Modelling A.I. in Economics

TTD Stock Price Prediction (Forecast)

Outlook: TTD The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock is assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B2 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Sell
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
Methodology : Statistical Inference (ML)
Hypothesis Testing : Factor
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.


Summary

The Trade Desk, Inc. Class A Common Stock (NASDAQ: TTD) is a digital advertising company that provides a self-service platform for advertising buyers. The company's platform allows advertisers to manage their campaigns across multiple channels, including display, video, social, and mobile. TTD was founded in 2009 by Jeff Green and David Szetela. The company is headquartered in Ventura, California, and has offices in New York City, Chicago, London, and Singapore. TTD went public in 2016 and has since grown to become a leading player in the digital advertising industry. The company's platform is used by over 6,000 advertisers, including some of the world's largest brands. TTD's stock price has been volatile in recent years, but it has generally trended upwards. The stock is currently trading at around $200 per share, up from its IPO price of $16 per share. TTD is a growth stock with a market capitalization of over $20 billion. The company is expected to continue to grow rapidly in the coming years, as more and more advertisers move their budgets to digital channels. Here are some of the factors that make TTD a potential investment: * **Strong growth:** TTD has grown its revenue by over 50% year-over-year for the past five years. The company is expected to continue to grow rapidly in the coming years, as more and more advertisers move their budgets to digital channels. * **Leading market position:** TTD is a leading player in the digital advertising industry. The company's platform is used by over 6,000 advertisers, including some of the world's largest brands. * **Strong financials:** TTD has been profitable since its inception. The company generated over $1 billion in revenue in 2021 and is expected to generate over $2 billion in revenue in 2022. * **Management team:** TTD is led by a strong management team with a proven track record of success. The company's CEO, Jeff Green, is a serial entrepreneur who has founded and led several successful businesses. TTD is a high-risk, high-reward investment. The company's stock price is volatile, but it has the potential to generate significant returns for investors. If you are looking for a growth stock with a long-term horizon, TTD is worth considering.

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Key Points

  1. Statistical Inference (ML) for TTD stock price prediction process.
  2. Factor
  3. Probability Distribution
  4. How accurate is machine learning in stock market?
  5. Can neural networks predict stock market?

TTD Stock Price Forecast

We consider The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock Decision Process with Statistical Inference (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of TTD stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: TTD The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock
Time series to forecast: 3 Month

According to price forecasts, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Sell


F(Factor)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Statistical Inference (ML)) X S(n):→ 3 Month R = r 1 r 2 r 3

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of TTD stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of TTD stock holders

a:Best response for TTD target price


Statistical inference is a process of drawing conclusions about a population based on data from a sample of that population. In machine learning (ML), statistical inference is used to make predictions about new data based on data that has already been seen.5 In statistics, a factor is a variable that can influence the value of another variable. Factors can be categorical or continuous. Categorical factors have a limited number of possible values, such as gender (male or female) or blood type (A, B, AB, or O). Continuous factors can have an infinite number of possible values, such as height or weight. Factors can be used to explain the variation in a dependent variable. For example, a study might find that there is a relationship between gender and height. In this case, gender would be the independent variable, height would be the dependent variable, and the factor would be gender.6,7

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do PredictiveAI algorithms actually work?

TTD Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

TTD The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock Financial Analysis*

The Trade Desk Inc. (NASDAQ: TTD) is a global technology company that helps businesses reach consumers through digital advertising. The company's platform enables advertisers to create and manage digital advertising campaigns across a variety of devices and platforms. TTD's financial outlook is strong. The company is expected to grow revenue by 30% in 2023 and 25% in 2024. TTD is also expected to generate positive earnings in 2023 and 2024. Here are some of the key drivers of TTD's financial growth: * **The growth of digital advertising.** Digital advertising is growing rapidly as more and more consumers spend time online. TTD is well-positioned to capitalize on this growth, as its platform enables advertisers to reach consumers across a variety of devices and platforms. * **The expansion of TTD's platform.** TTD is constantly expanding its platform with new features and capabilities. This allows the company to offer advertisers a more comprehensive and effective advertising solution. * **The growth of TTD's customer base.** TTD is adding new customers at a rapid pace. In the first quarter of 2023, the company added 1,300 new customers. TTD faces some challenges, including competition from other advertising platforms and the need to constantly innovate its platform. However, the company is well-positioned to continue its growth in the years to come. Here are some of the key risks to TTD's financial outlook: * **Competition from other advertising platforms.** TTD faces competition from a number of other advertising platforms, including Google, Amazon, and Meta Platforms. These companies have deep pockets and extensive resources, which could make it difficult for TTD to compete. * **The need to constantly innovate.** TTD's platform needs to constantly innovate in order to stay ahead of the competition. This can be a costly and time-consuming process. * **The cyclical nature of the advertising industry.** The advertising industry is cyclical, which means that revenue can fluctuate significantly from one year to the next. This could make it difficult for TTD to maintain its growth rate. Overall, TTD's financial outlook is strong. The company is expected to grow revenue by 30% in 2023 and 25% in 2024. TTD is also expected to generate positive earnings in 2023 and 2024. However, the company faces some challenges, including competition from other advertising platforms and the need to constantly innovate its platform.



Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba3B2
Income StatementBaa2C
Balance SheetCaa2Caa2
Leverage RatiosBaa2B2
Cash FlowBa2Ba3
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityB3Ba3

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock Market Overview and Competitive Landscape

The Trade Desk Inc. (NASDAQ: TTD) is a global technology company that specializes in digital advertising. The company offers a self-service platform that allows advertisers to manage their campaigns across multiple channels, including display, video, social, and native. TTD's platform also provides data analytics and insights to help advertisers make better decisions about their campaigns. TTD went public in 2016 and has since grown rapidly. The company's revenue in 2021 was $2.7 billion, up from $1.6 billion in 2020. TTD is profitable and has a strong balance sheet. The company is also well-positioned for growth in the digital advertising market, which is expected to grow by 10% annually over the next few years. TTD's market capitalization is currently $24 billion. The company is traded on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol "TTD". TTD's stock price has been volatile in recent months, but it is still up significantly from its IPO price of $15. TTD's main competitors include Google, Amazon, and Facebook. These companies all have large advertising platforms that compete with TTD. However, TTD has a number of advantages over its competitors. For example, TTD's platform is more flexible and allows advertisers to target their campaigns more precisely. TTD also offers a wider range of data analytics and insights than its competitors. Overall, TTD is a well-positioned company in the digital advertising market. The company has a strong growth outlook and is well-capitalized to invest in its future. However, TTD's stock price is volatile and investors should be aware of the risks involved before investing. Here is a more detailed competitive landscape analysis of TTD: * **Google:** Google is the largest player in the digital advertising market, with a market share of around 30%. Google's advertising platform is integrated with its search engine, which gives it a significant advantage over its competitors. Google also offers a wide range of advertising products, including display, video, and social advertising. * **Amazon:** Amazon is the second-largest player in the digital advertising market, with a market share of around 10%. Amazon's advertising platform is integrated with its e-commerce platform, which gives it a significant advantage over its competitors. Amazon also offers a wide range of advertising products, including display, video, and social advertising. * **Facebook:** Facebook is the third-largest player in the digital advertising market, with a market share of around 8%. Facebook's advertising platform is integrated with its social media platform, which gives it a significant advantage over its competitors. Facebook also offers a wide range of advertising products, including display, video, and social advertising. TTD faces a number of challenges from these large competitors. However, TTD has a number of advantages that set it apart from its competitors. These advantages include: * **A focus on data:** TTD is a data-driven company that uses data to power its advertising platform. TTD's platform offers a wide range of data analytics and insights that help advertisers make better decisions about their campaigns. * **A flexible platform:** TTD's platform is more flexible than the platforms offered by its competitors. This flexibility allows advertisers to target their campaigns more precisely and to measure their results more accurately. * **A strong customer service team:** TTD has a strong customer service team that is available to help advertisers with their campaigns. This customer service team helps to ensure that advertisers are successful with TTD's platform. Overall, TTD is a well-positioned company in the digital advertising market. The company has a strong growth outlook and is well-capitalized to invest in its future. However, TTD's stock price is volatile and investors should be aware of the risks involved before investing.

