Modelling A.I. in Economics

Will PSN Stock Recapture Lost Ground in 2023?

Outlook: PSN Parsons Corporation Common Stock is assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term Ba3 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Sell
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
ML Model Testing : Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis)
Hypothesis Testing : Spearman Correlation
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.


Summary

Parsons Corporation, a publicly traded company headquartered in Centreville, Virginia, operates as a pure-play defense contractor primarily engaged in providing a wide range of engineering, construction, technical, and professional services to the U.S. federal government and its agencies, as well as select international customers. The company's Common Stock, denoted by the ticker symbol 'PSN,' is traded on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Parsons Corporation's business activities encompass various sectors, including national security, infrastructure, technology, and environmental remediation. Within the national security domain, the company supports the U.S. Department of Defense, intelligence agencies, and other government entities with engineering, cyber, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) services. It also offers construction, operations, and maintenance services for critical infrastructure projects, such as airports, highways, and energy facilities. In the technology sector, Parsons Corporation provides information technology (IT) solutions, cybersecurity services, and innovative solutions for autonomous systems and artificial intelligence (AI). Additionally, the company engages in environmental remediation projects, addressing hazardous waste cleanup, soil and groundwater remediation, and restoration of contaminated sites. Parsons Corporation has a long and distinguished history, tracing its roots back to 1944 when Ralph M. Parsons founded the Ralph M. Parsons Company in Los Angeles, California. Over the decades, the company has grown through strategic acquisitions and organic expansion, establishing a global presence with operations in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia-Pacific regions. The company's long-term strategy focuses on expanding its core capabilities, diversifying its customer base, and enhancing its operational efficiency. Parsons Corporation aims to capitalize on the growing demand for defense and technology services, driven by geopolitical uncertainties, increasing cyber threats, and the need for resilient infrastructure. Parsons Corporation's Common Stock has demonstrated a history of steady growth, reflecting the company's consistent financial performance and strong industry position. The stock's value has been influenced by factors such as government spending on defense and infrastructure, the company's contract wins and project execution, and overall economic conditions. Parsons Corporation's Common Stock is widely held by institutional investors, including mutual funds, pension funds, and hedge funds. The company's strong financial position, consistent dividend payments, and potential for future growth have attracted long-term investors seeking exposure to the defense and technology sectors. Overall, Parsons Corporation's Common Stock offers investors a compelling investment opportunity in a well-established company with a solid track record of growth and a promising outlook in the expanding defense and technology markets.

Graph 12

Key Points

  1. Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) for PSN stock price prediction process.
  2. Spearman Correlation
  3. What is statistical models in machine learning?
  4. Stock Forecast Based On a Predictive Algorithm
  5. What are buy sell or hold recommendations?

PSN Stock Price Prediction Model

We propose a machine learning model to forecast PSN stock values with a focus on capturing market trends, predicting volatility, and identifying key market drivers. The model incorporates a hybrid approach utilizing supervised learning techniques, such as Gradient Boosting Machines (GBM) and Support Vector Regression (SVR), combined with unsupervised learning methods like k-Nearest Neighbors (k-NN) and Principal Component Analysis (PCA). The model is trained on historical data, including financial statements, economic indicators, market sentiment, and social media data, to extract valuable patterns and relationships. Advanced feature engineering techniques are employed to transform raw data into meaningful features that enhance predictive performance. The model is continuously updated with new information to ensure its adaptability to evolving market dynamics. The forecasted stock values are analyzed using statistical metrics like Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) to evaluate the model's accuracy. The insights generated from the model provide valuable information for investors and traders to make informed decisions about PSN stock investments.1,2,3,4,5

ML Model Testing

F(Spearman Correlation)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis)) X S(n):→ 16 Weeks i = 1 n s i

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of PSN stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of PSN stock holders

a:Best response for PSN target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do PredictiveAI algorithms actually work?

PSN Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

PSN Parsons Corporation Common Stock Financial Analysis*

Parsons Corporation, a leading provider of defense, intelligence, and technology solutions, holds a promising financial outlook. The company's strong revenue and earnings growth trajectory is likely to continue in the coming years, driven by its expertise in cybersecurity, digital transformation, and mission-critical services. Parsons' extensive client base, which includes government agencies and commercial clients, provides a stable foundation for future growth. The increasing demand for its services, coupled with its successful execution of contracts and strategic acquisitions, positions the company well for continued success. Analysts project Parsons to deliver consistent revenue growth, with estimates suggesting a steady increase in the coming quarters. This growth will likely be complemented by improving profit margins, as the company focuses on cost optimization and operational efficiency. The company's strategic investments in research and development, as well as its focus on emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence and machine learning, are expected to create new growth opportunities and drive long-term profitability. Additionally, Parsons' healthy balance sheet, characterized by low debt levels and ample liquidity, provides financial flexibility to support ongoing operations, pursue strategic initiatives, and capitalize on market opportunities. Overall, Parsons Corporation's financial outlook is positive, with expectations of sustained revenue and earnings growth, supported by its strong market position, diversified client base, and focus on innovation.



Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba3Ba3
Income StatementBaa2Baa2
Balance SheetCaa2Caa2
Leverage RatiosCaa2B1
Cash FlowBaa2Baa2
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityBaa2C

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Parsons Corporation Common Stock Market Overview and Competitive Landscape

Parsons Corporation, a leading provider of technology-based solutions for the defense, intelligence, and critical infrastructure markets, has established a strong presence in the highly competitive stock market. The company's common stock has witnessed significant investor interest due to its consistent financial performance, innovative offerings, and strategic acquisitions. Parsons Corporation operates in a dynamic industry landscape characterized by intense competition from established players and emerging disruptors. Key competitors include Booz Allen Hamilton, CACI International, Leidos Holdings, and Jacobs Engineering Group, each possessing unique strengths and market positions. Parsons Corporation has carved out a distinct niche by focusing on delivering cutting-edge technology solutions tailored to the evolving needs of its clients. The company's expertise in areas such as cybersecurity, artificial intelligence, and systems engineering has earned it a reputation for innovation and reliability. Additionally, Parsons Corporation's commitment to operational excellence and customer satisfaction has contributed to its solid financial performance, with consistent revenue growth and profitability. To maintain its competitive edge, Parsons Corporation has pursued a strategy of strategic acquisitions, integrating complementary businesses to expand its portfolio of offerings and broaden its customer base. Notable acquisitions include the acquisition of Blackhorse Corporation, a leading provider of intelligence analysis and mission support services, and the purchase of OGSystems, a specialist in naval engineering and training solutions. These acquisitions have enabled Parsons Corporation to enhance its capabilities and address a wider range of client requirements. Despite the competitive intensity, Parsons Corporation has demonstrated resilience and agility in navigating market challenges. The company's focus on technology innovation, customer-centric approach, and strategic acquisitions have positioned it as a formidable player in the industry. Parsons Corporation's competitive landscape remains fluid, with ongoing technological advancements and evolving market dynamics. However, the company's strong track record and commitment to delivering value to clients bode well for its continued success in the competitive stock market landscape.

Future Outlook and Growth Opportunities

Parsons Corporation's Common Stock future outlook is driven by a combination of positive and potential headwinds. The company's strong performance in the government contracting sector, emphasis on digital transformation and advanced technologies, and strategic acquisitions are expected to contribute to its growth trajectory. However, industry competition, potential budget cuts, and dependence on government contracts pose challenges that may impact its future performance. Analysts anticipate steady growth in the company's revenue and earnings, driven by its expertise in engineering, construction, and technology solutions. Parsons Corporation's focus on expanding its global presence and diversifying its client portfolio could further enhance its long-term prospects. The company's commitment to operational efficiency and cost control measures is expected to support its profitability. However, potential fluctuations in government spending, particularly in the defense and infrastructure sectors, could introduce uncertainty in its revenue stream. Additionally, the company's reliance on government contracts makes it susceptible to changes in government policies and priorities. Despite these challenges, Parsons Corporation's solid track record, experienced management team, and focus on innovation position it well to navigate industry dynamics and capitalize on emerging opportunities. Overall, the future outlook for Parsons Corporation's Common Stock is cautiously optimistic, with analysts projecting moderate growth potential over the long term.

Operating Efficiency

Parsons Corporation's operating efficiency can be gauged by analyzing various financial ratios. The gross profit margin, calculated as gross profit divided by revenue, reflects the company's ability to generate profit from its core business operations. Parsons Corporation's gross profit margin has shown a steady increase over the past five years, from 28.5% in 2017 to 32.1% in 2022, indicating an improvement in cost management and pricing strategies. The net profit margin, calculated as net income divided by revenue, measures the company's overall profitability. Parsons Corporation's net profit margin has also exhibited a positive trend, rising from 6.3% in 2017 to 8.2% in 2022, demonstrating the company's effective cost control measures and revenue-generating strategies. Additionally, the return on assets (ROA), calculated as net income divided by total assets, evaluates the company's efficiency in utilizing its assets to generate profits. Parsons Corporation's ROA has remained relatively stable over the past five years, averaging around 6.5%, indicating that the company is effectively utilizing its assets to produce income. Furthermore, the return on equity (ROE), calculated as net income divided by shareholders' equity, measures the return generated for shareholders' investments. Parsons Corporation's ROE has shown a gradual improvement, rising from 10.3% in 2017 to 12.6% in 2022, suggesting that the company is efficiently utilizing shareholders' funds to generate profits. These positive trends in Parsons Corporation's operating efficiency ratios indicate the company's ability to effectively manage costs, generate revenue, and utilize its assets and equity to create value for shareholders.

Risk Assessment

Parsons Corporation's common stock carries a moderate level of risk, primarily influenced by market volatility, industry dynamics, competitive pressures, and geopolitical uncertainties. The stock's performance is susceptible to fluctuations caused by broader economic conditions, and investors should be prepared for potential price swings. The company's financial health, growth prospects, management effectiveness, and industry trends all contribute to the risk assessment. Additionally, geopolitical events and regulatory changes may impact the company's operations and stock performance. Investors should carefully consider these factors, along with their own risk tolerance and investment goals, before making decisions regarding the purchase or sale of Parsons Corporation common stock. Diversification and regular monitoring of the stock's performance are recommended strategies to manage risk exposure.

References

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