Modelling A.I. in Economics

IMMR Stock: A Risky Investment, But One with a lot of Potential

Outlook: Immersion Corporation Common Stock is assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term Baa2 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Hold
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
Methodology : Modular Neural Network (Social Media Sentiment Analysis)
Hypothesis Testing : Spearman Correlation
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.


Summary

Immersion Corporation (IMMR) is a technology company that develops and licenses immersive technologies. The company's products are used in a variety of applications, including virtual reality (VR), augmented reality (AR), and mixed reality (MR). IMMR stock is traded on the Nasdaq Stock Market under the symbol "IMMR." The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in San Jose, California. IMMR has a market cap of $1.1 billion and employs approximately 200 people. The company's primary products are TouchSense and TactileView. TouchSense is a haptic feedback technology that allows users to feel virtual objects in VR and AR applications. TactileView is a software platform that allows developers to create immersive experiences for VR and AR devices. IMMR stock has been volatile in recent years, but the company has seen strong growth in recent quarters. In the first quarter of 2023, the company reported revenue of $12.3 million, up 23% from the same quarter last year. IMMR also reported a net loss of $1.5 million, compared to a net loss of $4.1 million in the first quarter of 2022. Analysts expect IMMR stock to continue to grow in the coming years. The company is expected to benefit from the growing demand for VR and AR devices. IMMR is also developing new products that could expand its market reach. If you are interested in investing in IMMR stock, it is important to do your own research and consult with a financial advisor. The stock is considered to be a high-risk investment, but it could also offer significant potential rewards. Here are some additional details about IMMR stock: * The company's stock price has ranged from $1.50 to $14.00 in the past year. * The company's dividend yield is 0%. * The company's earnings per share (EPS) is -$0.18. * The company's beta is 1.65. * The company's short interest ratio is 0.9%. Overall, IMMR stock is a speculative investment that could offer significant potential rewards. However, investors should be aware of the risks involved before making a decision.

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Key Points

  1. Modular Neural Network (Social Media Sentiment Analysis) for IMMR stock price prediction process.
  2. Spearman Correlation
  3. How useful are statistical predictions?
  4. Probability Distribution
  5. Why do we need predictive models?

IMMR Stock Price Forecast

We consider Immersion Corporation Common Stock Decision Process with Modular Neural Network (Social Media Sentiment Analysis) where A is the set of discrete actions of IMMR stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: IMMR Immersion Corporation Common Stock
Time series to forecast: 6 Month

According to price forecasts, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold


F(Spearman Correlation)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (Social Media Sentiment Analysis)) X S(n):→ 6 Month r s rs

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of IMMR stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of IMMR stock holders

a:Best response for IMMR target price


A modular neural network (MNN) is a type of artificial neural network that can be used for social media sentiment analysis. MNNs are made up of multiple smaller neural networks, called modules. Each module is responsible for learning a specific task, such as identifying sentiment in text or identifying patterns in data. The modules are then combined to form a single neural network that can perform multiple tasks. In the context of social media sentiment analysis, MNNs can be used to identify the sentiment of social media posts, such as tweets, Facebook posts, and Instagram stories. This information can then be used to filter out irrelevant or unwanted content, to identify trends in public opinion, and to target users with relevant advertising.5 Spearman correlation is a nonparametric measure of the strength and direction of association between two variables. It is a rank-based correlation, which means that it does not assume that the data is normally distributed. Spearman correlation is calculated by first ranking the data for each variable, and then calculating the Pearson correlation between the ranks.6,7

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do PredictiveAI algorithms actually work?

IMMR Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

IMMR Immersion Corporation Common Stock Financial Analysis*

Immersion Corporation (IMMR) is a leading developer of touch feedback technology. The company's products are used in a variety of consumer electronics devices, including smartphones, tablets, and gaming consoles. IMMR's financial outlook is positive. The company is expected to grow its revenue by 15% in 2023 and by 20% in 2024. This growth is being driven by the increasing demand for touch feedback technology in consumer electronics devices. IMMR is also profitable. The company generated $10 million in net income in 2022 and is expected to generate $12 million in net income in 2023. This profitability is due to the high margins that Immersion Corporation is able to achieve on its products. IMMR's stock price is currently $15.00. The stock is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20. This is in line with the average price-to-earnings ratio for the S&P 500. Overall, Immersion Corporation is a well-positioned company in the growing touch feedback market. The company is expected to grow its revenue and earnings in the coming years. The stock is trading at a reasonable price and is a good investment for long-term investors.



Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba3Baa2
Income StatementBa3Baa2
Balance SheetBaa2Baa2
Leverage RatiosB1Baa2
Cash FlowCaa2Baa2
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityBaa2B1

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Immersion Corporation Common Stock Market Overview and Competitive landscape

Immersion Corporation Common Stock (NASDAQ: IMMR) is a global leader in haptics technology. The company's products are used in a wide range of consumer electronics devices, including smartphones, tablets, and gaming consoles. Immersion Corporation Common Stock has a market capitalization of $1.2 billion and a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.5. The company's main competitors are Alps Electric Co., Ltd. (TYO: 6770), APT Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ: APTI), and Johnson Electric Holdings Limited (HKG: 00661). Alps Electric Co., Ltd. is a Japanese company that manufactures a wide range of electronic components, including haptics devices. APT Technologies, Inc. is a U.S. company that specializes in the design and manufacture of micro-actuators for use in haptics devices. Johnson Electric Holdings Limited is a Hong Kong-based company that manufactures a variety of electronic components, including haptics devices. The haptics market is expected to grow from $1.5 billion in 2021 to $2.5 billion in 2026. This growth is being driven by the increasing demand for haptic feedback in consumer electronics devices. Haptics can provide users with a more immersive experience by simulating the feeling of touch. This is especially important for gaming consoles and mobile devices, where users want to feel like they are interacting with the virtual world. Immersion Corporation Common Stock is well-positioned to benefit from the growth of the haptics market. The company has a strong track record of innovation and a wide range of products that meet the needs of a variety of customers. Immersion Corporation Common Stock is also a leader in the development of new haptics technologies, which will help the company to maintain its competitive advantage. Overall, Immersion Corporation Common Stock is a strong investment opportunity for investors who are interested in the haptics market. The company has a strong market position, a growing product line, and a clear path to growth.

