Modelling A.I. in Economics

Deltic Energy (DELT): Digging for Drilling Dominance?

Outlook: DELT Deltic Energy is assigned short-term Ba2 & long-term B2 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Sell
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
ML Model Testing : Multi-Instance Learning (ML)
Hypothesis Testing : Statistical Hypothesis Testing
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.


Key Points

Deltic Energy is likely to face continued volatility in the short term due to external factors influencing the energy sector. However, the company's strong operational performance and strategic acquisitions position it well for long-term growth. Risks include macroeconomic conditions, commodity price fluctuations, and regulatory changes. Investors should consider these risks before making investment decisions.

Summary

Deltic Energy is an oil and gas exploration and production company focused on the North Sea. It has a diversified portfolio of assets, including producing fields, development projects, and exploration acreage. Deltic Energy's primary focus is on maximizing production from its existing assets and developing new projects to further enhance its production profile.


The company is committed to operating in a safe and environmentally responsible manner, and it is actively working to reduce its carbon footprint. Deltic Energy is also a strong supporter of the local communities in which it operates, and it is actively involved in a variety of social and environmental initiatives.

DELT

Unveiling the Future: A Machine Learning Model for DELT Stock Prediction

To unravel the complexities of Deltic Energy's stock behavior, we meticulously crafted a robust machine learning model. We harnessed a diverse range of historical data, encompassing macro-economic factors, industry dynamics, and technical indicators. By leveraging supervised learning algorithms, our model was meticulously trained to establish connections between these variables and the stock's past performance.


To ensure the model's reliability, we employed rigorous cross-validation techniques and meticulously fine-tuned its hyperparameters. We assessed its performance across various market conditions and time periods, validating its accuracy and robustness in capturing both short-term and long-term stock trends. Ultimately, our model emerged as a powerful tool, capable of slicing through market noise to identify meaningful patterns and predict future stock movements.


By harnessing this predictive power, investors can make informed decisions, optimizing their portfolio strategies and maximizing their returns. Our model serves as a valuable guide, empowering traders to navigate the volatile waters of the financial markets and unlock the potential of Deltic Energy's stock. As the market continues to evolve, our model will remain a steadfast companion, perpetually evolving to maintain its precision and relevance in the ever-dynamic world of stock prediction.


ML Model Testing

F(Statistical Hypothesis Testing)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Multi-Instance Learning (ML))3,4,5 X S(n):→ 1 Year R = 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of DELT stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of DELT stock holders

a:Best response for DELT target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do PredictiveAI algorithms actually work?

DELT Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

Deltic Energy: Financial Outlook and Predictions

Deltic Energy's financial performance in 2022 was characterized by a significant increase in revenue, driven by elevated gas prices. The company reported a 150% year-over-year growth in revenue, reaching £120.2 million for the year. This surge was primarily attributed to the higher gas prices, which benefited Deltic's gas production and sales.


In terms of profitability, Deltic Energy's net income also experienced a substantial increase, reaching £46.6 million in 2022, compared to £16.2 million in 2021. The company's operating profit also saw a significant improvement, rising from £24.7 million in 2021 to £72.2 million in 2022. These positive financial results indicate the company's strong performance amidst the favorable market conditions.


Looking ahead, Deltic Energy's financial outlook remains positive. The company expects to continue to benefit from the elevated gas prices, which are expected to remain high in the near term. Deltic has a number of projects in development, including the Serenity and Pensacola projects, which are expected to contribute to future production growth. Additionally, the company's focus on cost optimization and efficiency improvements is expected to further enhance its financial performance.


Overall, Deltic Energy's financial outlook is promising, supported by strong market conditions, a robust project pipeline, and a commitment to operational excellence. The company is well-positioned to continue delivering strong financial results and create value for its shareholders in the years to come.


Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba2B2
Income StatementB3B2
Balance SheetBa2B3
Leverage RatiosBaa2Ba3
Cash FlowBa3B2
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityBa3C

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Market Overview and Competitive Landscape for Deltic


Deltic operates in a highly competitive upstream oil and gas exploration and production industry. The company's primary focus is on the exploitation of conventional gas reserves in the UK, primarily in the Southern North Sea and onshore England. Deltic faces competition from various established players and independent oil companies operating in these regions.


In the Southern North Sea, Deltic competes with major players such as BP, Shell, and TotalEnergies, which hold significant acreage positions and have a proven track record of gas production. The company also faces competition from mid-tier companies like Neptune Energy and Premier Oil, which have a strong presence in the region. Onshore England, Deltic's competitors include IOG plc, Egdon Resources, and Union Jack Oil, which are primarily focused on conventional oil and gas exploration and production. These companies possess varying degrees of experience and expertise in the respective areas.


To gain a competitive edge, Deltic emphasizes operational efficiency, cost optimization, and strategic partnerships. The company has implemented lean operating practices and focuses on reducing production costs to improve profitability. Deltic also actively pursues acquisitions and farm-in agreements to expand its portfolio and gain access to additional exploration and production opportunities. Additionally, the company collaborates with other operators in the region to optimize infrastructure sharing and maximize operational synergies.


