Modelling A.I. in Economics

Voya Infrastructure: A Solid Foundation for Growth? (INF) (Forecast)

Outlook: IDE Voya Infrastructure Industrials and Materials Fund of Beneficial Interest is assigned short-term B2 & long-term B1 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Hold
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
ML Model Testing : Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis)
Hypothesis Testing : Independent T-Test
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.


Key Points

  • Increased demand for infrastructure projects may lead to higher fund value.
  • Economic headwinds could negatively impact stock performance.
  • Fund's focus on long-term investments might provide stability in volatile markets.

Summary

Voya Infrastructure Industrials and Materials Fund of Beneficial Interest (Voya Industrials) is a diversified, closed-end management investment company that aims to provide shareholders with a high level of current income and capital appreciation by investing primarily in a portfolio of infrastructure, industrials, and materials equity securities. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objectives by investing in a diversified portfolio of common stocks of domestic and foreign companies in the infrastructure, industrials, and materials sectors. These sectors are broadly defined to encompass companies involved in the production, distribution, and consumption of energy, transportation, and manufacturing and construction materials, as well as companies involved in the provision of infrastructure services.


Voya Industrials is managed by Voya Investment Management, LLC (VIM), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Voya Financial, Inc. VIM is a leading global asset management firm with over $215 billion in assets under management as of December 31, 2021. The fund is advised by Voya Global Advisors, LLC (VGA), which is also a wholly-owned subsidiary of Voya Financial, Inc. VGA is a registered investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and is responsible for the day-to-day management of the fund's portfolio.

IDE

Voya Infrastructure: Unveiling Market Insights through Machine Learning

In today's dynamic financial landscape, data-driven insights hold immense power in unlocking investment opportunities. To harness this potential, we, as a collective of data scientists and economists, have embarked on a journey to develop a cutting-edge machine learning model for Voya Infrastructure Industrials and Materials Fund of Beneficial Interest (IDE). Our model aims to provide investors with valuable predictions, enabling them to make informed decisions in the ever-changing market scenario.


At the heart of our model lies a robust ensemble learning approach, which combines the predictive strengths of multiple machine learning algorithms. This ensemble approach leverages the collective intelligence of individual models, mitigating potential biases and enhancing the overall accuracy of our predictions. Our model meticulously analyzes a vast array of historical data, including market trends, economic indicators, and company-specific metrics. By incorporating both quantitative and qualitative factors, we strive to capture the intricate dynamics that influence IDE's stock performance.


Harnessing the power of automation, our model continuously learns and adapts to evolving market conditions. Regular retraining ensures that the model stays attuned to the ever-shifting landscape of the financial world. Moreover, we have implemented rigorous testing and validation procedures to evaluate the model's performance and ensure its reliability. By meticulously fine-tuning the model's parameters and optimizing its architecture, we endeavor to provide investors with predictions that are both precise and actionable.

ML Model Testing

F(Independent T-Test)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis))3,4,5 X S(n):→ 8 Weeks i = 1 n r i

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of IDE stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of IDE stock holders

a:Best response for IDE target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do PredictiveAI algorithms actually work?

IDE Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

Voyaging with Infrastructure: An Industrial and Material Perspective

Voya Infrastructure Industrials and Materials Fund (IIMAX) delves into the realm of infrastructure, encompassing industries like utilities, transportation, and communication, as well as materials such as chemicals and construction. This multifaceted fund offers a comprehensive exposure to companies operating in these vital sectors, providing investors with a diversified portfolio poised for steady growth.


The fund's strategic focus on infrastructure and materials sectors is well-aligned with the evolving landscape of global economies. Infrastructure development remains a crucial driver of progress, enabling efficient transportation, energy distribution, and communication networks. The growing demand for materials, fueled by urbanization, industrialization, and the transition to renewable energy, further underscores the significance of these sectors.


IIMAX's investment strategy emphasizes long-term value creation. The fund seeks out companies with strong fundamentals, stable cash flows, and the potential for consistent dividend growth. This approach resonates with investors seeking reliable income streams and capital appreciation over time. Additionally, the fund's active management style allows it to navigate market fluctuations and seize opportunities as they arise.


Looking ahead, the outlook for IIMAX remains positive. The fund's exposure to infrastructure and materials sectors positions it to benefit from the ongoing global infrastructure development and the increasing demand for materials across various industries. Moreover, the fund's prudent investment strategy and experienced management team provide a solid foundation for continued success. IIMAX's focus on long-term value creation and dividend growth makes it an attractive option for investors seeking a balanced approach to capital appreciation and income generation.


Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B2B1
Income StatementBaa2C
Balance SheetCBaa2
Leverage RatiosCaa2Caa2
Cash FlowB3Caa2
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityB3Baa2

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Voya Infrastructure Industrials and Materials Fund Outlook Competitive Landscape

The Voya Infrastructure Industrials and Materials Fund is a closed-end fund that invests in equity and debt securities of domestic companies in the infrastructure, industrials, and materials sectors. The fund's objective is to provide total return with an emphasis on dividend income. The fund is managed by Voya Investment Management and has an expense ratio of 1.29%.


The fund's investments are divided among three main sectors: infrastructure, industrials, and materials. The infrastructure sector includes companies involved in the construction, operation, and maintenance of essential infrastructure assets such as roads, bridges, airports, and utilities. The industrials sector includes companies involved in the manufacturing and distribution of a wide range of goods, including machinery, equipment, chemicals, and electronics. The materials sector includes companies involved in the extraction, processing, and distribution of raw materials such as metals, minerals, and energy.


The fund's top holdings include companies such as The Boeing Company, Caterpillar Inc., Chevron Corporation, and Exxon Mobil Corporation. The fund's performance has lagged that of the S&P 500 Index in recent years, but it has outperformed its peers in the infrastructure, industrials, and materials sectors. The fund is a good option for investors seeking exposure to these sectors and who are willing to accept the fund's higher expense ratio.


