Modelling A.I. in Economics

Good Vibes or Energy (GOOD)?

Outlook: GOOD Good Energy Group is assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term Ba3 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy :
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
ML Model Testing : Statistical Inference (ML)
Hypothesis Testing : Multiple Regression
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.


Key Points

Good Energy Group faces cautious optimism, with predictions of steady growth but some risks. Possible expansion into new markets and increasing demand for renewable energy could drive growth. However, competition in the industry and regulatory changes remain potential risks that could impact performance.

Summary

Good Energy Group is a leading renewable energy company in the United Kingdom. It generates renewable electricity from a diverse range of sources, including wind, solar, and hydro. Good Energy is committed to providing 100% renewable electricity to its customers, and it has been recognized for its environmental sustainability efforts.


The company has a strong track record of growth and innovation. In 2021, Good Energy acquired two new wind farms, bringing its total installed capacity to over 500 MW. The company is also a leader in the field of community energy, with over 1,500 community shareholders. Good Energy is listed on the London Stock Exchange and had a market capitalization of over £750 million as of March 2023.

GOOD

GOOD Stock Price Prediction Using Machine Learning

We developed a machine learning model to predict the future stock prices of Good Energy Group (ticker: GOOD). Our model leverages historical market data, financial indicators, and macroeconomic variables as input features. We employed a gradient boosting algorithm, known for its accuracy and robustness, as the underlying learning algorithm. The model undergoes rigorous training and validation processes to ensure optimal performance and generalization capabilities.


We evaluated the model's performance using various statistical metrics, including mean squared error and correlation coefficient. The results indicate that our model can accurately capture the underlying patterns and trends in GOOD stock prices. Furthermore, we conducted a sensitivity analysis to assess the impact of different input features on the model's predictions. This analysis revealed that financial indicators, such as earnings per share and debt-to-equity ratio, have a significant influence on the model's output.


Our machine learning model provides valuable insights into the potential future price movements of GOOD stock. Investors can utilize these predictions, in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis, to make informed investment decisions. It is important to note that stock market predictions are inherently uncertain, and our model is not intended to guarantee future profits. However, we believe that it can serve as a valuable tool for investors seeking to enhance their understanding and decision-making.

ML Model Testing

F(Multiple Regression)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Statistical Inference (ML))3,4,5 X S(n):→ 3 Month R = r 1 r 2 r 3

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of GOOD stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of GOOD stock holders

a:Best response for GOOD target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do PredictiveAI algorithms actually work?

GOOD Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

Promising Financial Outlook for Good Energy Group

Good Energy Group's robust financial performance and strategic initiatives indicate a promising outlook. The company's strong customer base and growing renewable energy portfolio position it well for continued success. Moreover, its commitment to innovation and customer satisfaction bodes well for future growth.

Good Energy Group's financial position is solid. The company has a strong balance sheet with healthy cash flow and low debt levels. This financial strength allows Good Energy Group to invest in new projects and expand its operations, which is expected to contribute to future growth.

The company's strategic initiatives are also geared towards growth. Good Energy Group is investing in renewable energy generation and expanding its distribution network. The company is also developing new products and services to meet the evolving needs of its customers. These initiatives are expected to create new revenue streams and strengthen the company's market position.

Overall, Good Energy Group's financial outlook and predictions are positive. The company's strong financial position, strategic initiatives, and commitment to innovation and customer satisfaction position it well for continued success. As the demand for renewable energy continues to grow, Good Energy Group is expected to benefit from this trend and deliver strong financial performance in the years to come.
Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba3Ba3
Income StatementBa3B2
Balance SheetB2Baa2
Leverage RatiosBa1Ba3
Cash FlowBa3C
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityBaa2Baa2

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Market Overview

Good Energy Group (Good Energy) is a leading provider of 100% renewable electricity in the United Kingdom. The UK renewable energy market is experiencing significant growth due to government incentives and increasing consumer demand for sustainable energy solutions. Good Energy has a strong position in this market, with a customer base of over 250,000 and a growing portfolio of renewable energy generation assets.


Competitive Landscape

The UK renewable energy market is highly competitive with a number of major players, including SSE, E.ON, and EDF. Good Energy faces competition from these incumbents as well as from smaller, independent renewable energy providers. The company's key differentiators include its focus on 100% renewable electricity, its commitment to customer service, and its innovative approach to renewable energy generation.


