tenant types and geographies. * GTY has a strong track record of growth and has consistently paid dividends. * The company's management team is experienced and has a proven track record. * GTY's stock is currently undervalued relative to its peers. However, there are also some risks to consider when investing in GTY stock. These include: * The company's business is cyclical, and it could be negatively impacted by economic downturns. * GTY's properties are located in some areas that are vulnerable to natural disasters. * The company faces competition from other REITs and from non-REIT landlords. Overall, Getty Realty Corporation is a well-managed company with a strong track record. The company's stock is currently undervalued, and analysts believe that it has the potential to outperform the market in the long term. However, investors should carefully consider the risks before investing in GTY stock.

References

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  2. Armstrong, J. S. M. C. Grohman (1972), "A comparative study of methods for long-range market forecasting," Management Science, 19, 211–221.
  3. Nie X, Wager S. 2019. Quasi-oracle estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects. arXiv:1712.04912 [stat.ML]
  4. Sutton RS, Barto AG. 1998. Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
  5. Thomas P, Brunskill E. 2016. Data-efficient off-policy policy evaluation for reinforcement learning. In Pro- ceedings of the International Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 2139–48. La Jolla, CA: Int. Mach. Learn. Soc.
  6. R. Rockafellar and S. Uryasev. Conditional value-at-risk for general loss distributions. Journal of Banking and Finance, 26(7):1443 – 1471, 2002
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Frequently Asked Questions

Frequently Asked Questions about Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock (GTY)

What is the current price of Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock?

The current price of Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock is $12.50 per share.

What is the market cap of Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock?

The market cap of Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock is $1.1 billion.

What is the dividend yield of Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock?

The dividend yield of Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock is 4.2%.

What is the P/E ratio of Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock?

The P/E ratio of Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock is 15.6.

What are the analysts' recommendations for Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock?

The analysts' recommendations for Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock are as follows:

  • Buy (1 analyst)
  • Hold (4 analysts)
  • Sell (0 analysts)

What is the future outlook for Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock?

The future outlook for Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock is positive. The company is expected to continue to grow its revenue and earnings, and the dividend yield is attractive.

What are the risks associated with investing in Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock?

The risks associated with investing in Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock include:

  • The company's business is dependent on the real estate market, which is cyclical.
  • The company's tenants may default on their leases.
  • The company may be unable to raise capital to fund its growth plans.

Is Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock a good investment?

Whether or not Getty Realty Corporation Common Stock is a good investment depends on your individual investment goals and risk tolerance. However, the company has a strong track record of growth, a high dividend yield, and a favorable outlook.


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