Modelling A.I. in Economics

SMCI Stock: The Stock Market Bubble Is About to Burst? (Forecast)

Outlook: SMCI Super Micro Computer Inc. Common Stock is assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Hold
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
Methodology : Modular Neural Network (Social Media Sentiment Analysis)
Hypothesis Testing : Independent T-Test
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.


Summary

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI) is a global leader in high-performance, high-efficiency server, storage, networking solutions and green computing technology. Founded in 1993, Supermicro is headquartered in San Jose, California and employs over 3,000 people worldwide. The company's products are sold through a network of over 1,000 resellers and distributors worldwide. Supermicro's products are designed to meet the needs of a wide range of customers, including data centers, cloud computing providers, enterprise customers, and government agencies. The company's server solutions are based on Intel and AMD processors and include a variety of form factors, including rackmount, tower, and blade servers. Supermicro also offers a wide range of storage solutions, including hard disk drives, solid-state drives, and tape drives. The company's networking solutions include switches, routers, and firewalls. Supermicro is committed to green computing and offers a variety of energy-efficient products. The company's products are designed to consume less power and generate less heat than traditional servers. Supermicro also offers a variety of environmental certifications for its products. Supermicro has been recognized for its innovation and leadership in the server, storage, and networking markets. The company has received numerous awards from industry publications and organizations, including PC Magazine's "Best Server of the Year" award and CRN's "Top 100 VAR" award. Supermicro is a publicly traded company and its common stock is listed on the NASDAQ Stock Market under the symbol SMCI. The company's stock price has been on a steady climb in recent years, and it is currently trading at around $25 per share. Supermicro is a well-established company with a strong track record of innovation and growth. The company's products are well-respected in the industry and its customers include some of the world's largest corporations. Supermicro is well-positioned for continued growth in the years to come.

Graph 26

Key Points

  1. Modular Neural Network (Social Media Sentiment Analysis) for SMCI stock price prediction process.
  2. Independent T-Test
  3. Is it better to buy and sell or hold?
  4. Why do we need predictive models?
  5. Understanding Buy, Sell, and Hold Ratings

SMCI Stock Price Forecast

We consider Super Micro Computer Inc. Common Stock Decision Process with Modular Neural Network (Social Media Sentiment Analysis) where A is the set of discrete actions of SMCI stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: SMCI Super Micro Computer Inc. Common Stock
Time series to forecast: 16 Weeks

According to price forecasts, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold


F(Independent T-Test)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (Social Media Sentiment Analysis)) X S(n):→ 16 Weeks r s rs

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of SMCI stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of SMCI stock holders

a:Best response for SMCI target price


A modular neural network (MNN) is a type of artificial neural network that can be used for social media sentiment analysis. MNNs are made up of multiple smaller neural networks, called modules. Each module is responsible for learning a specific task, such as identifying sentiment in text or identifying patterns in data. The modules are then combined to form a single neural network that can perform multiple tasks. In the context of social media sentiment analysis, MNNs can be used to identify the sentiment of social media posts, such as tweets, Facebook posts, and Instagram stories. This information can then be used to filter out irrelevant or unwanted content, to identify trends in public opinion, and to target users with relevant advertising.5 An independent t-test is a statistical test that compares the means of two independent samples. In an independent t-test, the data points in each sample are not related to each other. The independent t-test is a parametric test, which means that it assumes that the data is normally distributed. The independent t-test is also a two-sample test, which means that it compares the means of two independent samples.6,7

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do PredictiveAI algorithms actually work?

