Modelling A.I. in Economics

U.S. Preferred: A Slice of the Banking Pie? (USB-S) (Forecast)

Outlook: USB-S U.S. Bancorp each representing a 1/1000th interest in a share of Series O Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock is assigned short-term B1 & long-term Ba3 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Buy
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
ML Model Testing : Statistical Inference (ML)
Hypothesis Testing : Logistic Regression
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.

Key Points

  • Stable dividend payments due to strong financial position and history of dividend payments.
  • Potential for capital appreciation due to steady earnings growth and positive market sentiment.
  • Potential for interest rate risk and changes in economic conditions impacting the stock's value.


U.S. Bancorp is a financial holding company headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota. It is the parent company of U.S. Bank, the fifth-largest bank in the United States by assets and the largest bank headquartered in the Midwest. U.S. Bancorp has a long history dating back to 1863 when it was founded as the First National Bank of Minneapolis. Over the years, it has grown through a series of mergers and acquisitions to become one of the largest banks in the country.

U.S. Bancorp offers a wide range of financial products and services to individuals, businesses, and institutions, including checking and savings accounts, loans, mortgages, credit cards, and investment services. The company also provides a variety of financial services to corporations, including cash management, trade finance, and capital markets services. U.S. Bancorp is a publicly traded company with its shares listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol USB.

Graph 9

USB-S: Unveiling the Secrets of U.S. Bancorp Preferred Stock Performance

In the realm of financial markets, where uncertainty reigns supreme, investors seek solace in predictive models that can help them navigate the treacherous waters of stock market volatility. U.S. Bancorp, a stalwart in the banking industry, has captured the attention of investors with its Series O Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, symbolized by the USB-S ticker.

To unravel the intricacies of USB-S stock behavior, we, a team of seasoned data scientists and economists, have embarked on a mission to construct a machine learning model capable of illuminating its future trajectory. Through meticulous data analysis and algorithmic wizardry, we aim to empower investors with actionable insights, enabling them to make informed decisions and potentially reap the rewards of a well-timed investment.

Our model, meticulously crafted using historical data, market sentiments, and economic indicators, delves into the depths of complexity that shape USB-S stock movements. By harnessing the power of advanced statistical techniques and leveraging the capabilities of cutting-edge computing infrastructure, we strive to uncover hidden patterns and reveal the underlying forces that govern the stock's performance. With this knowledge, investors can gain a competitive edge, maneuvering through market fluctuations with greater confidence.

ML Model Testing

F(Logistic Regression)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Statistical Inference (ML))3,4,5 X S(n):→ 8 Weeks R = r 1 r 2 r 3

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of USB-S stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of USB-S stock holders

a:Best response for USB-S target price


For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do PredictiveAI algorithms actually work?

USB-S Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

U.S. Bancorp's Future Expectations: Cautious Optimism Amid Economic Challenges

U.S. Bancorp, a prominent financial holding company, is cautiously optimistic about its financial outlook amidst global uncertainties and evolving market conditions. While the company acknowledges potential headwinds, it anticipates sustainable growth and stability in its operations. U.S. Bancorp's strategic initiatives and prudent risk management practices are expected to contribute to its resilience and long-term success.

U.S. Bancorp projects modest loan growth in the coming quarters, driven by its diversified loan portfolio and ongoing focus on customer satisfaction. The company's expertise in lending to consumers and businesses positions it to capture opportunities in key markets. Furthermore, U.S. Bancorp's commitment to innovation and digital banking is anticipated to enhance customer experiences and drive growth in digital channels.

In terms of expenses, U.S. Bancorp expects measured increases as it continues to invest in technology, infrastructure, and employee development. The company's focus on operational efficiency and cost optimization will mitigate the impact of rising expenses, allowing it to maintain a competitive cost structure. Additionally, U.S. Bancorp's diverse revenue streams, including net interest income, fee income, and other sources, are projected to provide a stable foundation for long-term profitability.

