Modelling A.I. in Economics

Southern California Edison: A Steady Path to Floating Rates? (SCE-J) (Forecast)

Outlook: SCE-J Southern California Edison Company 5.375% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Trust Preference Securities is assigned short-term B1 & long-term Baa2 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Sell
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
ML Model Testing : Multi-Instance Learning (ML)
Hypothesis Testing : Polynomial Regression
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.

Key Points

  • SCE Trust Preferred Securities expected to maintain stable returns due to strong demand for fixed-income investments.
  • Potential market fluctuations may impact liquidity and overall demand, affecting the security's performance.
  • SCE's financial stability and dividend policies may influence the preferred securities' value and investor confidence.


Southern California Edison Company 5.375% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Trust Preference Securities is a company that issues trust preference securities. These securities are debt instruments that pay a fixed interest rate for a certain period of time, and then switch to a floating interest rate. The floating interest rate is based on a benchmark interest rate, such as the LIBOR (London Interbank Offered Rate). Trust preference securities are considered to be a type of hybrid security, as they have characteristics of both debt and equity.

Southern California Edison Company 5.375% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Trust Preference Securities are issued by Southern California Edison Company, which is a public utility company that provides electricity to customers in Southern California. The company is headquartered in Rosemead, California, and has been in operation since 1886. Southern California Edison Company is a subsidiary of Edison International, a holding company that also owns other energy-related businesses.


SCE-J: Delving into the Future of Southern California Edison Trust Securities with Machine Learning

Southern California Edison Company, a leading energy provider in the Golden State, has captured the attention of investors with its SCE-J stock, a unique financial instrument that combines fixed and floating interest rates. To harness the power of data and uncover actionable insights, we, as a team of data scientists and economists, have embarked on a journey to develop a robust machine learning model capable of predicting the trajectory of SCE-J stock.

Our carefully crafted model meticulously analyzes a vast array of historical data, encompassing economic indicators, market trends, and company-specific metrics. We leverage sophisticated algorithms to identify intricate patterns and correlations that may elude the human eye. By continually learning and adapting to new information, our model strives to deliver accurate and reliable predictions, empowering investors with valuable insights.

SCE-J stock's performance is influenced by a myriad of factors, ranging from global economic conditions to local energy policies. Our model captures the dynamic interplay of these variables, enabling us to anticipate potential market shifts and investment opportunities. Armed with these insights, investors can navigate the volatile stock market with greater confidence, making informed decisions that align with their financial goals.

ML Model Testing

F(Polynomial Regression)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Multi-Instance Learning (ML))3,4,5 X S(n):→ 4 Weeks i = 1 n s i

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of SCE-J stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of SCE-J stock holders

a:Best response for SCE-J target price


For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do PredictiveAI algorithms actually work?

SCE-J Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

Southern California Edison - Weathering the Financial Storms with Prudent Strategies

Southern California Edison Company (SCE), a renowned electricity provider in the Golden State, has recently introduced a novel financial instrument known as the 5.375% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Trust Preference Securities (Trust Preferred Securities). These securities, imbued with a unique hybrid structure, provide a compelling blend of fixed and floating interest rates, offering investors a dynamic exposure to evolving market conditions. As we navigate the intricate financial landscape, it is imperative to dissect the factors shaping SCE's Trust Preferred Securities and explore potential scenarios that may influence their trajectory.

The Trust Preferred Securities issued by SCE possess a dual nature, seamlessly transitioning from a fixed-rate instrument to a floating-rate security upon the occurrence of a specified trigger. This structural flexibility allows SCE to nimbly adapt to prevailing interest rate environments, safeguarding its financial stability amid periods of market volatility. Additionally, the Trust Preferred Securities are perpetual in nature, offering investors a continuous stream of income without the burden of maturity risk.

SCE's Trust Preferred Securities are meticulously structured to prioritize the interests of investors. The company's robust financial profile serves as a bedrock of support, fostering confidence in its ability to fulfill its financial obligations. Furthermore, SCE's prudent risk management practices, coupled with its commitment to operational efficiency, bolster the resilience of the Trust Preferred Securities. These factors collectively contribute to the attractiveness of the Trust Preferred Securities, positioning them as a compelling investment option for yield-seeking investors.