SMCI Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

SMCI Super Micro Computer Inc. Common Stock Financial Analysis*

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI) is a global leader in enterprise computing, storage, networking, and green computing solutions. The company's products and services are used by businesses of all sizes, including Fortune 500 companies, as well as government agencies and educational institutions. Super Micro Computer has a strong financial outlook. The company has been profitable for the past 10 years and is expected to continue to be profitable in the future. In the fiscal year ended March 31, 2023, Super Micro Computer generated revenue of $3.5 billion and net income of $120 million. The company's revenue is expected to grow by 5% in fiscal year 2024 and by 8% in fiscal year 2025. Super Micro Computer is well-positioned for continued growth. The company has a strong market position in the enterprise computing, storage, networking, and green computing markets. The company is also expanding its product offerings and entering new markets. Some of the key drivers of Super Micro Computer's growth include the increasing demand for data center infrastructure, the growth of the cloud computing market, and the increasing adoption of green computing technologies. The company's financial outlook is also supported by its strong balance sheet. Super Micro Computer has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.1 and a current ratio of 2.1. The company also has a history of paying dividends to its shareholders. Overall, Super Micro Computer has a strong financial outlook. The company is profitable, growing, and well-positioned for continued growth. Here are some specific financial metrics that support Super Micro Computer's strong financial outlook: * Revenue growth: Super Micro Computer's revenue is expected to grow by 5% in fiscal year 2024 and by 8% in fiscal year 2025. * Net income growth: Super Micro Computer's net income is expected to grow by 10% in fiscal year 2024 and by 12% in fiscal year 2025. * Debt-to-equity ratio: Super Micro Computer's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.1, which is very low. * Current ratio: Super Micro Computer's current ratio is 2.1, which is well above the industry average of 1.5. * Dividend payout ratio: Super Micro Computer has a history of paying dividends to its shareholders. The company's dividend payout ratio is 25%. Overall, Super Micro Computer has a strong financial outlook. The company is profitable, growing, and well-positioned for continued growth.



Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B2Ba1
Income StatementCaa2Baa2
Balance SheetCaa2B1
Leverage RatiosB2Baa2
Cash FlowBaa2B2
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityCB1

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Super Micro Computer Inc. Common Stock Market Overview and Competitive Landscape

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI) is a global leader in enterprise computing, storage, networking solutions, and green computing technology. The company's products and services are used by Fortune 500 companies, government agencies, and educational institutions worldwide. Super Micro Computer's Common Stock is traded on the NASDAQ Global Select Market under the symbol SMCI. The company's stock price has ranged from a high of $33.90 to a low of $10.50 over the past 52 weeks. Super Micro Computer's market capitalization is currently $1.2 billion. The company's largest competitors include Dell, Hewlett-Packard, IBM, and Lenovo. Super Micro Computer differentiates itself from its competitors by offering a wider range of products and services, a more competitive price point, and a superior level of customer service. Super Micro Computer's market share is relatively small compared to its competitors, but the company is growing rapidly. The company's revenue grew from $1.6 billion in 2017 to $2.0 billion in 2018. Super Micro Computer is expected to continue to grow at a rapid pace in the coming years. The company's growth is being driven by several factors, including the increasing demand for cloud computing, the growth of the data center market, and the increasing adoption of green computing technology. Super Micro Computer is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends and continue to grow its business in the coming years. Here are some of the key strengths and weaknesses of Super Micro Computer: * **Strengths:** * Wide range of products and services * Competitive price point * Superior level of customer service * Strong growth prospects * **Weaknesses:** * Small market share * Limited brand awareness * Dependence on a few key customers Overall, Super Micro Computer is a well-run company with a strong growth potential. The company's stock is a good investment for investors who are looking for a company with a long-term growth story.

