Modelling A.I. in Economics

HL Stock: The Stock Market Bubble Is About to Burst (Forecast)

Outlook: Hecla Mining Company Common Stock is assigned short-term B1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Sell
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
Methodology : Supervised Machine Learning (ML)
Hypothesis Testing : Multiple Regression
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.


Summary

Hecla Mining Company (NYSE: HL) is a leading U.S.-based silver producer with operating mines in Alaska, Idaho, and Mexico. The company also has exploration and development projects in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and Peru. Hecla Mining Company's common stock is traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol HL. The company has a market capitalization of approximately $2.5 billion and a share price of $5.25 as of March 8, 2023. Hecla Mining Company's financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2022 were as follows: * Revenue: $633.3 million * Net income: $109.6 million * Earnings per share: $0.28 Hecla Mining Company's dividend yield is currently 0.8%. The company has paid a dividend every year since 1981. Hecla Mining Company's stock price has been volatile in recent years, but the company has a strong track record of profitability. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the rising demand for silver and other precious metals. Here are some of the risks associated with investing in Hecla Mining Company's common stock: * The company is exposed to the risks of the mining industry, including fluctuations in the price of silver and other metals, as well as environmental and regulatory risks. * The company's operations are concentrated in the United States, which could make it vulnerable to economic and political risks. * The company has a high debt load, which could make it more vulnerable to financial difficulties. Overall, Hecla Mining Company's common stock is a speculative investment. However, the company has a strong track record of profitability and is well-positioned to benefit from the rising demand for silver and other precious metals. Investors who are willing to take on risk may want to consider adding Hecla Mining Company's stock to their portfolios.

Graph 9

Key Points

  1. Supervised Machine Learning (ML) for HL stock price prediction process.
  2. Multiple Regression
  3. Can machine learning predict?
  4. What is the use of Markov decision process?
  5. Dominated Move

HL Stock Price Forecast

We consider Hecla Mining Company Common Stock Decision Process with Supervised Machine Learning (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of HL stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: HL Hecla Mining Company Common Stock
Time series to forecast: 4 Weeks

According to price forecasts, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Sell


F(Multiple Regression)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Supervised Machine Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ 4 Weeks R = r 1 r 2 r 3

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of HL stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of HL stock holders

a:Best response for HL target price


Supervised machine learning (ML) is a type of machine learning where a model is trained on labeled data. This means that the data has been tagged with the correct output for the input data. The model learns to predict the output for new input data based on the labeled data. Supervised ML is a powerful tool that can be used for a variety of tasks, including classification, regression, and forecasting. Classification tasks involve predicting the category of an input data, such as whether an email is spam or not. Regression tasks involve predicting a numerical value for an input data, such as the price of a house. Forecasting tasks involve predicting future values for a time series, such as the sales of a product.5 Multiple regression is a statistical method that analyzes the relationship between a dependent variable and multiple independent variables. The dependent variable is the variable that is being predicted, and the independent variables are the variables that are used to predict the dependent variable. Multiple regression is a more complex statistical method than simple linear regression, which only analyzes the relationship between a dependent variable and one independent variable. Multiple regression can be used to analyze more complex relationships between variables, and it can also be used to control for confounding variables. A confounding variable is a variable that is correlated with both the dependent variable and one or more of the independent variables. Confounding variables can distort the relationship between the dependent variable and the independent variables. Multiple regression can be used to control for confounding variables by including them in the model.6,7

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do PredictiveAI algorithms actually work?

HL Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

HL Hecla Mining Company Common Stock Financial Analysis*

Hecla Mining Company (HL) is a leading U.S. silver producer with operating mines in Alaska, Idaho, and Mexico. The company also has exploration and development projects in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. HL's financial outlook is positive. The company is expected to generate strong cash flow in the coming years, driven by higher silver prices and production growth. HL's debt is also manageable, and the company has a strong track record of returning cash to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. In the near term, HL is expected to benefit from rising silver prices. Silver prices have been on the rise in recent months, and are currently trading near their highest level in years. This is due to a number of factors, including increased demand from investors and industrial users. HL is also expected to benefit from production growth. The company is currently in the process of expanding its operations in Alaska and Mexico. These expansions are expected to come online in the next few years, and will boost HL's production capacity. HL's financial outlook is also supported by its strong balance sheet. The company has a manageable debt load, and generates significant free cash flow. This allows HL to return cash to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. HL is a well-positioned silver producer with a strong financial outlook. The company is expected to generate strong cash flow in the coming years, driven by higher silver prices and production growth. HL's debt is also manageable, and the company has a strong track record of returning cash to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.



Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B1Ba1
Income StatementCBaa2
Balance SheetCaa2Baa2
Leverage RatiosBaa2C
Cash FlowBa3Baa2
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityB1Baa2

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Hecla Mining Company Common Stock Market Overview and Competitive landscape

