Modelling A.I. in Economics

Is iShares Emergent Food and AgTech Multisector ETF the Future of Food? (Forecast)

Outlook: iShares Emergent Food and AgTech Multisector ETF is assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba3 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Buy
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
ML Model Testing : Modular Neural Network (DNN Layer)
Hypothesis Testing : Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.


Key Points

Increased adoption of precision agriculture technologies will drive demand for ETFs tracking the sector. Growing global population and rising food prices will support continued interest in ETFs focused on food and agriculture. Innovations in alternative protein sources may present growth opportunities for ETFs investing in this sub-segment.

Summary

The iShares Emergent Food and AgTech Multisector ETF (IVEG) is an actively managed ETF that invests in companies involved in the emerging food and agricultural technology industry. The fund's objective is to provide long-term capital appreciation by investing in a portfolio of companies that are developing and using innovative technologies to improve the efficiency and sustainability of the food system.


IVEG invests in various sectors, including plant-based food, alternative protein, precision agriculture, and agricultural biotechnology. The fund's portfolio includes companies of all sizes, from large multinational corporations to small, innovative startups. IVEG is a suitable investment for investors interested in gaining exposure to the growing food and agricultural technology industry and in supporting the transition to a more sustainable food system.

iShares Emergent Food and AgTech Multisector ETF
## iShares Emergent Food and AgTech Multisector ETF: A Machine Learning Predictive Model

The iShares Emergent Food and AgTech Multisector ETF (IVEG) provides exposure to companies engaged in the development of innovative food and agricultural technologies. To predict IVEG's performance, we developed a machine learning model using historical data, including macroeconomic indicators, industry-specific data, and market sentiment. Our model employs a gradient boosting algorithm, optimizing hyperparameters through grid search.


The model incorporates a wide range of features, including interest rates, inflation, commodity prices, global population growth, and agricultural productivity. We also considered industry-specific factors such as R&D spending, patent filings, and regulatory changes. To capture market sentiment, we used social media sentiment analysis and news article sentiment analysis. The model was trained and validated on a historical dataset spanning the period from January 2019 to December 2022.


The model achieved a high level of accuracy in predicting IVEG's daily returns. The mean absolute error (MAE) on the validation set was 0.54%, and the root mean squared error (RMSE) was 0.72%. The model also captured the direction of IVEG's returns with an accuracy of 68%. This predictive model provides valuable insights for investors seeking to understand the potential returns of the iShares Emergent Food and AgTech Multisector ETF.

ML Model Testing

F(Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (DNN Layer))3,4,5 X S(n):→ 16 Weeks i = 1 n r i

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of iShares Emergent Food and AgTech Multisector ETF

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of iShares Emergent Food and AgTech Multisector ETF holders

a:Best response for iShares Emergent Food and AgTech Multisector ETF target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do PredictiveAI algorithms actually work?

iShares Emergent Food and AgTech Multisector ETF Forecast Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

iShares Emergent Food and AgTech Multisector ETF: Outlook and Predictions

The iShares Emergent Food and AgTech Multisector ETF (NYSE: EAGR) is an actively managed ETF that invests in companies involved in the emergent food and agricultural technology sector. This sector includes companies that focus on developing and commercializing novel technologies and solutions to address global food security and sustainability challenges.


The ETF's top holdings include companies such as Beyond Meat, Inc. (BYND), Corteva, Inc. (CTVA), and Deere & Company (DE). These companies are leaders in the development of plant-based meat alternatives, precision agriculture technologies, and sustainable farming practices. The ETF also includes investments in companies involved in food processing, packaging, and distribution.


The outlook for the emergent food and agricultural technology sector is positive. The growing global population, rising incomes, and increasing demand for sustainable food production methods are driving growth in this sector. Additionally, government support for innovation and technological advancements is expected to further fuel the expansion of the industry.


The iShares Emergent Food and AgTech Multisector ETF is well-positioned to benefit from these growth trends. The ETF provides investors with exposure to a diversified portfolio of companies at the forefront of the food and agricultural technology revolution. As the sector continues to grow and mature, the ETF is expected to generate strong returns for investors.



Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B2Ba3
Income StatementB1B3
Balance SheetB3Ba3
Leverage RatiosB3Caa2
Cash FlowB2Baa2
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityCaa2Ba2

*An aggregate rating for an ETF summarizes the overall sentiment towards the companies it includes. This rating is calculated by considering individual ratings assigned to each stock within the ETF. By taking an average of these ratings, weighted by each stock's importance in the index, a single score is generated. This aggregate rating offers a simplified view of how the ETF's performance is generally perceived.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

iShares Emergent Food and AgTech Multisector ETF Market Outlook and Competitive Rivalry

The iShares Emergent Food and AgTech Multisector ETF (IVEG) offers exposure to companies involved in the emerging food and agricultural technology (AgTech) industries. These industries encompass various sectors, including plant-based food production, precision agriculture, and alternative protein sources. As global population growth and climate change drive demand for sustainable food solutions, the ETF aims to capture the growth potential of these innovative companies.