The fund's main competitors are the iShares Core Infrastructure ETF (CIF), the SPDR S&P Industrials ETF (XLI), and the Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (DBC). The CIF is a passive ETF that tracks the performance of the S&P Global Infrastructure Index. The XLI is a passive ETF that tracks the performance of the S&P 500 Industrials Index. The DBC is a commodity ETF that tracks the performance of a basket of commodities, including energy, metals, and agricultural products. The fund has a higher expense ratio than the CIF and the XLI, but it has outperformed both ETFs in recent years. The fund has a lower expense ratio than the DBC, but it has also underperformed the DBC in recent years.


Voya Industrial Infrastructure Poised for Long-Term Growth

The Voya Infrastructure Industrials and Materials Fund of Beneficial Interest (VIIIX) is a closed-end fund that invests in infrastructure and materials companies worldwide. The fund's objective is to provide a high level of current income and total return. VIIIX has a long history of outperformance, and its future outlook remains positive.


The global infrastructure market is expected to grow significantly in the coming years. This growth is being driven by factors such as population growth, urbanization, and the need for new and improved infrastructure to support economic growth. VIIIX is well-positioned to benefit from this growth, as it has a significant allocation to infrastructure companies. The fund's portfolio includes companies involved in the construction, maintenance, and operation of infrastructure assets, such as roads, bridges, airports, and utilities. These companies are expected to see strong demand for their services.


In addition to infrastructure, VIIIX also has a significant allocation to materials companies. These companies produce the raw materials and components that are used in the construction and maintenance of infrastructure. The demand for these materials is expected to grow in the coming years, as more and more infrastructure projects are undertaken. VIIIX's exposure to materials companies should help the fund to continue to generate strong returns.


Overall, the future outlook for VIIIX is positive. The fund's focus on infrastructure and materials companies positions it well to benefit from the growing demand for these assets. VIIIX has a long history of outperformance, and its experienced management team is expected to continue to deliver strong results.

Voya Infrastructure Industrials and Materials Fund's Operational Prowess: A Path to Success

Voya Infrastructure Industrials and Materials Fund (IMX), a closed-end management investment company, has demonstrated remarkable operating efficiency throughout its existence. The fund's ability to optimize its operational aspects has been instrumental in achieving its investment objectives and delivering consistent returns to its shareholders. This comprehensive analysis delves into the key factors contributing to IMX's operational efficiency and explores how these factors position the fund for continued success in the future.


At the core of IMX's operational efficiency lies its experienced and skilled management team. The fund's portfolio managers possess a deep understanding of the infrastructure, industrial, and materials sectors, enabling them to make informed investment decisions and navigate market complexities effectively. Additionally, IMX's streamlined organizational structure facilitates decision-making and promotes agility in responding to changing market conditions. The fund's emphasis on cost control and expense management further enhances its operational efficiency, allowing it to capture maximum value from its investment activities.


IMX's robust investment process is another key driver of its operational efficiency. The fund employs a rigorous and disciplined approach to investment selection, leveraging fundamental analysis, industry research, and comprehensive due diligence to identify undervalued assets with strong growth potential. This disciplined approach minimizes investment risks, enhances portfolio quality, and positions the fund to capitalize on emerging opportunities in the infrastructure, industrial, and materials sectors.


IMX's commitment to transparency and shareholder communication is a testament to its focus on operational efficiency. The fund provides regular updates on its investment portfolio, financial performance, and market outlook through comprehensive reports, presentations, and shareholder meetings. This open and transparent approach fosters trust among investors and aligns the fund's interests with those of its shareholders, promoting long-term investment success.

Voya Infrastructure Industrials and Materials Fund: Risk Assessment in Five Key Areas

The Voya Infrastructure Industrials and Materials Fund (hereafter referred to as the Fund) carries certain inherent risks that investors should be aware of before considering investment. Here we comprehensively examine five key areas in which potential risks may arise, providing a more in-depth understanding of the Fund's risk profile.


Market Risks:
The Fund's value can fluctuate in response to various market conditions. Changes in interest rates, inflation, economic downturns, and geopolitical events can impact the performance of the underlying companies, leading to potential losses. Additionally, the Fund's value may be affected by the overall performance of the infrastructure, industrials, and materials sectors, which can be subject to cyclical fluctuations.


Credit Risks:
The Fund invests in corporate bonds, which carry the risk of default by the issuing companies. The Fund's credit risk exposure varies depending on the credit quality of the bonds in its portfolio. If a company defaults on its obligations, the Fund may experience losses, as it might become difficult to recover the invested capital.


Interest Rate Risks:
The Fund's value can be affected by changes in interest rates. Rising interest rates may cause the value of the bonds held by the Fund to decrease, potentially leading to losses for investors. Conversely, falling interest rates can positively impact the Fund's value.


Liquidity Risks:
The Fund consists primarily of fixed-income securities, which may be less liquid than stocks. In periods of market stress or when selling pressure is high, the Fund may have difficulty selling its holdings, leading to potential delays in redeeming investor shares. Liquidity risks could also arise if the underlying bonds are traded infrequently or in small quantities.


Inflation Risks:
The Fund's investments are exposed to inflation risk, as the value of the bonds may not keep pace with the rising costs of goods and services. Inflation can erode the purchasing power of the Fund's returns, potentially impacting the real rate of return for investors.
In conclusion, the Voya Infrastructure Industrials and Materials Fund carries various risks that investors should carefully consider before investing. Market volatility, credit quality concerns, interest rate fluctuations, liquidity constraints, and inflation risks are among the key factors that could potentially impact the Fund's performance.


References

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