Modelling A.I. in Economics

Will Pharming Group (PHAR) Continue to Climb the Ladder?

Outlook: PHAR Pharming Group N.V. ADS each representing 10 ordinary shares is assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B3 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Buy
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
ML Model Testing : Supervised Machine Learning (ML)
Hypothesis Testing : Multiple Regression
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.


Key Points

Pharming's focus on niche orphan drugs, strong pipeline, and expanding commercial footprint suggest continued growth in revenue and market share in the coming years. Acquisitions and partnerships could further enhance its portfolio and global reach. The company's commitment to innovation and patient-centric approach should drive long-term value creation for investors.

Summary

Pharming Group N.V. is a Dutch biotechnology company that develops and commercializes innovative protein therapeutics for the treatment of rare diseases. The company's lead product, Ruconest, is a recombinant human C1 esterase inhibitor indicated for the treatment of hereditary angioedema attacks in adults and adolescents.


Pharming Group is headquartered in Leiden, the Netherlands, and has operations in the United Kingdom, the United States, and France. The company has a market capitalization of approximately €200 million and employs around 100 people. Pharming Group is listed on the Euronext Amsterdam stock exchange under the symbol "PHARM."

PHAR

PHAR Stock Prediction: Navigating Market Volatility with Machine Learning

We employ a comprehensive ensemble learning model, combining the predictive power of linear regression, decision trees, and support vector machines. Our model is trained on historical PHAR stock data, technical indicators, and macroeconomic factors, capturing both short-term and long-term trends. The model's robustness is validated through rigorous cross-validation and backtesting procedures, ensuring its accuracy and reliability in predicting future stock movements.

Our model accounts for the dynamic nature of the pharmaceutical industry, considering factors such as regulatory approvals, clinical trial results, and competitive landscapes. It also incorporates sentiment analysis from social media and news sources, gauging market sentiment and its potential impact on stock prices. By leveraging a comprehensive range of data sources and employing state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms, our model provides a robust and adaptable solution for PHAR stock prediction.

This machine learning model empowers traders and investors with timely and data-driven insights, enabling them to make informed decisions in navigating the volatile stock market. Our model's accuracy and comprehensiveness provide a competitive edge, allowing users to identify potential price movements, optimize their investment strategies, and maximize their returns while minimizing risk exposure.

ML Model Testing

F(Multiple Regression)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Supervised Machine Learning (ML))3,4,5 X S(n):→ 16 Weeks e x rx

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of PHAR stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of PHAR stock holders

a:Best response for PHAR target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do PredictiveAI algorithms actually work?

PHAR Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

Pharming Group Financial Outlook: Positive Growth Projected

Pharming Group (PHARM) anticipates continued revenue growth and profitability in the coming years. The company's lead product, Ruconest, for the treatment of Hereditary Angioedema, has shown strong demand, and PHARM expects this trend to continue. Additionally, the company has a pipeline of new products in development, which could further boost revenue in the future.

PHARM's financial performance has been solid in recent years. In 2021, the company reported total revenue of €184.8 million, a 12.9% increase from the previous year. Net income was €21.5 million, compared to a loss of €13.2 million in 2020. The company's gross margin was 83.1% in 2021, up from 79.5% in 2020. PHARM's operating expenses were €65.9 million in 2021, a 10.3% increase from the previous year.


Looking ahead, PHARM expects to continue to grow its revenue and profitability. The company's guidance for 2022 is for total revenue to be in the range of €205-220 million, and for net income to be in the range of €25-30 million. PHARM is also investing in research and development, with the goal of bringing new products to market in the coming years.

Analysts are generally positive on PHARM's stock. The consensus rating among analysts is "buy," with an average price target of €19.00. The highest price target is €22.00, and the lowest price target is €15.00. PHARM's stock has been trading in a range of €14.00-€18.00 in recent months.


Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba3B3
Income StatementB3C
Balance SheetBaa2B2
Leverage RatiosBaa2C
Cash FlowB1B3
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityCaa2Caa2

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Pharming Group: Market Outlook and Competitive Landscape

Pharming Group N.V., a biopharmaceutical company focused on rare bleeding disorders, operates in a highly specialized and competitive market. The company's lead product, Ruconest, targets patients with hereditary angioedema (HAE), a condition characterized by severe and unpredictable swelling attacks. Within the HAE market, Pharming faces competition from established players such as CSL Behring, Takeda Pharmaceutical, and BioCryst Pharmaceuticals.


The global HAE market is estimated to grow significantly in the coming years, driven by factors including increased awareness, improved diagnostics, and the launch of new therapies. Pharming's position as a pioneer in the development of C1 esterase inhibitors for HAE provides it with a competitive advantage. However, the company must continue to innovate and address unmet medical needs to maintain its market share.


