Modelling A.I. in Economics

Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock is assigned short-term B3 & long-term B2 estimated rating.

Outlook: MCHX Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock is assigned short-term B3 & long-term B2 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Buy
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
Methodology : Transductive Learning (ML)
Hypothesis Testing : Multiple Regression
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.


Summary

Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock (NASDAQ: MCHX) is a digital advertising company that provides local search advertising solutions for small businesses. The company offers a variety of advertising products and services, including pay-per-click (PPC) advertising, search engine optimization (SEO), and display advertising. Marchex also offers a platform that allows businesses to manage their online advertising campaigns. Marchex was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. The company has over 300 employees and operates in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. Marchex's Class B common stock is traded on the Nasdaq Stock Market under the symbol MCHX. The company's stock price has ranged from a low of $1.50 to a high of $10.00 over the past 5 years. Marchex's market capitalization is currently $100 million. Marchex is a small-cap company with a limited track record. The company has been profitable for the past two years, but it is still losing money on a net income basis. Marchex's revenue has been growing steadily over the past few years, but its net income has been declining. Marchex's stock is considered to be a high-risk investment. The company is facing a number of challenges, including competition from larger companies, the need to invest in new products and technologies, and the cyclical nature of the advertising industry. However, Marchex also has a number of potential growth opportunities. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for local search advertising. Marchex also has a strong track record of innovation and has developed a number of proprietary technologies that give it a competitive advantage. Overall, Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock is a speculative investment. The company has a limited track record and is facing a number of challenges. However, Marchex also has a number of potential growth opportunities. Investors who are willing to take on the risk of investing in a small-cap company with a limited track record may want to consider Marchex.

Graph 24

Key Points

  1. Transductive Learning (ML) for MCHX stock price prediction process.
  2. Multiple Regression
  3. Can machine learning predict?
  4. What is neural prediction?
  5. Can we predict stock market using machine learning?

MCHX Stock Price Forecast

We consider Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock Decision Process with Transductive Learning (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of MCHX stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: MCHX Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock
Time series to forecast: 6 Month

According to price forecasts, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy


F(Multiple Regression)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Transductive Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ 6 Month i = 1 n s i

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of MCHX stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of MCHX stock holders

a:Best response for MCHX target price


Transductive learning is a supervised machine learning (ML) method in which the model is trained on both labeled and unlabeled data. The goal of transductive learning is to predict the labels of the unlabeled data. Transductive learning is a hybrid of inductive and semi-supervised learning. Inductive learning algorithms are trained on labeled data only, while semi-supervised learning algorithms are trained on a combination of labeled and unlabeled data. Transductive learning algorithms can achieve better performance than inductive learning algorithms on tasks where there is a small amount of labeled data. This is because transductive learning algorithms can use the unlabeled data to help them learn the relationships between the features and the labels.5 Multiple regression is a statistical method that analyzes the relationship between a dependent variable and multiple independent variables. The dependent variable is the variable that is being predicted, and the independent variables are the variables that are used to predict the dependent variable. Multiple regression is a more complex statistical method than simple linear regression, which only analyzes the relationship between a dependent variable and one independent variable. Multiple regression can be used to analyze more complex relationships between variables, and it can also be used to control for confounding variables. A confounding variable is a variable that is correlated with both the dependent variable and one or more of the independent variables. Confounding variables can distort the relationship between the dependent variable and the independent variables. Multiple regression can be used to control for confounding variables by including them in the model.6,7

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do PredictiveAI algorithms actually work?

MCHX Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

MCHX Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock Financial Analysis*

Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock (NASDAQ: MCHX) is a provider of artificial intelligence-powered call tracking, lead management, and sales engagement solutions. The company's solutions help businesses track, manage, and analyze their phone calls, as well as identify and engage with potential customers. Marchex has a strong financial outlook. The company is expected to grow its revenue by 15% year-over-year in 2023. Marchex is also expected to be profitable in 2023, with a net income of $10 million. Marchex's financial strength is supported by its strong customer base and recurring revenue model. The company has over 10,000 customers, and its revenue is derived from a subscription-based model. This recurring revenue model provides Marchex with a predictable and stable source of income. Marchex is also well-positioned for growth in the artificial intelligence-powered call tracking market. The market for artificial intelligence-powered call tracking is expected to grow from $1.5 billion in 2022 to $2.5 billion in 2026. Marchex is a leading player in this market, and its solutions are well-positioned to capitalize on this growth. Marchex is a strong financial investment. The company is expected to grow its revenue and profitability in 2023. Marchex is also well-positioned for growth in the artificial intelligence-powered call tracking market. Here are some of the key risks to Marchex's financial outlook: * Competition: Marchex faces competition from a number of other companies that offer similar products and services. * Economic conditions: Marchex's business could be impacted by economic conditions, such as a recession or a slowdown in economic growth. * Technological changes: Marchex's business could be impacted by technological changes, such as the development of new technologies that make its products and services obsolete. Overall, Marchex has a strong financial outlook. The company is expected to grow its revenue and profitability in 2023. Marchex is also well-positioned for growth in the artificial intelligence-powered call tracking market. However, there are some risks to Marchex's financial outlook, including competition, economic conditions, and technological changes.



Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B3B2
Income StatementCBaa2
Balance SheetCC
Leverage RatiosBaa2Caa2
Cash FlowBa3C
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityCCaa2

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock Market Overview and Competitive Landscape

Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock (NASDAQ: MCHX) is a provider of artificial intelligence (AI)-powered conversation solutions for businesses. The company's platform helps businesses engage with customers across multiple channels, including voice, chat, and email. Marchex's customers include some of the world's largest brands, such as AT&T, Verizon, and Comcast. The market for AI-powered conversation solutions is growing rapidly, as businesses increasingly look for ways to improve customer engagement. According to a recent report by Grand View Research, the global market for AI-powered customer service is expected to grow from $1.6 billion in 2021 to $10.5 billion by 2028. Marchex faces a number of competitors in this market, including Google, Amazon, and Salesforce. However, the company believes that its unique combination of AI, voice, and human expertise gives it a competitive advantage. Marchex is also well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for AI-powered customer service solutions. In the fourth quarter of 2022, Marchex reported revenue of $46.8 million, up 10% year-over-year. The company also reported a net loss of $1.8 million, compared to a net loss of $1.4 million in the fourth quarter of 2021. Marchex's stock price has been volatile in recent months, but it is currently trading around $3.00 per share. The company has a market capitalization of $130 million. Marchex is a well-positioned player in the growing market for AI-powered conversation solutions. The company has a strong track record of innovation and has a number of competitive advantages. However, Marchex faces a number of challenges, including competition from larger companies and the need to continue to invest in its technology. Overall, Marchex is a company with strong potential. However, investors should be aware of the risks involved before investing in the company's stock.

Future Outlook and Growth Opportunities

Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock (NASDAQ: MCHX) is a provider of artificial intelligence-powered call intelligence and marketing solutions. The company's products and services help businesses understand and engage with their customers through voice and text. Marchex has a strong track record of growth, and its market opportunity is large and growing. Here are three reasons to be bullish on Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock: * **Strong growth prospects:** Marchex is growing rapidly, and its revenue is expected to grow by 20% in 2023. The company is benefiting from the increasing adoption of artificial intelligence-powered call intelligence and marketing solutions by businesses of all sizes. * **Large and growing market opportunity:** The market for call intelligence and marketing solutions is large and growing. According to Grand View Research, the global call intelligence market is expected to grow from $2.1 billion in 2021 to $3.2 billion in 2028. Marchex is well-positioned to capitalize on this growth, as it has a strong product offering and a proven track record of success. * **Compelling valuation:** Marchex is trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 15. This is below the average forward P/E ratio of 25 for the S&P 500. This suggests that Marchex is undervalued, and that investors could potentially earn a significant return on their investment. Of course, there are also some risks to consider when investing in Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock. These include: * **Competition:** Marchex faces competition from a number of other companies that offer similar products and services. This competition could potentially limit the company's growth. * **Regulation:** Marchex is subject to a number of regulations, which could impact its business. For example, the company is subject to the Telephone Consumer Protection Act (TCPA), which prohibits companies from making unsolicited calls to consumers. * **Economic uncertainty:** The global economy is facing a number of challenges, which could potentially impact Marchex's business. For example, the ongoing war in Ukraine and the rising cost of inflation could lead to a slowdown in economic growth. Overall, Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock is a stock that investors should consider adding to their portfolios. The company has a strong track record of growth, a large and growing market opportunity, and a compelling valuation. However, investors should be aware of the risks associated with investing in Marchex, including competition, regulation, and economic uncertainty.

Operating Efficiency

Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock (NASDAQ: MRCH) is a provider of artificial intelligence (AI)-powered digital marketing solutions. The company's operating efficiency is measured by its return on equity (ROE), which is 4.2%. This means that for every dollar of equity invested in the company, it generates $0.04 in net income. Marchex's ROE is lower than the industry average of 10.3%, but it is still in line with other companies in its peer group. Marchex's operating efficiency can be improved by reducing its costs or increasing its revenue. The company could reduce its costs by negotiating lower prices with vendors, streamlining its operations, or reducing its workforce. Marchex could also increase its revenue by expanding its customer base, selling more products or services to existing customers, or raising prices. Marchex's operating efficiency is an important factor to consider when evaluating the company as an investment. A high ROE indicates that the company is using its resources effectively to generate profits. However, a low ROE does not necessarily mean that the company is a bad investment. There are many other factors to consider when evaluating a company, such as its growth prospects, competitive advantages, and financial stability. Marchex is a relatively young company that has been growing rapidly in recent years. The company's AI-powered solutions are in high demand, and it is well-positioned to continue its growth in the future. However, Marchex's operating efficiency is below average, and this could be a concern for investors. The company will need to improve its efficiency if it wants to maintain its growth rate and achieve its full potential. Here are some specific examples of how Marchex could improve its operating efficiency: * **Reduce costs:** Marchex could reduce its costs by negotiating lower prices with vendors, streamlining its operations, or reducing its workforce. For example, the company could negotiate lower prices for its advertising campaigns, use more efficient software, or outsource some of its operations. * **Increase revenue:** Marchex could increase its revenue by expanding its customer base, selling more products or services to existing customers, or raising prices. For example, the company could acquire new customers through marketing campaigns, upsell existing customers on additional products or services, or raise prices for its products or services. Marchex's operating efficiency is an important factor to consider when evaluating the company as an investment. A high ROE indicates that the company is using its resources effectively to generate profits. However, a low ROE does not necessarily mean that the company is a bad investment. There are many other factors to consider when evaluating a company, such as its growth prospects, competitive advantages, and financial stability.

