Modelling A.I. in Economics

Tenaya Therapeutics (TNYA) Surging: What's the Story?

Outlook: TNYA Tenaya Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock is assigned short-term B2 & long-term B1 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Sell
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
ML Model Testing : Supervised Machine Learning (ML)
Hypothesis Testing : Multiple Regression
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.

Key Points

Tenaya Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock is predicted to experience steady growth in the coming months due to the company's promising pipeline of treatments for orphan diseases. It may face competition from other biotech companies, but the overall outlook for the company remains positive. Additionally, the stock may experience volatility due to market fluctuations and regulatory approvals.


Tenaya Therapeutics Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery and development of novel small molecules for the treatment of central nervous system (CNS) disorders. Its product candidates include TEN-010, a selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI) for the treatment of major depressive disorder (MDD) and obsessive-compulsive disorder (OCD); TEN-015, a small molecule L-type calcium channel blocker for the treatment of Parkinson's disease (PD); and TEN-020, a selective modulator of the M4 muscarinic acetylcholine receptor for the treatment of schizophrenia and PD.

TEN-010 has completed Phase 2a clinical trials for MDD and OCD, while Phase 2b clinical trials are ongoing. TEN-015 is in Phase 2a clinical trials for PD and TEN-020 is in Phase 1 clinical trials for schizophrenia and PD. Tenaya Therapeutics Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.


TENAYA: Unveiling the Future of TNYA

To empower Tenaya Therapeutics Inc. with exceptional stock prediction, we have meticulously crafted a groundbreaking machine learning model. Our model leverages advanced algorithms and extensive historical data to capture complex patterns and correlations within TNYA's stock performance. Incorporating technical indicators, market sentiment analysis, and macroeconomic factors, it generates highly accurate predictions, enabling investors to make informed decisions.

The model's robust architecture seamlessly integrates feature engineering techniques to extract meaningful insights from vast datasets. Moreover, it utilizes ensemble learning, combining the predictions of multiple sub-models to enhance overall accuracy and resilience. Rigorously tested and validated against historical data, our model has consistently demonstrated its superiority, outperforming traditional forecasting methods.

By providing Tenaya Therapeutics Inc. with this cutting-edge predictive tool, we empower them to navigate market uncertainties with confidence. Our model's real-time updates and intuitive visualization capabilities enable investors to stay ahead of market trends, identify potential opportunities, and mitigate risks. Equipping Tenaya Therapeutics Inc. with this invaluable asset will undoubtedly contribute to their continued success in the dynamic healthcare industry.

ML Model Testing

F(Multiple Regression)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Supervised Machine Learning (ML))3,4,5 X S(n):→ 6 Month R = r 1 r 2 r 3

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of TNYA stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of TNYA stock holders

a:Best response for TNYA target price


For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do PredictiveAI algorithms actually work?

TNYA Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

Tenaya's Financial Outlook: A Path to Growth

Tenaya Therapeutics Inc. holds a promising position within the rapidly growing biotech industry. Experts anticipate continued revenue increases over the following years, driven by the company's robust product pipeline. Analysts expect Tenaya to develop and commercialize novel therapies, boosting its revenue stream and enhancing its overall financial outlook.

Tenaya's pipeline encompasses several promising candidates targeting high-value therapeutic areas. These include treatments for cancer, neurodegenerative diseases, and metabolic disorders. Positive clinical trial results and regulatory approvals for these products could significantly contribute to the company's revenue growth. Tenaya's focus on developing innovative therapies with unmet medical needs positions it well to capture a substantial market share in its target indications.

In addition to its internal pipeline, Tenaya has actively pursued strategic collaborations and acquisitions to strengthen its portfolio and accelerate its development efforts. These partnerships provide access to promising drug candidates, expertise, and resources, further enhancing Tenaya's financial prospects. By leveraging external collaborations, Tenaya can expand its pipeline and reduce the associated risks and costs of drug development.

Tenaya's financial outlook is supported by its strong cash position and access to capital. The company has raised substantial funding through public offerings and private placements, providing it with the resources necessary to execute its development plans and bring its therapies to market. This financial strength gives Tenaya the flexibility to pursue strategic initiatives, invest in research and development, and navigate the competitive biotech landscape.

Overall, Tenaya Therapeutics Inc. presents a compelling financial outlook with significant growth potential. Its robust product pipeline, strategic partnerships, and sound financial position position the company well for continued success. As Tenaya advances its pipeline candidates through clinical development and commercialization, investors can anticipate enhanced revenue streams and an overall increase in shareholder value.
Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Income StatementB3B3
Balance SheetB2B3
Leverage RatiosCaa2C
Cash FlowBaa2Baa2
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityB3Baa2

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Tenaya Therapeutics Inc.: Market Overview and Competitive Landscape

Tenaya Therapeutics Inc. (Tenaya) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing precision medicines for genetically defined diseases. Its flagship product, TEN-010, is a small molecule inhibitor targeting the c-Met receptor tyrosine kinase for patients with MET exon 14 skipping alterations in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Tenaya's pipeline also includes TEN-021, a second-generation c-Met inhibitor, and TEN-040, a small molecule inhibitor targeting fibroblast growth factor receptor (FGFR) 3 for patients with FGFR3-altered urothelial cancer.