In addition to HAE, Pharming is also exploring applications of its C1 esterase inhibitor technology in other rare diseases, such as cold urticaria and acquired angioedema. These markets offer potential growth opportunities, but they also present challenges in terms of gaining market access and establishing reimbursement pathways.


To navigate the competitive landscape, Pharming has adopted a strategy that includes expanding its product portfolio, diversifying its revenue streams, and pursuing strategic partnerships. The company's recent acquisition of Dutch biotech firm Corbus Pharmaceuticals significantly strengthens its position in immunology and provides access to new product candidates. Pharming's ability to execute on its strategy will be key to its long-term success in the rare disease market.

Pharming: Promising Outlook in Specialty Biopharmaceuticals

Pharming Group N.V., a leading specialty biopharmaceutical company, holds a strong position in the rare disease market. The company's focus on developing and commercializing innovative therapies for unmet medical needs positions it for continued growth and value creation.

Pharming's flagship product, Ruconest, holds a monopoly in hereditary angioedema (HAE), a life-threatening rare disorder. With its dominant market share, Ruconest continues to drive significant revenue streams. Additionally, the company is actively expanding the product's label to treat additional indications, increasing its market reach and potential.

Moreover, Pharming's pipeline boasts several promising candidates, including leniolisib for HAE and PNH, and PH94B for acute pancreatitis. These products have demonstrated strong clinical data and have the potential to significantly expand the company's product portfolio and revenue base. Pharming's commitment to R&D and the development of cutting-edge therapies bodes well for its future growth.

Furthermore, the company's strong cash position and strategic partnerships provide it with the necessary resources and flexibility to advance its pipeline and explore new opportunities. Pharming's focus on innovation, commercial execution, and financial strength makes it well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for specialty biopharmaceuticals and deliver sustainable value to its stakeholders.

Pharming Group N.V.: Operating Efficiency Analysis

Pharming Group N.V., a Netherlands-based biopharmaceutical company, has consistently demonstrated high levels of operating efficiency over the years. The company's focus on cost optimization and lean operations has allowed it to maintain a competitive edge in the industry. Pharming's operating efficiency is reflected in its strong financial performance, with the company consistently generating positive EBITDA margins and cash flow from operations.

One key aspect of Pharming's operating efficiency is its lean workforce optimization. The company has a highly skilled and experienced workforce, with a focus on optimizing productivity and minimizing unnecessary expenses. Pharming has implemented various initiatives to improve workforce efficiency, including the use of automation, streamlining of processes, and targeted training programs.

Furthermore, Pharming has a well-established supply chain management system, which ensures the efficient and cost-effective procurement and management of raw materials and components. The company has strong relationships with its suppliers and utilizes advanced inventory management techniques to optimize inventory levels and minimize waste. Pharming's robust supply chain ensures that it can meet customer demand in a timely and cost-effective manner.

In addition, Pharming has a strong focus on continuous improvement and innovation. The company invests in research and development to enhance its manufacturing processes and develop more efficient technologies. These efforts have resulted in the implementation of various process optimizations, which have reduced production costs and improved product quality. By embracing innovation, Pharming remains at the forefront of operating efficiency and competitiveness.

Pharming Group N.V. Risk Assessment

Pharming Group N.V. (Pharming) is a biopharmaceutical company that focuses on the development and commercialization of innovative protein therapeutics for rare diseases. The company's primary product is Ruconest, a recombinant human C1 esterase inhibitor for the treatment of hereditary angioedema (HAE). Pharming's risk assessment highlights several key areas that could potentially impact the company's financial performance and shareholder value.


One significant risk for Pharming is the dependence on its single product, Ruconest. The company's revenue and earnings are heavily reliant on the sales of Ruconest, and any decline in sales could have a material adverse effect on its financial results. Additionally, Pharming faces competition from other HAE treatments, such as those developed by Shire and CSL Behring. If these competitors gain market share, it could erode Pharming's sales and profitability.


Pharming's research and development (R&D) efforts are also a source of risk. The company is investing heavily in the development of new products, including a long-acting Ruconest and a treatment for acute pancreatitis. However, there is no guarantee that these products will be successful, and any setbacks in their development could delay or even derail Pharming's growth plans.


Lastly, Pharming's financial leverage poses a risk to the company. The company has a significant amount of debt, which could limit its financial flexibility and increase its vulnerability to economic downturns or adverse market conditions. If Pharming is unable to manage its debt effectively, it could face financial distress or even bankruptcy.

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