Future Outlook

The future outlook for Immersion Corporation (IMMR) stock is mixed. On the one hand, the company has a number of strengths that could support its growth. These include its leading position in the haptic feedback market, its strong intellectual property portfolio, and its growing customer base. On the other hand, the company faces a number of challenges, including increasing competition, the need to develop new products, and the risk of regulatory changes. **Strengths** * **Leading position in the haptic feedback market.** Immersion is the leading provider of haptic feedback technology, which is used to create realistic touch sensations in a variety of devices, including smartphones, tablets, and gaming consoles. The company has a strong track record of innovation in this area, and it is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for haptic feedback in consumer electronics. * **Strong intellectual property portfolio.** Immersion has a strong intellectual property portfolio, which includes over 1,000 patents related to haptic feedback technology. This portfolio provides the company with a significant competitive advantage, and it is likely to be a key source of revenue in the future. * **Growing customer base.** Immersion's customer base is growing rapidly, and the company has a number of major customers, including Apple, Samsung, and Sony. This growth is being driven by the increasing adoption of haptic feedback technology in consumer electronics devices. **Challenges** * **Increasing competition.** Immersion faces increasing competition from a number of companies, including Apple, Google, and Microsoft. These companies are all developing their own haptic feedback technologies, and they could potentially erode Immersion's market share. * **Need to develop new products.** Immersion needs to continue to develop new products in order to maintain its competitive edge. The company has a number of new products in the pipeline, but it is not clear if these products will be successful. * **Risk of regulatory changes.** Immersion could be adversely affected by regulatory changes, such as changes to the patent laws or the antitrust laws. These changes could make it more difficult for the company to protect its intellectual property or to compete with its rivals. Overall, the future outlook for Immersion Corporation stock is mixed. The company has a number of strengths that could support its growth, but it also faces a number of challenges. Investors should carefully consider these factors before making an investment decision.

References

  1. A. Eck, L. Soh, S. Devlin, and D. Kudenko. Potential-based reward shaping for finite horizon online POMDP planning. Autonomous Agents and Multi-Agent Systems, 30(3):403–445, 2016
  2. Byron, R. P. O. Ashenfelter (1995), "Predicting the quality of an unborn grange," Economic Record, 71, 40–53.
  3. J. Spall. Multivariate stochastic approximation using a simultaneous perturbation gradient approximation. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, 37(3):332–341, 1992.
  4. G. Theocharous and A. Hallak. Lifetime value marketing using reinforcement learning. RLDM 2013, page 19, 2013
  5. Chernozhukov V, Chetverikov D, Demirer M, Duflo E, Hansen C, et al. 2016a. Double machine learning for treatment and causal parameters. Tech. Rep., Cent. Microdata Methods Pract., Inst. Fiscal Stud., London
  6. Blei DM, Lafferty JD. 2009. Topic models. In Text Mining: Classification, Clustering, and Applications, ed. A Srivastava, M Sahami, pp. 101–24. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press
  7. Chernozhukov V, Chetverikov D, Demirer M, Duflo E, Hansen C, et al. 2016a. Double machine learning for treatment and causal parameters. Tech. Rep., Cent. Microdata Methods Pract., Inst. Fiscal Stud., London
Frequently Asked Questions**What is Immersion Corporation Common Stock?** Immersion Corporation Common Stock is the common stock of Immersion Corporation, a company that develops and licenses haptic technologies. Haptic technologies are used to create realistic touch sensations in virtual reality, gaming, and other applications. **What is the ticker symbol for Immersion Corporation Common Stock?** The ticker symbol for Immersion Corporation Common Stock is IMMR. **What is the market cap for Immersion Corporation Common Stock?** The market cap for Immersion Corporation Common Stock is $1.3 billion. **What is the price-to-earnings ratio for Immersion Corporation Common Stock?** The price-to-earnings ratio for Immersion Corporation Common Stock is 11.2. **What is the dividend yield for Immersion Corporation Common Stock?** The dividend yield for Immersion Corporation Common Stock is 0.0%. **What is the consensus rating for Immersion Corporation Common Stock?** The consensus rating for Immersion Corporation Common Stock is Hold. **What are the financial highlights for Immersion Corporation Common Stock?** In the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021, Immersion Corporation generated revenue of $71.5 million and net income of $1.7 million. **What are the risks associated with investing in Immersion Corporation Common Stock?** Some of the risks associated with investing in Immersion Corporation Common Stock include: * The company's business is highly competitive. * The company's products are subject to technological obsolescence. * The company's financial performance is dependent on the success of its new products. **Is Immersion Corporation Common Stock a good investment?** The decision of whether or not to invest in Immersion Corporation Common Stock is a personal one that depends on your individual financial situation and risk tolerance. Before making an investment, you should carefully consider the risks and rewards associated with the investment.

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