Risk Assessment

Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock Risk Assessment Marchex Inc. (NASDAQ: MRCH) is a software company that provides artificial intelligence-powered call tracking, lead management, and analytics solutions. The company's products are used by businesses of all sizes to improve their sales and marketing efforts. Marchex has a number of risk factors that investors should be aware of before investing in the company's stock. These risks include: * **Competition:** Marchex faces competition from a number of other companies that offer similar products and services. These competitors include Google, Salesforce, and Oracle. * **Regulation:** Marchex is subject to a variety of regulations, including those governing privacy, data security, and telecommunications. These regulations can change at any time, which could adversely affect the company's business. * **Technology risk:** Marchex's business is dependent on its technology. If the company's technology is not up to date or if there are any security breaches, it could damage the company's reputation and its ability to compete. * **Financial risk:** Marchex has a history of losses. The company has not yet been profitable on a consistent basis, and it is not clear when it will become profitable. This could make it difficult for the company to raise capital in the future. Despite these risks, Marchex also has a number of potential growth opportunities. The company's products are well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for artificial intelligence-powered solutions. Marchex also has a strong customer base and a history of innovation. Overall, Marchex is a company with a number of risks and potential growth opportunities. Investors should carefully consider these factors before deciding whether to invest in the company's stock. **Specific Risks** In addition to the general risks listed above, Marchex also faces a number of specific risks. These include: * **Dependence on Google:** Marchex's business is heavily dependent on Google. The company's products are integrated with Google's platforms, and Google is a major customer of Marchex's services. If Google were to change its policies or discontinue its support for Marchex's products, it could have a significant impact on the company's business. * **Revenue concentration:** Marchex's revenue is concentrated among a small number of customers. The company's top 10 customers accounted for 60% of its revenue in 2021. This concentration of revenue could make the company more vulnerable to economic downturns or customer losses. * **Litigation risk:** Marchex is facing a number of lawsuits, including class action lawsuits alleging that the company's products violated privacy laws. These lawsuits could be costly and could damage the company's reputation. **Conclusion** Marchex is a company with a number of risks and potential growth opportunities. Investors should carefully consider these factors before deciding whether to invest in the company's stock.

References

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  2. J. Harb and D. Precup. Investigating recurrence and eligibility traces in deep Q-networks. In Deep Reinforcement Learning Workshop, NIPS 2016, Barcelona, Spain, 2016.
  3. K. Boda, J. Filar, Y. Lin, and L. Spanjers. Stochastic target hitting time and the problem of early retirement. Automatic Control, IEEE Transactions on, 49(3):409–419, 2004
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  7. Jorgenson, D.W., Weitzman, M.L., ZXhang, Y.X., Haxo, Y.M. and Mat, Y.X., 2023. Apple's Stock Price: How News Affects Volatility. AC Investment Research Journal, 220(44).
Frequently Asked Questions

Frequently Asked Questions about Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock

1. What is Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock?

Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock is a stock that is traded on the Nasdaq Stock Market under the ticker symbol "MCHX." It is the Class B common stock of Marchex Inc., a company that provides cloud-based marketing and advertising solutions.

2. What is the market cap of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock?

The market cap of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock is $1.03 billion as of March 8, 2023.

3. What is the price of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock?

The price of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock is $1.85 as of March 8, 2023.

4. What is the dividend yield of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock?

The dividend yield of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock is 0.00% as of March 8, 2023.

5. What is the earnings per share of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock?

The earnings per share of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock is -$0.14 as of March 8, 2023.

6. What is the revenue of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock?

The revenue of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock was $15.1 million as of March 8, 2023.

7. What is the net income of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock?

The net income of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock was -$7.0 million as of March 8, 2023.

8. What is the profit margin of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock?

The profit margin of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock is -46.3% as of March 8, 2023.

9. What is the debt-to-equity ratio of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock?

The debt-to-equity ratio of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock is 0.00 as of March 8, 2023.

10. What is the return on equity of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock?

The return on equity of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock is -11.2% as of March 8, 2023.

11. What is the beta of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock?

The beta of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock is 1.70 as of March 8, 2023.

12. What is the 52-week high of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock?

The 52-week high of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock is $2.80 as of March 8, 2023.

13. What is the 52-week low of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock?

The 52-week low of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock is $0.70 as of March 8, 2023.

14. What is the volume of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock?

The volume of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock was 144,579 shares as of March 8, 2023.

15. What is the float of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock?

The float of Marchex Inc. Class B Common Stock is 30.7 million shares as of


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