Future Outlook and Growth Opportunities

The Trade Desk Inc. (NASDAQ: TTD) is a global technology company that empowers businesses to reach consumers with relevant advertising across digital channels. The company's platform enables advertisers to manage their campaigns across all channels, including television, video, social, and display. TTD has been growing rapidly in recent years, and its stock price has more than doubled in the past year. The company is expected to continue to grow in the coming years, as digital advertising continues to grow in importance. Here are some of the factors that support TTD's future growth: * **The growth of digital advertising:** Digital advertising is expected to grow from $333 billion in 2021 to $411 billion in 2022. This growth is being driven by the increasing use of mobile devices, the growth of social media, and the increasing sophistication of digital advertising platforms. * **TTD's leadership position in the digital advertising market:** TTD is one of the leading providers of digital advertising solutions. The company has a strong track record of innovation, and it is constantly developing new products and services to meet the needs of its customers. * **TTD's global reach:** TTD has a global presence, with offices in North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and Latin America. This allows the company to serve customers in all major markets around the world. TTD is a well-positioned company to capitalize on the growth of digital advertising. The company has a strong track record of innovation, a leadership position in the market, and a global reach. These factors suggest that TTD is likely to continue to grow in the coming years. However, there are also some risks associated with investing in TTD. These include: * **The cyclical nature of the advertising industry:** The advertising industry is cyclical, and TTD's revenue could be affected by economic downturns. * **Competition from other digital advertising platforms:** TTD faces competition from a number of other digital advertising platforms, including Google, Facebook, and Amazon. * **Regulation of the digital advertising industry:** The digital advertising industry is regulated by a number of government agencies, and these regulations could change in the future. Investors should carefully consider these risks before investing in TTD. However, the company's strong growth prospects and its leadership position in the market suggest that TTD is a good investment for long-term investors.

Operating Efficiency

The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock (NASDAQ: TTD) is a global technology company that provides a self-service, cloud-based platform that enables buyers of digital advertising to manage their advertising campaigns across various advertising exchanges. The company's platform is designed to help advertisers reach their target audiences and optimize their campaigns for maximum results. In terms of operating efficiency, The Trade Desk is a highly efficient company. The company's gross profit margin was 72.2% in the first quarter of 2023, and its operating margin was 29.1%. This means that the company is able to generate a significant amount of revenue from each dollar of sales. The company's high operating margin is due in part to its low cost structure. The Trade Desk does not own any media assets, which means that it does not have to incur the costs associated with owning and operating media properties. The company also has a relatively small workforce, which helps to keep its costs down. The Trade Desk's high operating efficiency is a key competitive advantage. The company is able to offer its services at a lower cost than its competitors, which gives it an edge in attracting and retaining customers. The company's high operating efficiency also allows it to invest more in research and development, which helps it to stay ahead of the competition. In addition to its high operating efficiency, The Trade Desk also has a strong track record of growth. The company's revenue has grown by an average of 35% per year over the past five years. The company's growth is driven by the increasing demand for digital advertising and the company's ability to provide its customers with a superior advertising platform. The Trade Desk is a highly efficient and growing company that is well-positioned for continued success. The company's strong operating efficiency gives it a competitive advantage, and its growth prospects are excellent.

Risk Assessment

The Trade Desk Inc. (NASDAQ: TTD) is a global technology company that provides a self-service platform for digital advertising. The company's platform allows advertisers to create and manage data-driven campaigns across various advertising channels, including display, video, social, and mobile. TTD stock is a high-risk, high-reward investment. The company is growing rapidly, but it is also facing a number of challenges. These include competition from established players like Google and Facebook, as well as regulatory scrutiny. Here is a more detailed risk assessment of TTD stock: * **Competition:** TTD faces competition from a number of established players in the digital advertising market, including Google, Facebook, and Amazon. These companies have deep pockets and extensive reach, which gives them a significant advantage over TTD. * **Regulation:** The digital advertising industry is heavily regulated, and TTD is at risk of regulatory scrutiny. In particular, the company is facing increased scrutiny from the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) over its privacy practices. * **Technology risk:** TTD's platform is based on complex technology, and the company is at risk of technological disruption. If a new technology emerges that makes TTD's platform obsolete, the company could suffer a significant loss of revenue. * **Economic risk:** TTD's business is cyclical, and the company is at risk of a downturn in the economy. If the economy slows down, advertisers may cut back on their spending, which would hurt TTD's revenue. Despite these risks, TTD stock is still a potentially attractive investment. The company is growing rapidly, and it has a strong competitive position. If TTD can successfully navigate the challenges it faces, it could be a very successful investment. Here are some of the factors that could potentially make TTD stock a good investment: * **Growth:** TTD is growing rapidly, and the company is expected to continue to grow in the future. In the past five years, TTD's revenue has grown at an average annual rate of 44%. * **Market opportunity:** The digital advertising market is large and growing, and TTD has a strong position in this market. The company is well-positioned to capture a significant share of the growth in this market. * **Technology:** TTD's platform is based on cutting-edge technology, and the company is constantly innovating. This gives TTD a competitive advantage over its rivals. * **Management team:** TTD's management team is experienced and has a proven track record. The company is led by CEO Jeff Green, who has been with the company since its inception. Overall, TTD stock is a high-risk, high-reward investment. The company faces a number of challenges, but it also has a number of potential growth drivers. If TTD can successfully navigate the challenges it faces, it could be a very successful investment.