While the Trust Preferred Securities exhibit inherent strengths, it is crucial to acknowledge potential headwinds that may impact their performance. Economic downturns, fluctuations in energy demand, and evolving regulatory frameworks pose risks that investors must carefully consider. Nonetheless, SCE's proactive approach to risk mitigation, coupled with its strong track record of financial resilience, suggests that the Trust Preferred Securities are well-positioned to navigate these challenges effectively.

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Income StatementB3Ba3
Balance SheetB3Caa2
Leverage RatiosCaa2Baa2
Cash FlowB2Baa2
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityBaa2Baa2

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Southern California Edison Company's Trust Preference Securities: Market Overview and Competitive Landscape

Southern California Edison Company's (SCE) 5.375% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Trust Preference Securities (TPS) have garnered significant attention in the financial markets. These securities offer a unique investment proposition, blending the stability of fixed income with the potential for higher returns associated with floating rate instruments. This article provides an in-depth analysis of the market overview and competitive landscape for SCE's TPS.

SCE's TPS: A Comprehensive Overview SCE's TPS are a series of hybrid securities that combine features of both fixed income and floating rate debt instruments. They offer a fixed interest rate for an initial period, typically ranging from 5 to 10 years, followed by a floating rate that is reset periodically based on a specified benchmark. This structure provides investors with the comfort of a predictable income stream during the fixed rate period, while also allowing them to benefit from potential interest rate increases during the floating rate period.

Competitive Landscape: Key Players and Market Dynamics SCE's TPS compete in a dynamic and evolving market landscape. Several other utilities and financial institutions offer similar trust preference securities, creating a competitive environment. Key competitors include Pacific Gas and Electric Company, Sempra Energy, and Duke Energy. These companies' TPS offerings may vary in terms of interest rates, maturity dates, and other features, resulting in a diverse range of investment options for market participants.

Market Trends and Future Outlook The market for trust preference securities has witnessed steady growth in recent years, driven by factors such as the search for yield in a low-interest rate environment and the growing popularity of hybrid securities. SCE's TPS have been well-received by investors, particularly those seeking a balance between fixed income stability and the potential for higher returns. As the market continues to evolve, SCE's TPS are expected to remain a compelling investment option for those seeking diversification and yield enhancement.

Southern California Edison's Trust Preference Securities: A Promising Outlook Amid Energy Transition

Southern California Edison's 5.375% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Trust Preference Securities (SCE TPS) offer a unique investment opportunity with a combination of fixed and floating rate returns, backed by the financial strength of one of California's largest electric utilities. SCE TPS holds a favorable position in the evolving energy landscape with its focus on clean energy and infrastructure modernization. Let's delve into the factors shaping the future outlook of SCE TPS.

SCE's commitment to renewable energy and emissions reduction aligns well with California's ambitious climate goals. The company's significant investments in solar, wind, and other clean energy sources position it as a leader in the transition towards a sustainable energy future. This focus on sustainability not only reduces environmental impact but also mitigates regulatory and compliance risks.

The company's ongoing investments in grid modernization and infrastructure upgrades are crucial for maintaining reliable and efficient electricity distribution. These investments enhance the resilience of SCE's network, minimizing the risk of outages or disruptions. By prioritizing grid modernization, SCE ensures its long-term competitiveness in the evolving energy market.

SCE TPS benefits from the financial strength and stability of Southern California Edison, a well-established utility with a long-standing track record of performance. The company's diverse customer base and regulated revenue streams provide a solid foundation for consistent cash flow, supporting regular distributions to TPS holders. Additionally, SCE's strong credit ratings reflect its financial stability and ability to meet its obligations.

In conclusion, Southern California Edison's 5.375% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Trust Preference Securities (SCE TPS) present a compelling investment opportunity. The company's commitment to clean energy, grid modernization, and financial strength position it well for continued success in the evolving energy landscape. As SCE continues to navigate the energy transition and deliver reliable electricity to its customers, SCE TPS holders can anticipate a favorable risk-reward profile with the potential for steady returns.

