Modelling A.I. in Economics

Hessing Ahead? (HES) (Forecast)

Outlook: HES Hess Corporation Common Stock is assigned short-term Baa2 & long-term Ba3 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Hold
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
ML Model Testing : Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis)
Hypothesis Testing : Pearson Correlation
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.

Key Points

Hess Corporation Common Stock is likely to continue its upward trajectory, driven by rising oil prices and increased demand for energy. The stock may experience short-term fluctuations due to market volatility, but it is anticipated to maintain a positive trend in the long run. It is important to monitor industry developments and global economic conditions to gauge the stock's future prospects.


Hess, formerly known as Hess Corporation, is an American independent energy company engaged in the exploration, production, refining, marketing, and transportation of oil, natural gas, and petroleum products. Founded in 1933 by Leon Hess, the company is headquartered in New York City. Hess has operations in the United States, Canada, Africa, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia.

Hess is a Fortune 500 company and one of the largest independent energy companies in the United States. The company employs over 6,000 people worldwide and has a market capitalization of over $20 billion. Hess is a publicly traded company listed on the New York Stock Exchange.


Predicting the Trajectory of HES: A Machine Learning Model for Hess Corporation Common Stock

In the ever-fluctuating world of stock markets, predicting the future performance of a particular stock can be a challenging task. However, by employing sophisticated machine learning algorithms, we aim to develop a robust model that harnesses historical data to forecast the trajectory of Hess Corporation Common Stock (HES). Our model will leverage a comprehensive dataset encompassing various market indicators, economic factors, and company-specific metrics to identify patterns and relationships that can inform our predictions.

Our machine learning model utilizes a hybrid approach that combines supervised and unsupervised learning techniques. Supervised learning algorithms, such as random forests and support vector machines, will be trained on historical HES stock prices and the aforementioned dataset of market and company-specific factors. These algorithms will learn to map the input data to the corresponding stock price movements, allowing us to make informed predictions about future stock prices. Additionally, unsupervised learning algorithms, such as clustering and principal component analysis, will be employed to uncover hidden patterns and relationships within the data, providing further insights into the factors that drive HES stock price fluctuations.

By leveraging the power of machine learning and combining supervised and unsupervised learning techniques, our model aims to provide accurate and reliable predictions of HES stock prices. The model will be continuously updated and refined as new data becomes available, ensuring its ongoing relevance and applicability. Through rigorous testing and validation, we strive to create a valuable tool for investors and analysts seeking to make informed decisions regarding Hess Corporation Common Stock.

ML Model Testing

F(Pearson Correlation)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis))3,4,5 X S(n):→ 16 Weeks S = s 1 s 2 s 3

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of HES stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of HES stock holders

a:Best response for HES target price


For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do PredictiveAI algorithms actually work?

HES Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

Hess Corporation Common Stock Financial Outlook and Predictions

Hess Corporation's financial performance in recent years has been characterized by volatility. Despite fluctuations, the company has consistently demonstrated strong cash flows and profitability, underpinned by its diverse portfolio of exploration and production assets. The company's strong financial position is expected to continue in the coming years, driven by rising oil and gas prices. Analysts predict that Hess will generate significant revenue growth and improve its margins as its production volumes increase.

In terms of earnings, analysts are optimistic about Hess's prospects. The company is expected to post a strong increase in earnings per share (EPS) in the coming years. This growth is primarily attributed to higher oil and gas prices, along with the company's efforts to reduce costs and improve operational efficiency. Hess's focus on exploration and production activities in key basins, such as the Bakken Shale in North Dakota and the Gulf of Mexico, is expected to drive this growth.

From a valuation perspective, Hess is currently trading at a significant discount to its peers. Analysts believe that the company's strong financial performance and growth potential are not fully reflected in its current market price. As a result, they forecast that Hess's stock price will appreciate significantly in the coming years. The company's strong financial position and growth prospects make it an attractive investment opportunity for long-term investors.

Overall, Hess Corporation is well-positioned to capitalize on the rising oil and gas prices. The company's strong cash flows, profitability, and growth potential make it an attractive investment opportunity. Analysts are optimistic about Hess's financial outlook and predict strong earnings growth and stock price appreciation in the coming years.

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Income StatementB1Baa2
Balance SheetBaa2Caa2
Leverage RatiosBaa2Caa2
Cash FlowBaa2Baa2
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityBaa2Ba3

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Hess Corp. – Market Overview and Competitive Landscape

Hess' stock has struggled in recent years, as the company has been hurt by the downturn in the energy sector. However, the company has taken steps to improve its financial position, and analysts believe that it is well-positioned to benefit from a recovery in the energy sector.

Hess operates in a highly competitive industry. The company's main competitors are other large oil and gas companies, such as ExxonMobil and Chevron. Hess also competes with smaller, independent oil and gas companies. The company's competitive advantages include its large size and scale, its global reach, and its strong financial position.

Hess is facing a number of challenges, including the downturn in the energy sector, the transition to renewable energy, and the increasing geopolitical risk in some of the regions where the company operates. However, the company is well-positioned to address these challenges and continue to be a successful player in the energy sector.

Analysts believe that Hess is a good investment for long-term investors. The company has a strong track record of profitability, and it is well-positioned to benefit from a recovery in the energy sector. Investors should be aware that the company's stock is volatile, and it could be affected by a number of factors, including the price of oil and gas, the global economy, and geopolitical events.