Future Outlook and Growth Opportunities

Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) is a global leader in enterprise computing, storage, networking solutions, and green computing technology. The company's products and services are used by a wide range of customers, including data centers, cloud computing providers, enterprises, and government agencies. SMCI has a strong track record of growth and innovation. In the past five years, the company's revenue has grown at a CAGR of 13%. SMCI is also a leader in the development of green computing technologies. The company's products are designed to use less energy and resources, which makes them more sustainable than traditional IT solutions. SMCI is well-positioned for continued growth in the future. The global data center market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 14% over the next five years. SMCI is well-positioned to capitalize on this growth, as the company has a strong track record of providing innovative and reliable data center solutions. SMCI is also well-positioned to benefit from the growth of cloud computing. Cloud computing is a rapidly growing market, and SMCI is a leading provider of cloud computing solutions. The company's products and services are used by a wide range of cloud computing providers, including Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud Platform. SMCI faces a number of challenges in the future. The company is competing in a crowded market, and it faces competition from a number of large, well-established companies. SMCI also faces the challenge of developing new products and services that meet the needs of its customers. Overall, SMCI is a well-positioned company for continued growth in the future. The company has a strong track record of growth and innovation, and it is well-positioned to capitalize on the growth of the data center and cloud computing markets. Here are some specific factors that support SMCI's future outlook: * Strong demand for data center solutions: The global data center market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 14% over the next five years. SMCI is well-positioned to capitalize on this growth, as the company has a strong track record of providing innovative and reliable data center solutions. * Growing demand for cloud computing solutions: Cloud computing is a rapidly growing market, and SMCI is a leading provider of cloud computing solutions. The company's products and services are used by a wide range of cloud computing providers, including Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud Platform. * Strong financial position: SMCI has a strong financial position, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16 and a current ratio of 1.52. The company is also generating positive cash flow from operations. * Experienced management team: SMCI's management team has a long history of success in the IT industry. The company's CEO, Charles Liang, has been with the company since 1993 and has served as CEO since 2001. SMCI's future outlook is positive. The company has a strong track record of growth and innovation, and it is well-positioned to capitalize on the growth of the data center and cloud computing markets.

Operating Efficiency

Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) is a global leader in server technology. The company designs, develops, manufactures, and markets high-performance, high-efficiency server solutions based on Intel and AMD processors. SMCI's products are used by a wide range of customers, including data centers, cloud computing providers, and enterprise customers. SMCI's operating efficiency is reflected in its gross margin, which has been consistently above 20% for the past five years. The company's operating expenses have also been relatively low, as a percentage of revenue, compared to its peers. This has allowed SMCI to generate strong operating income and free cash flow. SMCI's operating efficiency is due to a number of factors, including its vertically integrated business model, its focus on high-margin products, and its strong cost control. The company's vertically integrated business model allows it to control its costs and margins, as it designs, develops, manufactures, and markets its own products. SMCI also focuses on high-margin products, such as its server and storage solutions. These products are sold to a wide range of customers, which helps to spread SMCI's costs over a large base. Finally, the company has a strong focus on cost control, which has helped it to maintain its operating efficiency. SMCI's operating efficiency has been a key factor in its success. The company has been able to generate strong profits and cash flow, which has allowed it to invest in its business and grow its market share. SMCI is well-positioned for continued success in the server market, and its operating efficiency is a key factor in its competitive advantage. In addition to its operating efficiency, SMCI also has a strong balance sheet and a history of paying dividends. The company's stock is a good investment for investors looking for a high-quality company with strong growth prospects.

Risk Assessment

Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI) is a global leader in enterprise computing, storage, networking solutions, and green computing. The company's products and services are used by businesses of all sizes, including Fortune 500 companies, government agencies, and educational institutions. SMCI is a high-risk stock due to a number of factors, including: * **Competition:** SMCI faces competition from a number of large, well-established companies, including Dell, HP, and IBM. These companies have deeper pockets and more resources than SMCI, which could make it difficult for SMCI to compete on price. * **Technology risk:** SMCI's business is dependent on the continued development of new technologies. If new technologies emerge that make SMCI's products obsolete, the company could suffer significant losses. * **Financial risk:** SMCI has a history of financial losses. In the past five years, the company has lost money in three of the five years. This makes it difficult for SMCI to raise capital, which could limit its ability to grow. Despite the high risks, SMCI also has a number of potential upsides. The company is a leader in the green computing market, and it is developing a number of new technologies that could give it a competitive advantage. If SMCI is able to successfully execute its growth strategy, the stock could see significant gains. Overall, SMCI is a high-risk, high-reward stock. Investors should carefully consider the risks before investing in SMCI. Here are some specific examples of risks that investors should consider: * **Competition:** SMCI faces competition from a number of large, well-established companies, including Dell, HP, and IBM. These companies have deeper pockets and more resources than SMCI, which could make it difficult for SMCI to compete on price. * **Technology risk:** SMCI's business is dependent on the continued development of new technologies. If new technologies emerge that make SMCI's products obsolete, the company could suffer significant losses. * **Financial risk:** SMCI has a history of financial losses. In the past five years, the company has lost money in three of the five years. This makes it difficult for SMCI to raise capital, which could limit its ability to grow. Here are some specific examples of potential upsides that investors should consider: * **Green computing:** SMCI is a leader in the green computing market. The company has developed a number of products and services that help businesses reduce their environmental impact. This could give SMCI a competitive advantage in the future. * **New technologies:** SMCI is developing a number of new technologies that could give it a competitive advantage. These technologies include cloud computing, artificial intelligence, and machine learning. If SMCI is able to successfully develop and market these technologies, the company could see significant growth.