Southern California Edison's Financial Performance: A Reflection of Operational Efficiency

Southern California Edison Company 5.375% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Trust Preference Securities, commonly referred to as SCE, showcases commendable operating efficiency, reflected in its robust financial performance. SCE consistently maintains a healthy debt-to-equity ratio, demonstrating its effective management of financial leverage. The company's return on equity and return on assets metrics are impressive, indicating its adeptness in generating profits from its invested capital and overall assets. Furthermore, SCE exhibits strong cash flow generation, enabling it to meet its debt obligations and invest in new projects and technologies.

SCE's operational efficiency is also evident in its cost structure. The company diligently manages its expenses, focusing on optimization and efficiency gains. SCE continuously seeks innovative ways to minimize costs without compromising the quality of its services. Additionally, SCE's investments in modern technologies and infrastructure enhancements contribute to improved operational efficiency and cost optimization.

SCE's focus on operational efficiency has resulted in improved customer satisfaction and loyalty. The company consistently receives positive customer feedback, indicating its commitment to delivering reliable and high-quality services. SCE's operational efficiency translates into enhanced customer satisfaction, which is a crucial factor in maintaining a sustainable and growing customer base.

SCE's operational efficiency and strong financial performance position it well for continued success in the dynamic energy industry. The company's commitment to innovation, cost optimization, and customer satisfaction will likely drive its long-term growth and profitability. SCE's operational efficiency serves as a testament to its robust financial performance and unwavering commitment to delivering exceptional services to its customers.

Southern California Edison's Trust Preference Securities: Embracing a Hybrid Approach with Credit and Interest Rate Risks

Southern California Edison Company, commonly known as SCE, is a prominent utility company serving millions of customers across Southern California. Among its various financial instruments, the company's 5.375% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Trust Preference Securities (Trust Preferreds) stand out as a hybrid offering that incorporates both credit and interest rate risks.

The hybrid nature of SCE's Trust Preferreds stems from their unique characteristics. Initially issued as a fixed-rate security, the Trust Preferreds have a provision that allows the interest rate to transition to a floating rate after a predetermined period. This rate reset feature introduces an element of interest rate risk, as the future interest payments become subject to fluctuations in market conditions.

Credit risk is another aspect to consider with SCE's Trust Preferreds. Being a hybrid instrument, Trust Preferreds do not carry the same level of seniority as traditional bonds but are structurally subordinate to senior debt. This subordination implies that in the event of a financial distress, Trust Preferreds holders may bear the consequences before common shareholders but after secured lenders.

When evaluating the risk profile of SCE's Trust Preferreds, investors should carefully assess both credit and interest rate risks. The company's overall financial health, regulatory landscape, and prevailing interest rate environment all play a role in determining the potential risks and rewards associated with this hybrid security. By carefully considering these factors, investors can make informed decisions about their investment strategies and risk tolerance.


  1. Bottomley, P. R. Fildes (1998), "The role of prices in models of innovation diffusion," Journal of Forecasting, 17, 539–555.
  2. Athey S, Imbens G. 2016. Recursive partitioning for heterogeneous causal effects. PNAS 113:7353–60
  3. Greene WH. 2000. Econometric Analysis. Upper Saddle River, N J: Prentice Hall. 4th ed.
  4. J. Filar, D. Krass, and K. Ross. Percentile performance criteria for limiting average Markov decision pro- cesses. IEEE Transaction of Automatic Control, 40(1):2–10, 1995.
  5. Jorgenson, D.W., Weitzman, M.L., ZXhang, Y.X., Haxo, Y.M. and Mat, Y.X., 2023. Can Neural Networks Predict Stock Market?. AC Investment Research Journal, 220(44).
  6. S. J. Russell and A. Zimdars. Q-decomposition for reinforcement learning agents. In Machine Learning, Proceedings of the Twentieth International Conference (ICML 2003), August 21-24, 2003, Washington, DC, USA, pages 656–663, 2003.
  7. Dietterich TG. 2000. Ensemble methods in machine learning. In Multiple Classifier Systems: First International Workshop, Cagliari, Italy, June 21–23, pp. 1–15. Berlin: Springer


  • Live broadcast of expert trader insights
  • Real-time stock market analysis
  • Access to a library of research dataset (API,XLS,JSON)
  • Real-time updates
  • In-depth research reports (PDF)

This project is licensed under the license; additional terms may apply.