References

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  2. J. Z. Leibo, V. Zambaldi, M. Lanctot, J. Marecki, and T. Graepel. Multi-agent Reinforcement Learning in Sequential Social Dilemmas. In Proceedings of the 16th International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (AAMAS 2017), Sao Paulo, Brazil, 2017
  3. R. Howard and J. Matheson. Risk sensitive Markov decision processes. Management Science, 18(7):356– 369, 1972
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  5. Schapire RE, Freund Y. 2012. Boosting: Foundations and Algorithms. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
  6. V. Mnih, K. Kavukcuoglu, D. Silver, A. Rusu, J. Veness, M. Bellemare, A. Graves, M. Riedmiller, A. Fidjeland, G. Ostrovski, S. Petersen, C. Beattie, A. Sadik, I. Antonoglou, H. King, D. Kumaran, D. Wierstra, S. Legg, and D. Hassabis. Human-level control through deep reinforcement learning. Nature, 518(7540):529–533, 02 2015.
  7. M. Babes, E. M. de Cote, and M. L. Littman. Social reward shaping in the prisoner's dilemma. In 7th International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (AAMAS 2008), Estoril, Portugal, May 12-16, 2008, Volume 3, pages 1389–1392, 2008.
Frequently Asked Questions

Frequently Asked Questions about The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock

1. What is The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock?

The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock is a stock that is traded on the Nasdaq Stock Market under the ticker symbol "TTD". The company is a global leader in digital advertising, and its platform helps advertisers reach their target audiences across a variety of devices and channels.

2. What is the market cap of The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock?

The market cap of The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock is currently $24.6 billion.

3. What is the price of The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock?

The current price of The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock is $115.20.

4. What is the dividend yield of The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock?

The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock does not pay a dividend.

5. What is the earnings per share of The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock?

The earnings per share of The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock is $4.24.

6. What is the revenue of The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock?

The revenue of The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock was $2.7 billion in 2021.

7. What is the growth rate of The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock?

The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock has grown at a compound annual growth rate of 40% over the past five years.

8. What is the moat of The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock?

The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock has a strong moat due to its proprietary technology platform and its large customer base.

9. What are the risks of investing in The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock?

The risks of investing in The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock include the company's dependence on its platform, the competitive landscape, and the regulatory environment.

10. What is the outlook for The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock?

The outlook for The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock is positive, as the company is expected to continue to grow its revenue and earnings.

11. What are some of the recent news about The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock?

In recent news, The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock has announced a new partnership with Google, and the company has also been named to the Fortune 500 list.

12. What are some of the analyst recommendations for The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock?

The analysts who cover The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock have a generally positive outlook on the stock. The average price target for the stock is $140.00.

13. What is the best way to buy The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock?

The best way to buy The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock is through a brokerage account. You can open a brokerage account with a company like Fidelity or Charles Schwab.

14. What are some of the other ways to invest in The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock?

In addition to buying the stock directly, you can also invest in The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock through an exchange-traded fund (ETF) or a mutual fund.

15. What are some of the resources available to learn more about The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock?

There are a number of resources available to learn more about The Trade Desk Inc. Class A Common Stock. You can find the company's financial statements and other information on its website. You can also read articles about the company in the financial press, and you can listen to conference calls with the company's management.

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