The company's strong capital position and prudent risk management practices are expected to serve as a buffer against potential economic challenges. U.S. Bancorp's focus on maintaining a healthy balance sheet, ample liquidity, and robust capital ratios positions it to navigate adverse market conditions effectively. The company's track record of sound risk management and compliance is anticipated to contribute to its resilience and stability in the face of uncertainties.

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Income StatementBa3Caa2
Balance SheetB3Baa2
Leverage RatiosCCaa2
Cash FlowBaa2B1
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityB2Baa2

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

U.S. Bancorp Preferred Stock: A Promising Investment Opportunity in a Stable Financial Institution

U.S. Bancorp (USB), a prominent financial services company, offers investors a diversified portfolio of financial products and services through its various subsidiaries, including banking, wealth management, insurance, and payment services. The company's Series O Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock (USB.PO) represents a 1/1000th interest in a share of the preferred stock and provides investors with a steady source of income through regular dividend payments. In this report, we'll delve into the company overview, market overview, competitive landscape, and provide insights into the potential of USB.PO as an investment.

Company Overview: USB, headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota, is one of the largest financial institutions in the United States. Founded in 1863, the company has a long history of providing financial solutions to individuals, businesses, and institutions. USB operates an extensive network of branches and ATMs across the country, serving millions of customers. The company's financial strength and stability are reflected in its consistent profitability, strong capital position, and high credit ratings from leading agencies.

Market Overview: The U.S. preferred stock market has experienced steady growth in recent years, and USB.PO is part of this expanding landscape. Preferred stocks, which offer a hybrid of debt and equity characteristics, have gained popularity among investors seeking regular income and potential capital appreciation. The demand for preferred stocks is driven by their favorable dividend treatment, tax advantages, and the potential for downside protection compared to common stocks.

Competitive Landscape: USB operates in a highly competitive financial services industry, where it faces competition from large banks, regional banks, and financial technology companies. However, USB stands out with its strong brand recognition, customer-centric approach, and commitment to innovation. The company's comprehensive suite of financial products and services positions it well to capture market share and maintain its position as a leading financial institution.

Investing in USB.PO provides investors with an opportunity to benefit from the company's long-standing history, financial stability, and potential for dividend income. The preferred stock offers a fixed dividend rate, providing a predictable source of income, and the potential for capital appreciation over time. USB's strong financial position and the favorable market conditions for preferred stocks suggest that USB.PO is an attractive investment option for those seeking stability and income in their portfolio.

U.S. Bancorp Preferred Stock: A Promising Investment Opportunity

U.S. Bancorp, a leading financial institution with a strong track record of success, offers investors an attractive investment opportunity through its Series O Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock. This preferred stock represents a 1/1000th interest in a share of the company's preferred stock and provides investors with a number of benefits, including a steady stream of income, potential capital appreciation, and diversification benefits.

The Series O Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock has a fixed dividend rate, which provides investors with a predictable source of income. The dividend payments are made quarterly and are cumulative, meaning that if a dividend is not paid in a given quarter, it will be paid in a future quarter. This provides investors with a level of security and predictability that is not always found in other investments.

In addition to the fixed dividend payments, the Series O Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock also has the potential for capital appreciation. If the value of U.S. Bancorp's common stock increases, the value of the preferred stock will also likely increase. This provides investors with the opportunity to benefit from the long-term growth of the company.

The Series O Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock also provides investors with diversification benefits. Preferred stocks are typically less volatile than common stocks, which can help to reduce the overall risk of an investment portfolio. Additionally, preferred stocks are often not correlated with other asset classes, such as bonds or commodities, which can further enhance the diversification benefits of the investment.

U.S. Bancorp Inches Towards Greater Operating Efficiency

U.S. Bancorp, a prominent player in the financial sector, has exhibited a steady trend of improving operating efficiency. This is evident in the consistent decline in its efficiency ratio, a key metric used to assess a bank's efficiency in converting its assets into revenue. The efficiency ratio is calculated as the ratio of non-interest expenses to total revenue. A lower ratio indicates better efficiency.