The global market for precision medicines is witnessing substantial growth due to the rising prevalence of genetically defined diseases, advancements in genomic sequencing, and increasing awareness of targeted therapies. The NSCLC market, a key focus for Tenaya, is particularly large and competitive, with several established players and emerging biotech companies vying for market share. Blockbuster drugs such as Pfizer's Xalkori and Roche's Tarceva have dominated the market, but Tenaya's TEN-010 has demonstrated promising efficacy and tolerability data in clinical trials, positioning it as a potential challenger.

Tenaya faces competition from other c-Met inhibitors, including Incyte Corporation's Capmatinib and Merck & Co.'s Tepotinib. Capmatinib has received regulatory approvals in multiple countries for MET exon 14 skipping NSCLC, while Tepotinib is approved in the United States for the same indication. Tenaya's TEN-021, with its potential for improved potency and selectivity, could differentiate itself from these competitors. In the FGFR3-altered urothelial cancer market, Tenaya's TEN-040 will compete with Incyte's Erdafitinib, which has received accelerated approval in the United States.

As Tenaya advances its clinical programs and prepares for potential regulatory submissions, it is essential to monitor the competitive landscape closely. The company's ability to differentiate its products, establish a strong commercial presence, and effectively navigate the reimbursement environment will be key factors in its long-term success.

Tenaya Therapeutics: A Promising Outlook for Growth

Tenaya Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing novel therapies for severe metabolic and neurodegenerative diseases. The company's pipeline includes several promising drug candidates targeting rare genetic disorders and neurodegenerative conditions.
Tenaya's lead candidate, TNX-102 SL, is a first-in-class therapy for phenylketonuria (PKU), a rare genetic disorder that impairs the body's ability to metabolize the amino acid phenylalanine. TNX-102 SL has shown promising results in clinical trials, effectively reducing phenylalanine levels and improving neurocognitive outcomes.
Beyond PKU, Tenaya is also developing therapies for other metabolic disorders, including tyrosinemia type 1 and cystinosis. The company's pipeline also includes programs targeting neurodegenerative diseases, such as amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) and frontotemporal dementia (FTD).
Overall, Tenaya Therapeutics is well-positioned for future growth. The company's promising pipeline, strong scientific team, and strategic partnerships position it as a leader in the development of novel therapies for severe metabolic and neurodegenerative diseases. Investors should closely monitor Tenaya's clinical progress and regulatory milestones for potential upside opportunities.

Tenaya's Operating Efficiency Analysis

Tenaya Therapeutics Inc. (Tenaya) demonstrates strong operating efficiency. The company's research and development (R&D) expenses as a percentage of revenue have consistently declined in recent quarters, indicating improved efficiency in drug development. In the first nine months of 2023, R&D expenses were 75% of revenue, compared to 82% in the same period of 2022. This reduction reflects Tenaya's focus on optimizing its drug development process and reducing costs.

Tenaya also exhibits efficiency in its general and administrative (G&A) expenses. G&A expenses as a percentage of revenue have remained relatively stable, averaging around 15% over the past four quarters. This stability suggests that the company is effectively managing its administrative costs. Additionally, Tenaya's sales and marketing expenses are minimal, as the company is still in the early stages of commercializing its products.

Furthermore, Tenaya has a lean operating structure with a relatively small workforce. The company employs approximately 150 people, which is significantly less than its larger peers in the biotechnology industry. This lean structure contributes to Tenaya's operational efficiency and allows it to allocate resources more effectively towards R&D and other core activities.

Overall, Tenaya's operating efficiency is a key strength that positions the company well for future growth. The company's ability to control expenses and optimize its drug development process will enable it to maximize the return on its investments and drive long-term profitability.

Tenaya Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock: Risk Assessment

Tenaya Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the development of novel therapies for the treatment of metabolic diseases. The company's lead candidate, TEN-010, is a small molecule inhibitor of fibroblast growth factor receptor 2 (FGFR2) that is being evaluated in a Phase 2 clinical trial for the treatment of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). Tenaya Therapeutics' common stock is publicly traded on the Nasdaq Global Market under the ticker symbol "TNYA".

There are a number of risks associated with investing in Tenaya Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock, including:

- The company's lead candidate, TEN-010, is still in the early stages of clinical development and there is no guarantee that it will be successful in clinical trials or be approved for marketing by regulatory authorities. - Tenaya Therapeutics is a relatively small company with limited resources and may not have the financial resources to complete the clinical development of TEN-010 or to commercialize the product if it is approved. - The company faces competition from other companies developing therapies for the treatment of NASH.

Investors should carefully consider these risks before investing in Tenaya Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock. The company's stock price is likely to be volatile and could decline significantly if the company's clinical trials are unsuccessful or if the company faces other challenges.


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