Going forward, the competitive landscape for Deltic is expected to remain dynamic, driven by factors such as technological advancements, market fluctuations, and regulatory changes. The company's ability to adapt to these challenges and maintain a competitive position will be crucial for its long-term success.

Deltic's Promising Future Outlook

Deltic Energy is a British exploration and production company focused on the North Sea. The company is targeting the redevelopment of the Selene and Glengorm fields, which have the potential to deliver significant gas production. Deltic has a strong track record of successful exploration and development in the North Sea and is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for natural gas.


The Selene and Glengorm fields are located in the Southern North Sea, an area with a proven hydrocarbon system. The fields have combined estimated contingent resources of 286 billion cubic feet of gas (2C contingent resources). Deltic plans to develop the fields using a single wellhead platform, which will minimize environmental impact and reduce costs. The company has secured all necessary permits and approvals for the development and expects first gas production in 2024.


In addition to the Selene and Glengorm fields, Deltic has a number of other exploration and development opportunities in the North Sea. The company has a portfolio of 100% owned licenses, covering an area of 3,000 square kilometers. Deltic is actively exploring these licenses and has identified a number of promising prospects. The company plans to drill a number of exploration wells in the coming years, with the potential to add significant reserves to its portfolio.


Deltic is a well-financed company with a strong balance sheet. The company has access to a variety of funding sources, including equity, debt, and government grants. Deltic is also supported by a team of experienced management and technical professionals. With its strong financial position, experienced team, and portfolio of high-quality assets, Deltic is well-positioned to continue its growth and deliver significant value for shareholders.

Deltic: Enhancing Operational Efficiency for Sustainable Growth

Deltic Energy has demonstrated a consistent focus on improving its operational efficiency, ensuring sustainable growth and profitability. The company's advanced technology, coupled with data-driven decision-making, has driven significant progress in optimizing production, reducing costs, and enhancing its environmental footprint. By leveraging innovative tools and best practices, Deltic has positioned itself for ongoing operational excellence.


Deltic's commitment to efficient operations extends to its exploration and production activities. The company utilizes state-of-the-art seismic acquisition and interpretation techniques to identify and assess prospective reservoirs accurately. This approach minimizes the risk associated with exploration, reducing the need for costly dry holes and maximizing the likelihood of successful well development.


Furthermore, Deltic has implemented a robust production optimization strategy. Advanced reservoir modeling and wellbore surveillance enable the company to optimize production parameters, ensuring maximum hydrocarbon recovery while minimizing operating expenses. By optimizing flow rates, reducing downtime, and implementing artificial lift systems where appropriate, Deltic enhances its asset performance and ensures long-term profitability.


Deltic's focus on operational efficiency is not only driven by economic considerations but also by a commitment to environmental stewardship. The company adheres to the highest environmental standards, minimizing its carbon footprint through the implementation of sustainable practices. By utilizing energy-efficient technologies, reducing flaring, and implementing environmentally friendly drilling techniques, Deltic contributes to a clean and sustainable energy future.

Deltic Energy's Risk Assessment


Deltic Energy (Deltic) is an exploration and production company focused on the North Sea. The company's primary asset is the Serenity field, which is located in the Southern North Sea. Deltic also has a number of other exploration and appraisal assets in the North Sea.


Deltic's operations are subject to a number of risks, including:
- Exploration risk: The company's exploration activities may not be successful in discovering commercially viable hydrocarbon reserves.
- Production risk: The company's production activities may be interrupted or curtailed by technical or operational problems.
- Price risk: The company's revenues are dependent on the prevailing price of oil and gas.
- Regulatory risk: The company's operations are subject to a number of regulations, which may change from time to time.


Deltic has a number of strategies in place to mitigate these risks. These strategies include:
- Diversification: The company has a number of exploration and appraisal assets in different parts of the North Sea.
- Hedging: The company uses hedging contracts to mitigate the risk of price fluctuations.
- Insurance: The company has insurance in place to cover the risk of physical damage to its assets.


Overall, Deltic's risk assessment is balanced. The company has a number of risks, but it also has a number of strategies in place to mitigate these risks. The company's operations are subject to a number of uncertainties, but the company is well-positioned to manage these uncertainties and continue to grow its business.

References

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  3. Athey S, Bayati M, Doudchenko N, Imbens G, Khosravi K. 2017a. Matrix completion methods for causal panel data models. arXiv:1710.10251 [math.ST]
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  5. Keane MP. 2013. Panel data discrete choice models of consumer demand. In The Oxford Handbook of Panel Data, ed. BH Baltagi, pp. 54–102. Oxford, UK: Oxford Univ. Press
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  7. Athey S, Imbens G. 2016. Recursive partitioning for heterogeneous causal effects. PNAS 113:7353–60

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