Hess Corporation Common Stock: A Positive Outlook

Hess Corporation (Hess) common stock has shown a strong performance with a positive outlook for the future. The company has a well-diversified portfolio of assets, including production in the Bakken Shale, Gulf of Mexico, and Guyana. This diversification provides the company with resilience against commodity price volatility. Hess's strong financial position, with low leverage and ample liquidity, allows it to invest in growth projects and return capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.

Hess's exploration and production (E&P) segment is expected to drive growth in the coming years. The company has a significant acreage position in the Bakken Shale, which is one of the most prolific oil-producing regions in the United States. Hess is also actively exploring and developing in the Gulf of Mexico and Guyana. The company's recent discovery in the Stabroek Block offshore Guyana has the potential to be a major contributor to future production.

In addition to its E&P operations, Hess also has a midstream business that provides transportation and storage services for crude oil and natural gas. The midstream business provides the company with a stable source of revenue and complements its E&P operations.

Overall, Hess Corporation is well-positioned for future growth. The company's diversified portfolio of assets, strong financial position, and experienced management team provide a solid foundation for continued success. Investors seeking exposure to the energy sector may want to consider adding Hess common stock to their portfolios.

Hess Corporation (HES) Operating Efficiency Analysis

Hess Corporation (HES) consistently demonstrates high operating efficiency, reflected in its key operating metrics. The company's low lifting costs and high refining margins contribute to its competitive position in the energy industry. HES's focus on operational excellence has allowed it to maintain a lean cost structure and maximize returns on its assets.

HES's lifting costs, a measure of the expenses associated with extracting and producing crude oil and natural gas, are among the lowest in the industry. This efficiency is driven by the company's operational expertise, advanced technologies, and strategic asset portfolio. Low lifting costs enable HES to generate healthy margins even in challenging market conditions.

In addition to its efficient production operations, HES also boasts high refining margins. The company's refineries are highly integrated and benefit from economies of scale. HES's focus on producing higher-value products, such as gasoline and diesel, further enhances its margins. This efficiency in refining contributes to the company's overall profitability.

HES's operating efficiency is expected to continue in the future. The company's commitment to operational excellence, combined with its strong financial position, positions it well to navigate market challenges and deliver long-term value to shareholders. HES's consistent operating efficiency makes it an attractive investment option for investors seeking exposure to the energy sector.

Hess Common Stock Risk Assessment

Hess Corporation (Hess) is an American independent energy company engaged in the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas worldwide. Investors considering Hess common stock should be aware of the following risk factors:

Commodity Price Volatility: Oil and gas prices are subject to significant fluctuations due to various factors, including economic conditions, supply and demand dynamics, and geopolitical events. Hess's revenue and profitability are directly tied to these commodity prices, making its financial performance highly susceptible to price volatility.

Exploration and Production Risks: Hess's operations involve exploring and producing oil and gas from complex geological formations. These activities are inherently risky, with uncertainties related to reservoir size, production rates, and cost overruns. Exploration failures or unexpected production declines can materially impact Hess's financial results.

Environmental Risks: Hess's operations carry environmental risks associated with hydrocarbon exploration and production, including oil spills, greenhouse gas emissions, and potential liabilities. Stricter environmental regulations or accidents could lead to increased compliance costs, production disruptions, or reputational damage.

Political and Regulatory Risks: Hess operates in various jurisdictions, each with its own political and regulatory environment. Changes in tax policies, environmental regulations, or political instability in producing countries can impact Hess's operations, profitability, and access to resources.


  1. Lai TL, Robbins H. 1985. Asymptotically efficient adaptive allocation rules. Adv. Appl. Math. 6:4–22
  2. Matzkin RL. 1994. Restrictions of economic theory in nonparametric methods. In Handbook of Econometrics, Vol. 4, ed. R Engle, D McFadden, pp. 2523–58. Amsterdam: Elsevier
  3. Jiang N, Li L. 2016. Doubly robust off-policy value evaluation for reinforcement learning. In Proceedings of the 33rd International Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 652–61. La Jolla, CA: Int. Mach. Learn. Soc.
  4. Athey S, Bayati M, Imbens G, Zhaonan Q. 2019. Ensemble methods for causal effects in panel data settings. NBER Work. Pap. 25675
  5. A. K. Agogino and K. Tumer. Analyzing and visualizing multiagent rewards in dynamic and stochastic environments. Journal of Autonomous Agents and Multi-Agent Systems, 17(2):320–338, 2008
  6. Akgiray, V. (1989), "Conditional heteroscedasticity in time series of stock returns: Evidence and forecasts," Journal of Business, 62, 55–80.
  7. Zeileis A, Hothorn T, Hornik K. 2008. Model-based recursive partitioning. J. Comput. Graph. Stat. 17:492–514 Zhou Z, Athey S, Wager S. 2018. Offline multi-action policy learning: generalization and optimization. arXiv:1810.04778 [stat.ML]


  • Live broadcast of expert trader insights
  • Real-time stock market analysis
  • Access to a library of research dataset (API,XLS,JSON)
  • Real-time updates
  • In-depth research reports (PDF)

This project is licensed under the license; additional terms may apply.