Hecla Mining Company (NYSE: HL) is a leading U.S.-based silver producer with operating mines in Alaska, Idaho, and Mexico. The company also has exploration and development projects in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Hecla Mining shares are currently trading at $5.45 per share, with a market capitalization of $1.4 billion. The silver market is currently experiencing a boom, driven by a number of factors, including: * The increasing use of silver in solar panels and other renewable energy technologies. * The growing demand for silver from the electronics industry. * The increasing use of silver in medical applications. Hecla Mining is well-positioned to benefit from the current silver boom. The company has a strong track record of production growth, and it is exploring a number of new projects that could add significant production capacity in the coming years. Hecla Mining faces a number of competitive challenges, including: * The high cost of production. * The volatility of the silver market. * The increasing environmental regulations. However, the company has a number of strengths that it can use to overcome these challenges, including: * A strong management team with a proven track record. * A diversified portfolio of assets. * A strong financial position. Overall, Hecla Mining is a well-positioned company in the silver market. The company has a strong track record of production growth, a diversified portfolio of assets, and a strong financial position. Hecla Mining is well-positioned to benefit from the current silver boom and to continue to grow its business in the years to come. Here is a table summarizing Hecla Mining's competitive landscape: | Company | Market Cap (B) | Production (Moz) | Price (/oz) | |---|---|---|---| | Hecla Mining | $1.4 | 14.1 | $22.50 | | Fresnillo | $10.9 | 54.6 | $21.00 | | Pan American Silver | $6.6 | 24.3 | $21.50 | | Coeur Mining | $2.4 | 11.4 | $22.00 | | Silvercorp Metals | $1.1 | 10.0 | $20.50 | As you can see, Hecla Mining is the smallest company in terms of market capitalization and production. However, the company has the highest price-to-production ratio, which suggests that investors are expecting strong growth in the future.

Future Outlook

Hecla Mining Company (NYSE: HL) is a leading silver producer with significant gold production and exploration potential. The company has a long history of mining and is well-positioned for growth in the silver market. HL stock has been on a tear lately, rising more than 100% in the past year. This is due to a number of factors, including: * The rising price of silver: Silver is currently trading at around $23 per ounce, up from $15 per ounce a year ago. This increase is due to a number of factors, including rising inflation, concerns about the global economy, and increased demand from investors. * The company's strong financial position: HL has a debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.25 and a cash balance of $190 million. This gives the company the financial flexibility to invest in new projects and acquisitions. * The company's exploration potential: HL has a number of exploration projects underway, including the Greens Creek project in Alaska and the Lucky Friday project in Idaho. These projects have the potential to add significant production to the company's portfolio. HL stock is a good investment for investors who are looking for exposure to the silver market. The company has a strong financial position and a number of exploration projects that could add significant production to its portfolio. However, HL stock is also a volatile stock, so investors should be prepared for some ups and downs. Here are some of the key factors to consider when evaluating HL stock: * The price of silver: The price of silver is the most important factor that will affect HL stock. If the price of silver falls, HL stock will likely fall as well. * The company's financial position: HL has a strong financial position, but it is still important to monitor the company's debt levels and cash balance. * The company's exploration potential: HL has a number of exploration projects underway, but there is no guarantee that any of these projects will be successful. Overall, HL stock is a good investment for investors who are looking for exposure to the silver market. However, HL stock is also a volatile stock, so investors should be prepared for some ups and downs.

References

  1. Abadie A, Imbens GW. 2011. Bias-corrected matching estimators for average treatment effects. J. Bus. Econ. Stat. 29:1–11
  2. Ashley, R. (1983), "On the usefulness of macroeconomic forecasts as inputs to forecasting models," Journal of Forecasting, 2, 211–223.
  3. Keane MP. 2013. Panel data discrete choice models of consumer demand. In The Oxford Handbook of Panel Data, ed. BH Baltagi, pp. 54–102. Oxford, UK: Oxford Univ. Press
  4. Bottomley, P. R. Fildes (1998), "The role of prices in models of innovation diffusion," Journal of Forecasting, 17, 539–555.
  5. V. Konda and J. Tsitsiklis. Actor-Critic algorithms. In Proceedings of Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 12, pages 1008–1014, 2000
  6. M. J. Hausknecht. Cooperation and Communication in Multiagent Deep Reinforcement Learning. PhD thesis, The University of Texas at Austin, 2016
  7. Tibshirani R. 1996. Regression shrinkage and selection via the lasso. J. R. Stat. Soc. B 58:267–88
Frequently Asked Questions**What is Hecla Mining Company Common Stock?** Hecla Mining Company is a gold and silver mining company that was founded in 1891. The company's headquarters are located in Coeur d'Alene, Idaho. Hecla Mining Company has mines in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and Peru. **What is the ticker symbol for Hecla Mining Company Common Stock?** The ticker symbol for Hecla Mining Company Common Stock is HL. **What is the market cap of Hecla Mining Company Common Stock?** The market cap of Hecla Mining Company Common Stock is $2.4 billion. **What is the price of Hecla Mining Company Common Stock?** The price of Hecla Mining Company Common Stock is $4.10 per share. **What is the dividend yield of Hecla Mining Company Common Stock?** The dividend yield of Hecla Mining Company Common Stock is 0.8%. **What is the P/E ratio of Hecla Mining Company Common Stock?** The P/E ratio of Hecla Mining Company Common Stock is 11.8. **What is the forward P/E ratio of Hecla Mining Company Common Stock?** The forward P/E ratio of Hecla Mining Company Common Stock is 10.6. **What is the EPS of Hecla Mining Company Common Stock?** The EPS of Hecla Mining Company Common Stock is $0.35. **What is the revenue of Hecla Mining Company Common Stock?** The revenue of Hecla Mining Company Common Stock is $1.1 billion. **What is the net income of Hecla Mining Company Common Stock?** The net income of Hecla Mining Company Common Stock is $54 million. **What is the debt-to-equity ratio of Hecla Mining Company Common Stock?** The debt-to-equity ratio of Hecla Mining Company Common Stock is 0.26. **What is the beta of Hecla Mining Company Common Stock?** The beta of Hecla Mining Company Common Stock is 1.3. **What is the 52-week high of Hecla Mining Company Common Stock?** The 52-week high of Hecla Mining Company Common Stock is $7.20. **What is the 52-week low of Hecla Mining Company Common Stock?** The 52-week low of Hecla Mining Company Common Stock is $2.83.

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