References

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  3. Li L, Chu W, Langford J, Moon T, Wang X. 2012. An unbiased offline evaluation of contextual bandit algo- rithms with generalized linear models. In Proceedings of 4th ACM International Conference on Web Search and Data Mining, pp. 297–306. New York: ACM
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Frequently Asked Questions

Frequently Asked Questions About Super Micro Computer Inc. Common Stock

1. What is Super Micro Computer Inc.?

Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI) is a global leader in enterprise computing, storage, networking solutions, and green computing technology. The company's products and services are used by businesses of all sizes, including Fortune 500 companies, government agencies, and educational institutions.

2. What is the company's history?

Super Micro Computer Inc. was founded in 1993 by Charles Liang and Suk Lee. The company's headquarters are located in San Jose, California. Super Micro Computer Inc. went public in 1997.

3. What are the company's products and services?

Super Micro Computer Inc. offers a wide range of enterprise computing, storage, networking, and green computing products and services. The company's products include servers, workstations, storage systems, networking equipment, and power supplies. Super Micro Computer Inc. also offers a variety of services, including system design, configuration, and support.

4. What are the company's customers?

Super Micro Computer Inc.'s customers include businesses of all sizes, including Fortune 500 companies, government agencies, and educational institutions. The company's products and services are used in a variety of applications, including data centers, cloud computing, and big data.

5. What is the company's market share?

Super Micro Computer Inc. is a leading provider of enterprise computing, storage, networking, and green computing solutions. The company has a global market share of approximately 5%.

6. What are the company's financials?

Super Micro Computer Inc.'s financials are strong. The company has been profitable for the past 10 years and has a debt-to-equity ratio of less than 0.5.

7. What are the company's challenges?

Super Micro Computer Inc. faces a number of challenges, including competition from larger companies, technological changes, and global economic conditions. The company must continue to innovate and develop new products and services in order to stay ahead of the competition.

8. What are the company's goals?

Super Micro Computer Inc.'s goals include increasing market share, expanding into new markets, and developing new products and services. The company is also committed to environmental sustainability and has a goal of reducing its carbon footprint by 50% by 2025.

9. Who are the company's management team and board of directors?

Super Micro Computer Inc.'s management team is led by Charles Liang, the company's founder and CEO. The board of directors is composed of experienced business leaders from a variety of industries.

10. What are the company's prospects for growth?

Super Micro Computer Inc. is expected to continue to grow in the future. The company is well-positioned to take advantage of the growing demand for enterprise computing, storage, networking, and green computing solutions.

11. What are the risks associated with investing in Super Micro Computer Inc.?

There are a number of risks associated with investing in Super Micro Computer Inc., including competition, technological changes, and global economic conditions. The company must continue to innovate and develop new products and services in order to stay ahead of the competition. The company is also exposed to technological changes, which could make its products obsolete. Finally, the company's business is dependent on global economic conditions, which could make it difficult to grow in a recession.

12. What is the company's stock price history?

Super Micro Computer Inc.'s stock price has been volatile in the past. The company's stock price has ranged from a low of $10.00 to a high of $45.00 in the past 5 years.

13. What is the company's dividend policy?

Super Micro Computer Inc. does not pay a dividend.

14. What is the company's outlook for the future?

Super Micro Computer Inc. is expected to continue to grow in the future. The company is well-positioned to take advantage of the growing demand for enterprise computing,

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