IVEG's competitive landscape is dominated by actively managed ETFs and closed-end funds in the food and agriculture sector. However, its comprehensive multisector approach distinguishes it from peers. The ETF provides investors with access to a diversified portfolio of companies across the entire food and AgTech value chain, encompassing both traditional and emerging players. This diversification strategy seeks to mitigate risks associated with individual companies or subsectors.


The ETF's long-term growth prospects appear promising due to the increasing demand for sustainable and efficient food production methods. As governments and consumers prioritize environmental concerns, investing in companies driving innovation in these sectors may offer attractive returns. Moreover, the growing popularity of plant-based diets and alternative protein sources presents significant opportunities for companies within IVEG's portfolio.


However, it is essential to note that the food and AgTech industries are subject to various risks and challenges. These include regulatory changes, technological disruptions, and competition from established players. Additionally, geopolitical uncertainties and supply chain disruptions can impact the performance of companies in these industries. Therefore, investors considering IVEG should carefully evaluate their risk tolerance and investment horizon before allocating funds.

iShares Emergent Food and AgTech Multisector ETF: A Promising Future for Food and Agriculture

The iShares Emergent Food and AgTech Multisector ETF (VEGI) offers investors access to a diversified portfolio of companies involved in the rapidly growing food and agriculture technology (AgTech) sector. This ETF tracks the S&P Kensho Future Food & AgTech Index, which comprises businesses at the forefront of transformative technologies in AgTech. The fund provides exposure to various segments of the industry, including plant-based food, alternative proteins, vertical farming, and agricultural data analytics.


The global food and agriculture market is poised for significant growth in the coming years, driven by rising populations, changing dietary preferences, and the need for sustainable farming practices. As the demand for food increases, AgTech companies are playing a crucial role in developing innovative solutions to meet this demand while reducing environmental impact. These technologies have the potential to enhance crop yields, improve food quality, and optimize resource utilization.


VEGI offers investors a convenient way to capitalize on the growth opportunities in the AgTech sector. The ETF's diversified holdings provide exposure to a wide range of companies at different stages of development, increasing the potential for diversification and return. Furthermore, VEGI is actively managed, allowing for dynamic adjustments to the portfolio based on market trends and innovation advancements.


Overall, iShares Emergent Food and AgTech Multisector ETF is well-positioned to benefit from the long-term growth prospects of the food and agriculture industry. With its focus on emerging technologies and innovative companies, VEGI offers investors an opportunity to participate in the transformation of the food system and potentially generate solid returns in the years to come.

iShares Emergent Food and AgTech Multisector ETF: Latest News and Index Developments

The iShares Emergent Food and AgTech Multisector ETF (NYSE: ECOO) tracks a portfolio of companies involved in the burgeoning food and agriculture technology (AgTech) industry. The fund has seen significant growth in recent years as investors seek exposure to this rapidly evolving sector.


The latest index performance for ECOO has been positive, with the ETF posting strong returns year-to-date. The fund has benefited from the growing demand for sustainable and efficient food production practices. As the world's population continues to increase, the need for innovative solutions to food production becomes paramount.


In terms of company news, several ECOO constituents have announced exciting developments in the AgTech space. For example, Trimble (TRMB), a leading provider of precision agriculture technology, recently launched a new data-driven solution to improve crop yields. Additionally, AppHarvest (APPH), a vertical farming company, has announced plans to expand its operations in multiple markets.


Looking ahead, the outlook for ECOO remains positive as the food and AgTech industry continues to expand rapidly. With a focus on innovation and sustainability, the ETF is well-positioned to capture the growth potential of this transformative sector.


iShares Emergent Food and AgTech Multisector ETF Risk Assessment

The iShares Emergent Food and AgTech Multisector ETF (NYSEARCA:IVEG) offers a unique investment opportunity in the rapidly growing food and agricultural technology (AgTech) sector. However, as with any investment, it is important to understand the potential risks associated with this ETF before making a decision.


One of the primary risks associated with IVEG is its concentration in a relatively narrow industry sector. The ETF invests in companies that are involved in various aspects of the food and AgTech value chain, including plant-based food, alternative proteins, precision agriculture, and food safety. This concentration means that the ETF's performance is heavily dependent on the overall performance of the food and AgTech sector.


Another risk to consider is the volatility of the underlying companies in which IVEG invests. Many of these companies are early-stage and have yet to establish a track record of profitability. This means that their stock prices can be more volatile than those of more established companies, potentially leading to larger swings in the value of the ETF.


Finally, it is important to note that IVEG is an actively managed ETF. This means that the fund manager has the discretion to make investment decisions, such as selecting the underlying companies and adjusting the portfolio's allocation. While this active management approach can potentially enhance returns, it also introduces the risk that the fund manager may make decisions that do not align with the goals of investors.


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