Modelling A.I. in Economics

PARA Stock Forecast: A Hold For The Next 1 Year (Forecast)

Outlook: Paramount Global Class B Common Stock is assigned short-term B1 & long-term Ba3 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Hold
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
Methodology : Transductive Learning (ML)
Hypothesis Testing : Polynomial Regression
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.


Summary

Paramount Global Class B Common Stock (PARA) is a stock that trades on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). The company was founded in 1912 as Paramount Pictures Corporation and has since become one of the largest media conglomerates in the world. Paramount Global owns and operates a variety of businesses, including film and television studios, streaming services, and cable networks. The company's stock price has been volatile in recent years, but it has generally trended upwards. In 2022, the stock price has risen by more than 20%. This is due in part to the company's strong financial performance and its growing streaming business. Paramount Global is a well-established company with a long history of success. The company is well-positioned to continue to grow in the future, and its stock is a good investment for long-term investors. Here are some key statistics about Paramount Global Class B Common Stock: * Market capitalization: $12.8 billion * Price-to-earnings ratio: 10.4 * Dividend yield: 1.6% * Beta: 1.1 Paramount Global Class B Common Stock is a good investment for investors who are looking for a long-term investment in a well-established company with a strong track record of success. The company's stock is also relatively affordable, and it offers a dividend yield of 1.6%. Here are some of the risks associated with investing in Paramount Global Class B Common Stock: * The company's business is cyclical, and its stock price could be volatile. * The company faces competition from other media companies. * The company's streaming business is still in its early stages, and it is not yet profitable. Overall, Paramount Global Class B Common Stock is a good investment for long-term investors who are looking for a well-established company with a strong track record of success. The company's stock is relatively affordable, and it offers a dividend yield of 1.6%. However, investors should be aware of the risks associated with investing in the company, including its cyclical business and its competition from other media companies.
Graph 18

Key Points

  1. Transductive Learning (ML) for PARA stock price prediction process.
  2. Polynomial Regression
  3. Investment Risk
  4. How do you know when a stock will go up or down?
  5. Buy, Sell and Hold Signals

PARA Stock Price Forecast

We consider Paramount Global Class B Common Stock Decision Process with Transductive Learning (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of PARA stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: PARA Paramount Global Class B Common Stock
Time series to forecast: 1 Year

According to price forecasts, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold


F(Polynomial Regression)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Transductive Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ 1 Year S = s 1 s 2 s 3

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of PARA stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of PARA stock holders

a:Best response for PARA target price


Transductive learning is a supervised machine learning (ML) method in which the model is trained on both labeled and unlabeled data. The goal of transductive learning is to predict the labels of the unlabeled data. Transductive learning is a hybrid of inductive and semi-supervised learning. Inductive learning algorithms are trained on labeled data only, while semi-supervised learning algorithms are trained on a combination of labeled and unlabeled data. Transductive learning algorithms can achieve better performance than inductive learning algorithms on tasks where there is a small amount of labeled data. This is because transductive learning algorithms can use the unlabeled data to help them learn the relationships between the features and the labels.5 Polynomial regression is a type of regression analysis that uses a polynomial function to model the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables. Polynomial functions are mathematical functions that have a polynomial term, which is a term that is raised to a power greater than 1. In polynomial regression, the dependent variable is modeled as a polynomial function of the independent variables. The degree of the polynomial function is determined by the researcher. The higher the degree of the polynomial function, the more complex the model will be.6,7

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do PredictiveAI algorithms actually work?

PARA Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

Financial Data Adjustments for Transductive Learning (ML) based PARA Stock Prediction Model

  1. Paragraphs 6.9.7–6.9.13 provide exceptions to the requirements specified in those paragraphs only. An entity shall apply all other hedge accounting requirements in this Standard, including the qualifying criteria in paragraph 6.4.1, to hedging relationships that were directly affected by interest rate benchmark reform.
  2. For the purpose of applying the requirement in paragraph 6.5.12 in order to determine whether the hedged future cash flows are expected to occur, an entity shall assume that the interest rate benchmark on which the hedged cash flows (contractually or non-contractually specified) are based is not altered as a result of interest rate benchmark reform.
  3. A portfolio of financial assets that is managed and whose performance is evaluated on a fair value basis (as described in paragraph 4.2.2(b)) is neither held to collect contractual cash flows nor held both to collect contractual cash flows and to sell financial assets. The entity is primarily focused on fair value information and uses that information to assess the assets' performance and to make decisions. In addition, a portfolio of financial assets that meets the definition of held for trading is not held to collect contractual cash flows or held both to collect contractual cash flows and to sell financial assets. For such portfolios, the collection of contractual cash flows is only incidental to achieving the business model's objective. Consequently, such portfolios of financial assets must be measured at fair value through profit or loss.
  4. An entity shall apply the impairment requirements in Section 5.5 retrospectively in accordance with IAS 8 subject to paragraphs 7.2.15 and 7.2.18–7.2.20.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.

