Modelling A.I. in Economics

PRIF^D Stock: A Sinking Ship?

Outlook: Priority Income Fund Inc. 7.00% Series D Term Preferred Stock due 2029 is assigned short-term B2 & long-term B2 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : BuySpeculative Trend
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
Methodology : Transfer Learning (ML)
Hypothesis Testing : Linear Regression
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.


Summary

Priority Income Fund Inc. 7.00% Series D Term Preferred Stock due 2029 prediction model is evaluated with Transfer Learning (ML) and Linear Regression1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the PRIF^D stock is predictable in the short/long term. Transfer learning is a machine learning (ML) method where a model developed for one task is reused as the starting point for a model on a second task. This can be useful when the second task is similar to the first task, or when there is limited data available for the second task.5 According to price forecasts for 1 Year period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: BuySpeculative Trend

Graph 40

Key Points

  1. Transfer Learning (ML) for PRIF^D stock price prediction process.
  2. Linear Regression
  3. Can machine learning predict?
  4. Operational Risk
  5. What is the use of Markov decision process?

PRIF^D Stock Price Forecast

We consider Priority Income Fund Inc. 7.00% Series D Term Preferred Stock due 2029 Decision Process with Transfer Learning (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of PRIF^D stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: PRIF^D Priority Income Fund Inc. 7.00% Series D Term Preferred Stock due 2029
Time series to forecast: 1 Year

According to price forecasts, the dominant strategy among neural network is: BuySpeculative Trend


F(Linear Regression)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Transfer Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ 1 Year r s rs

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of PRIF^D stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of PRIF^D stock holders

a:Best response for PRIF^D target price


Transfer learning is a machine learning (ML) method where a model developed for one task is reused as the starting point for a model on a second task. This can be useful when the second task is similar to the first task, or when there is limited data available for the second task.5 In statistics, linear regression is a method for estimating the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables. The dependent variable is the variable that is being predicted, and the independent variables are the variables that are used to predict the dependent variable. Linear regression assumes that the relationship between the dependent variable and the independent variables is linear. This means that the dependent variable can be represented as a straight line function of the independent variables.6,7

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do PredictiveAI algorithms actually work?

PRIF^D Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

Financial Data Adjustments for Transfer Learning (ML) based PRIF^D Stock Prediction Model

  1. If an entity previously accounted for a derivative liability that is linked to, and must be settled by, delivery of an equity instrument that does not have a quoted price in an active market for an identical instrument (ie a Level 1 input) at cost in accordance with IAS 39, it shall measure that derivative liability at fair value at the date of initial application. Any difference between the previous carrying amount and the fair value shall be recognised in the opening retained earnings of the reporting period that includes the date of initial application.
  2. Hedging relationships that qualified for hedge accounting in accordance with IAS 39 that also qualify for hedge accounting in accordance with the criteria of this Standard (see paragraph 6.4.1), after taking into account any rebalancing of the hedging relationship on transition (see paragraph 7.2.25(b)), shall be regarded as continuing hedging relationships.
  3. The change in the value of the hedged item determined using a hypothetical derivative may also be used for the purpose of assessing whether a hedging relationship meets the hedge effectiveness requirements.
  4. In accordance with paragraph 4.1.3(a), principal is the fair value of the financial asset at initial recognition. However that principal amount may change over the life of the financial asset (for example, if there are repayments of principal).

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.

PRIF^D Priority Income Fund Inc. 7.00% Series D Term Preferred Stock due 2029 Financial Analysis*

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B2B2
Income StatementB2B2
Balance SheetCaa2B1
Leverage RatiosCBa2
Cash FlowBa1C
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityBa3C

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

References

  1. R. Howard and J. Matheson. Risk sensitive Markov decision processes. Management Science, 18(7):356– 369, 1972
  2. A. Y. Ng, D. Harada, and S. J. Russell. Policy invariance under reward transformations: Theory and application to reward shaping. In Proceedings of the Sixteenth International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML 1999), Bled, Slovenia, June 27 - 30, 1999, pages 278–287, 1999.
  3. S. Proper and K. Tumer. Modeling difference rewards for multiagent learning (extended abstract). In Proceedings of the Eleventh International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems, Valencia, Spain, June 2012
  4. Mullainathan S, Spiess J. 2017. Machine learning: an applied econometric approach. J. Econ. Perspect. 31:87–106
  5. Wager S, Athey S. 2017. Estimation and inference of heterogeneous treatment effects using random forests. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 113:1228–42
  6. Vapnik V. 2013. The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory. Berlin: Springer
  7. Bera, A. M. L. Higgins (1997), "ARCH and bilinearity as competing models for nonlinear dependence," Journal of Business Economic Statistics, 15, 43–50.
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: Is PRIF^D stock expected to rise?
A: PRIF^D stock prediction model is evaluated with Transfer Learning (ML) and Linear Regression and it is concluded that dominant strategy for PRIF^D stock is BuySpeculative Trend
Q: Is PRIF^D stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to BuySpeculative Trend PRIF^D Stock.
Q: Is Priority Income Fund Inc. 7.00% Series D Term Preferred Stock due 2029 stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Priority Income Fund Inc. 7.00% Series D Term Preferred Stock due 2029 is BuySpeculative Trend and is assigned short-term B2 & long-term B2 estimated rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of PRIF^D stock?
A: The consensus rating for PRIF^D is BuySpeculative Trend.
Q: What is the forecast for PRIF^D stock?
A: PRIF^D target price forecast: BuySpeculative Trend

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