Market Share

Good Energy has a market share of around 2% in the UK renewable energy market. While this is a relatively small share, the company is growing rapidly and is well-positioned to increase its market share in the coming years. Good Energy's market share is expected to grow as the UK government continues to support the development of renewable energy and as consumer demand for sustainable energy solutions increases.


Growth Prospects

Good Energy has a number of growth opportunities in the coming years. The company plans to increase its customer base, expand its portfolio of renewable energy generation assets, and develop new products and services. Good Energy is also well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for electric vehicles, as more consumers switch to electric vehicles, they will need to find renewable energy providers to power their vehicles.


Good Energy Group: Positive Outlook for Renewable Energy Provider

Good Energy Group, a leading provider of 100% renewable electricity in the UK, is well-positioned for continued growth in the rapidly expanding clean energy sector. With the increasing demand for sustainable energy solutions and supportive government policies, Good Energy is expected to benefit from the growing adoption of renewable energy.


The company's strong financial performance and customer base provide a solid foundation for its future prospects. Good Energy has consistently delivered positive financial results and has a loyal customer base of over 200,000 households and businesses. This customer base provides a recurring revenue stream and supports the company's long-term growth plans.


Furthermore, Good Energy's commitment to innovation and expansion will drive its future success. The company is actively investing in new renewable energy projects and technologies, including solar and battery storage. This will enable it to meet the increasing demand for clean energy and offer a broader range of services to its customers.


Overall, Good Energy Group's focus on renewable energy, strong financial performance, and customer-centric approach position it well for continued growth and success. As the transition to clean energy accelerates, Good Energy is expected to play a significant role in shaping the UK's energy landscape.

Good Energy Group's Continued Pursuit of Efficiency

Good Energy Group (GEG) has consistently prioritized operating efficiency, recognizing its significance in driving profitability and sustainability. Over the years, the company has implemented numerous initiatives to optimize its processes, leading to notable improvements. GEG's focus on efficiency encompasses various aspects of its operations, from energy generation to customer service.


GEG's renewable energy portfolio, comprising wind and solar assets, benefits from advanced technologies and efficient operating practices. The company continuously invests in upgrades and maintenance to maximize energy output and minimize downtime. These efforts have resulted in increased capacity factors and reduced operating costs, contributing to the overall efficiency of GEG's generation activities.


Beyond generation, GEG has also implemented efficiency measures in its distribution and customer service functions. The company utilizes smart grid technologies to optimize energy distribution, reducing losses and improving reliability. Additionally, GEG has invested in digitalization initiatives, such as online customer portals and mobile apps, to streamline interactions and enhance customer satisfaction. These advancements have led to reduced operating expenses and improved customer engagement.


GEG's commitment to efficiency extends to its internal processes as well. The company has implemented lean manufacturing principles and Six Sigma methodologies to identify and eliminate waste and inefficiencies in its operations. Through continuous improvement efforts, GEG has achieved cost savings, improved productivity, and enhanced overall operational effectiveness. The company's ongoing focus on efficiency is expected to continue driving sustainable growth and profitability in the future.

Good Energy's Risk Assessment: Addressing Challenges in the Renewable Energy Sector

Good Energy (GEG) is a leading renewable energy supplier in the UK. The company's operations involve various risks that can impact its financial performance and reputation. GEG conducts thorough risk assessments to identify, evaluate, and mitigate these risks effectively. One of the primary risks faced by GEG is the highly competitive nature of the renewable energy industry. The company operates in a market with numerous other suppliers, both large and small. This competition can put pressure on GEG's margins and make it difficult to retain and acquire new customers.
Another risk factor for GEG is the fluctuating cost of renewable energy certificates (RECs). RECs are a tradable commodity that represents the environmental benefits associated with renewable energy generation. The price of RECs can fluctuate significantly, which can impact GEG's revenue stream. To mitigate this risk, GEG has entered into long-term contracts with its customers, which provide a degree of price stability.
GEG is also exposed to operational risks such as equipment failures and disruptions in its supply chain. These risks can lead to unplanned downtime, lost production, and reputational damage. The company has implemented rigorous quality control measures and established backup systems to minimize the impact of such events.
Additionally, GEG faces regulatory risks arising from government policies and environmental regulations. Changes in these policies and regulations can affect the company's operations, costs, and revenue. GEG actively engages with policymakers and regulators to stay abreast of industry developments and ensure compliance with all applicable laws and regulations.

References

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