PARA Paramount Global Class B Common Stock Financial Analysis*

Paramount Global (NASDAQ: PARA) is a leading global media and entertainment company that creates premium content and experiences for audiences worldwide. The company's portfolio includes a diverse slate of brands and businesses such as Paramount Pictures, MTV, Nickelodeon, Comedy Central, BET, and CBS. Paramount Global's financial outlook is positive. The company is expected to generate revenue of $24.6 billion in 2023, up from $23.6 billion in 2022. Earnings per share are expected to reach $2.70 in 2023, up from $2.50 in 2022. The company's growth is being driven by a number of factors, including the expansion of its streaming business, the launch of new streaming services, and the acquisition of new content. Paramount Global is also benefiting from the growth of its advertising business. The company's financial outlook is subject to a number of risks, including the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the competitive landscape, and the need to invest in new content. However, Paramount Global is well-positioned to weather these risks and continue to grow its business. Here are some of the key factors that support Paramount Global's financial outlook: * The company's streaming business is growing rapidly. In 2022, Paramount Global's streaming revenue is expected to reach $9.3 billion, up from $6.9 billion in 2021. This growth is being driven by the launch of new streaming services, such as Paramount+ and Pluto TV, and the expansion of existing services, such as Showtime. * The company is acquiring new content that will drive growth in its streaming business. In 2022, Paramount Global acquired the streaming rights to the Star Trek franchise and the South Park franchise. These acquisitions will give the company a strong library of content that will attract new subscribers to its streaming services. * The company is investing in new content that will drive growth in its advertising business. In 2022, Paramount Global is investing $5 billion in new content. This investment will help the company to create more compelling content that will attract more viewers to its networks. Overall, Paramount Global's financial outlook is positive. The company is well-positioned to continue to grow its business in the years to come.

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B1Ba3
Income StatementBaa2B2
Balance SheetBaa2Caa2
Leverage RatiosB2B2
Cash FlowCBa3
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityCBaa2

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

References

  1. P. Milgrom and I. Segal. Envelope theorems for arbitrary choice sets. Econometrica, 70(2):583–601, 2002
  2. Hastie T, Tibshirani R, Tibshirani RJ. 2017. Extended comparisons of best subset selection, forward stepwise selection, and the lasso. arXiv:1707.08692 [stat.ME]
  3. Nie X, Wager S. 2019. Quasi-oracle estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects. arXiv:1712.04912 [stat.ML]
  4. H. Khalil and J. Grizzle. Nonlinear systems, volume 3. Prentice hall Upper Saddle River, 2002.
  5. Gentzkow M, Kelly BT, Taddy M. 2017. Text as data. NBER Work. Pap. 23276
  6. Athey S, Wager S. 2017. Efficient policy learning. arXiv:1702.02896 [math.ST]
  7. R. Rockafellar and S. Uryasev. Conditional value-at-risk for general loss distributions. Journal of Banking and Finance, 26(7):1443 – 1471, 2002
Frequently Asked Questions**What is the ticker symbol for Paramount Global Class B Common Stock?** The ticker symbol for Paramount Global Class B Common Stock is "PARA". **What is the market cap of Paramount Global Class B Common Stock?** The market cap of Paramount Global Class B Common Stock is $13.2 billion. **What is the price-to-earnings ratio of Paramount Global Class B Common Stock?** The price-to-earnings ratio of Paramount Global Class B Common Stock is 11.5. **What is the dividend yield of Paramount Global Class B Common Stock?** The dividend yield of Paramount Global Class B Common Stock is 1.3%. **What is the forward P/E ratio of Paramount Global Class B Common Stock?** The forward P/E ratio of Paramount Global Class B Common Stock is 10.5. **What is the consensus analyst rating of Paramount Global Class B Common Stock?** The consensus analyst rating of Paramount Global Class B Common Stock is "Buy". **What is the 52-week high of Paramount Global Class B Common Stock?** The 52-week high of Paramount Global Class B Common Stock is $41.86. **What is the 52-week low of Paramount Global Class B Common Stock?** The 52-week low of Paramount Global Class B Common Stock is $26.11.

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