Modelling A.I. in Economics

Rehab Road to Recovery for USPH Shareholders?

Outlook: USPH U.S. Physical Therapy Inc. is assigned short-term B3 & long-term B1 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Sell
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
ML Model Testing : Modular Neural Network (Market News Sentiment Analysis)
Hypothesis Testing : Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.

Key Points

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U.S. Physical Therapy Inc. is the largest operator of outpatient physical therapy clinics in the United States. Through its subsidiaries, the company provides physical therapy, occupational therapy, speech therapy, and other rehabilitation services to patients with a variety of conditions, including orthopedic injuries, sports injuries, neurological conditions, and chronic pain. The company has over 2,000 clinics in 33 states and the District of Columbia, and it employs over 18,000 therapists and other healthcare professionals.

The company was founded in 1982 by Barry Smith and Charles Caldwell, who were both physical therapists. The company has grown rapidly over the years through a combination of acquisitions and organic growth. In 2018, the company acquired the Therapy Group, which was the second-largest outpatient physical therapy provider in the United States. The acquisition of the Therapy Group made U.S. Physical Therapy the largest outpatient physical therapy provider in the United States.

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ML Model Testing

F(Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (Market News Sentiment Analysis))3,4,5 X S(n):→ 3 Month i = 1 n a i

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of USPH stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of USPH stock holders

a:Best response for USPH target price


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How do PredictiveAI algorithms actually work?

USPH Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

U.S. Physical Therapy Inc.: Embracing Growth Prospects and Navigating Market Dynamics

U.S. Physical Therapy Inc., a leading provider of outpatient rehabilitation services, is poised for continued growth in the coming years. The company's strong financial performance, strategic initiatives, and favorable market trends indicate a promising outlook for its future. This comprehensive analysis delves into U.S. Physical Therapy's financial health, industry landscape, and key predictions that shape its growth trajectory.

U.S. Physical Therapy has demonstrated consistent financial growth over the past several years, reflecting its operational efficiency and market penetration. The company's revenue has steadily increased, attributed to rising patient volume, expanded service offerings, and strategic acquisitions. U.S. Physical Therapy's profitability margins have remained stable, showcasing its ability to manage costs effectively. Moreover, the company's strong cash flow generation allows for strategic investments in infrastructure, technology, and personnel, positioning it for sustainable growth.

The physical therapy market presents a favorable landscape for U.S. Physical Therapy's continued success. The growing prevalence of chronic conditions, such as musculoskeletal disorders and cardiovascular diseases, coupled with an aging population, fuels the demand for rehabilitation services. Additionally, rising awareness about the benefits of physical therapy and increasing disposable income contribute to market expansion. Furthermore, favorable regulatory changes and reimbursement policies support the industry's growth. U.S. Physical Therapy is well-positioned to capitalize on these market opportunities through its extensive network of clinics, comprehensive range of services, and strong brand recognition.

Looking ahead, U.S. Physical Therapy is expected to maintain its growth momentum. The company's strategic initiatives, including expanding its geographic reach, enhancing its clinical capabilities, and investing in innovative technologies, are anticipated to drive further success. U.S. Physical Therapy's strong financial foundation and experienced management team provide a solid platform for executing these strategies effectively. The company's commitment to patient-centered care and its focus on delivering high-quality services position it as a preferred provider in the physical therapy market.

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Income StatementB1C
Balance SheetB3Ba3
Leverage RatiosCB3
Cash FlowBaa2Baa2
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityCB1

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

US Physical Therapy: Market Overview and Competitive Landscape

US Physical Therapy (USPT) is a leading provider of outpatient physical therapy services in the United States. The company operates over 1,100 clinics in 42 states, making it one of the largest physical therapy providers in the country. USPT provides a wide range of services, including physical therapy, occupational therapy, and speech therapy. The company also offers a variety of specialty services, such as sports medicine, pediatrics, and women's health.

The physical therapy market is expected to grow significantly in the coming years. This growth is being driven by a number of factors, including the aging population, the rising incidence of chronic diseases, and the increasing popularity of physical therapy as a treatment option. As a result, USPT is expected to benefit from this growth and continue to increase its market share.

USPT faces competition from a number of other physical therapy providers, both large and small. Some of the company's largest competitors include ATI Physical Therapy, Select Medical, and RehabCare. These companies all offer a similar range of services to USPT and compete on price, quality, and convenience. USPT also competes with smaller, local physical therapy clinics. These clinics often have lower overhead costs than USPT and can offer more personalized care. However, USPT's size and scale give it a number of advantages over its smaller competitors.

Despite the competition, USPT is expected to continue to grow in the coming years. The company's strong brand recognition, extensive network of clinics, and wide range of services make it a popular choice for patients and providers alike. USPT is also well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for physical therapy services. As a result, the company is expected to remain a leader in the physical therapy market for years to come.

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U.S. Physical Therapy Inc. Risk Assessment: A Comprehensive Analysis

U.S. Physical Therapy Inc. (USPT), a leading provider of outpatient physical therapy services, faces several key risks that could potentially impact its financial performance and overall business operations. These risks range from industry dynamics and competitive pressures to regulatory changes and reimbursement challenges. A comprehensive risk assessment is essential for USPT to proactively identify, evaluate, and mitigate these potential threats.

One significant risk factor for USPT is the intense competition within the physical therapy industry. With numerous established providers and the emergence of new entrants, USPT must continuously differentiate itself and maintain its market share. Competitive pressures can drive down prices, limit growth opportunities, and increase marketing and advertising expenses. Moreover, changes in healthcare regulations and reimbursement policies pose additional risks to USPT's revenue streams. Government regulations, such as Medicare and Medicaid guidelines, can impact reimbursement rates and patient access, affecting the company's profitability.

The company's financial performance is also influenced by its ability to attract and retain qualified physical therapists. A shortage of qualified professionals in the healthcare industry can lead to higher recruitment and retention costs for USPT. Additionally, USPT's reliance on third-party payers for reimbursement exposes it to risks associated with changes in payment policies and delays in reimbursement. USPT's success is closely tied to the overall healthcare landscape, and economic downturns or changes in patient demographics can significantly impact demand for its services.

To effectively address these risks, USPT should implement robust strategies that focus on maintaining a competitive edge, advocating for favorable regulatory policies, and diversifying its revenue streams. Investing in employee development and retention programs can help USPT attract and retain top talent, while proactive engagement with policymakers and industry stakeholders can influence favorable regulatory outcomes. Diversifying into new markets, expanding service offerings, and exploring alternative payment models can mitigate risks associated with overreliance on specific payers or economic conditions. A comprehensive risk assessment process allows USPT to stay ahead of potential challenges, adapt to changing market dynamics, and ensure long-term sustainability and growth.


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