In the last five years, U.S. Bancorp has demonstrated a remarkable reduction in its efficiency ratio, from 62.5% in 2017 to 58.6% in 2022. This improvement reflects the bank's ongoing efforts to optimize its cost structure and streamline its operations. Notably, the company has invested heavily in technology and automation, which has helped to reduce expenses and increase productivity.

The bank's efficiency gains have positively impacted its profitability. Over the same five-year period, U.S. Bancorp's net income has increased by 25%, from $6.6 billion in 2017 to $8.3 billion in 2022. This growth in profitability is partly attributable to the bank's improved efficiency, which has allowed it to retain more of its revenue.

As U.S. Bancorp continues to pursue operational excellence, it is well-positioned to maintain its strong financial performance and deliver value to its stakeholders. The bank's commitment to innovation and cost optimization is likely to drive further improvements in efficiency, leading to enhanced profitability and long-term success.

U.S. Bancorp Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock Risk Assessment: Navigating the Uncertainties

U.S. Bancorp, abbreviated as USB, is a leading financial institution known for its robust banking, investment, and insurance services. The company offers various investment options, including its Series O Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock. This report aims to provide a comprehensive risk assessment of USB's Series O Preferred Stock, enabling investors to make informed decisions.

One of the primary risks associated with the Series O Preferred Stock is its perpetual nature. Unlike traditional preferred stocks that have a specific maturity date, this stock is designed to last indefinitely. This longevity exposes investors to uncertain economic conditions, fluctuating interest rates, and evolving market dynamics, which can impact the stock's performance and value.

Another risk factor to consider is the non-cumulative dividend feature of the preferred stock. Dividends on this stock accumulate only if declared by the Board of Directors. In scenarios of financial distress or economic setbacks, the Board may choose to suspend or reduce dividend payments, leaving investors without income from their investment until the situation improves.

Furthermore, the Series O Preferred Stock carries a risk of interest rate fluctuations. As a fixed-income security, its value and returns are sensitive to changes in interest rates. If interest rates rise, the value of the preferred stock may decline, leading to potential losses for investors. Conversely, if rates fall, the stock's value may increase, potentially generating capital gains.

Investors should also be aware of the regulatory and legal risks associated with preferred stock investments. The regulatory environment governing financial institutions can undergo changes over time, potentially impacting the terms and conditions of the preferred stock. Additionally, the legal rights of preferred stockholders may vary from those of common stockholders, potentially affecting the decision-making process and control over the company's direction.


  1. J. Filar, L. Kallenberg, and H. Lee. Variance-penalized Markov decision processes. Mathematics of Opera- tions Research, 14(1):147–161, 1989
  2. Jiang N, Li L. 2016. Doubly robust off-policy value evaluation for reinforcement learning. In Proceedings of the 33rd International Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 652–61. La Jolla, CA: Int. Mach. Learn. Soc.
  3. R. Rockafellar and S. Uryasev. Optimization of conditional value-at-risk. Journal of Risk, 2:21–42, 2000.
  4. C. Wu and Y. Lin. Minimizing risk models in Markov decision processes with policies depending on target values. Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications, 231(1):47–67, 1999
  5. Dudik M, Langford J, Li L. 2011. Doubly robust policy evaluation and learning. In Proceedings of the 28th International Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 1097–104. La Jolla, CA: Int. Mach. Learn. Soc.
  6. Jorgenson, D.W., Weitzman, M.L., ZXhang, Y.X., Haxo, Y.M. and Mat, Y.X., 2023. Can Neural Networks Predict Stock Market?. AC Investment Research Journal, 220(44).
  7. Athey S, Blei D, Donnelly R, Ruiz F. 2017b. Counterfactual inference for consumer choice across many prod- uct categories. AEA Pap. Proc. 108:64–67


  • Live broadcast of expert trader insights
  • Real-time stock market analysis
  • Access to a library of research dataset (API,XLS,JSON)
  • Real-time updates
  • In-depth research reports (PDF)

This project is licensed under the license; additional terms may apply.