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Launched as AC Invest in 2017, AC Invest is the Investment Research arm of AC ADV. AC Invest is headquartered in (Saint Helier) Jersey, with offices in San Francisco, Boston, New York, Cambridge and London.


The past few years have seen rapid advances in machine learning, with new technologies achieving dramatic improvements in technical performance. But we can go beyond optimizing objective functions. By building AI systems with users in mind from the ground up, we open up entire new areas of finance.AI Forecast is devoted to advancing the research and design of people-centric AI systems. We're interested in the full spectrum of human trading interaction with machine intelligence, from supporting engineers to understanding everyday trading experiences with AI.


Modern machine learning models are highly flexible but lack transparency. Can we devise methods to explain the predictions of such models, without restricting their expressiveness? Can we do so even if we don't know anything about their architecture, i.e., if they are "black-boxes"? In this project, we are developing methods for explaining the predictions made rather than constraining the models themselves to be interpretable. We are particularly interested in providing explanations for the predictions of complex machine learning models that operate on structured data, such as sentences, trees or graphs. For example, we use statistical input-output analysis to learn to interpret predictions of sequence-to-sequence models, such as those used in machine translation and dialogue systems.


In our experiment, we focus on an approach known as Decision making using game theory. We apply principles from game theory to model the relationships between rating actions, news, market signals and decision making. We postulate the use of design capability indices to facilitate the teams making a ranged set of decisions, instead of specific ones.


Our goal is to do fundamental research, invent new technology, and create frameworks for forecast in order to drive a human-centered approach to artificial intelligence.


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Retrophin, Inc. Credit Rating & Financial Statements Analysis

BOSTON (AC Invest Credit Rating Terminal) Sun Jan 16 2022 11:33:57 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time) AI Credit Ratings today took the rating actions below: Credit Rating Rationales & Model We do not include potential future debt issuances as a source of liquidity because of the uncertainty of a company's ability to access debt markets in times of financial stress, even for investment-grade issuers. For instance, in the case of a proposed financing, with the intended use of proceeds to repay existing debt, we will assess a company's liquidity excluding the proposed financing until it's obtained or fully underwritten. Rating Model for Retrophin, Inc.: We estimate the credit risk parameters by Money Flow Index (MFI) and ElasticNet Regression Credit Ratings for Retrophin, Inc. as of 16 Jan 2022 Credit Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior AI Rating Class* Baa2 B3 Semantic Signals 86 48 Financial Signals 66 46 Risk Signals 73 39 Substantial Risks

FIRST SECURITY BANK Credit Rating & Financial Statements Analysis

BOSTON (AC Invest Credit Rating Terminal) Sun Jan 16 2022 11:59:02 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time) AI Credit Ratings today took the rating actions below: Credit Rating Rationales & Model Larger, investment-grade issuers that have access to both public and private debt markets have greater flexibility than companies that depend solely on private bank loans. In addition, we consider whether a company can borrow on an unsecured basis, has access to the commercial paper markets, and issues debt in multiple geographies. It is more costly to raise debt in the public bond markets and often requires a company to establish a track record among investors. These costs and information asymmetry issues sometimes make it impractical for smaller, speculative-grade issuers to raise small amounts of debt in public markets. Rating Model for FIRST SECURITY BANK: We estimate the credit risk parameters by Rating and Spearman Correlation Credit Ratings for FIRST SECURITY BANK as of 16 Jan 202

Cactus Wellhead, LLC Credit Rating & Financial Statements Analysis

BOSTON (AC Invest Credit Rating Terminal) Sun Jan 16 2022 11:17:02 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time) AI Credit Ratings today took the rating actions below: Credit Rating Rationales & Model Other factors we consider include a company's frequency of debt issuance and market access, especially during times of company-specific stress or credit market turbulence. Rating Model for Cactus Wellhead, LLC: We estimate the credit risk parameters by KDJ and Multiple Regression Credit Ratings for Cactus Wellhead, LLC as of 16 Jan 2022 Credit Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior AI Rating Class* B1 B1 Semantic Signals 39 59 Financial Signals 53 88 Risk Signals 70 67 Substantial Risks 53 51 Speculative Signals 89 35 *Machine Learning utilizes multiple learning algorithms to obtain better predictive powers. In our research, we utilize machine learning to combine the results from the Neural Network and Support Vector Machines.

NanoString Technologies Inc Credit Rating & Financial Statements Analysis

BOSTON (AC Invest Credit Rating Terminal) Thu Jan 13 2022 09:07:02 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time) AI Credit Ratings today took the rating actions below: Credit Rating Rationales & Model Given the earnings volatility companies experience, we have specified for these issuers a more stringent decline in EBITDA percentage for each liquidity category to the extent our cash flow forecasts are not already assuming a downside scenario. Rating Model for NanoString Technologies Inc: We estimate the credit risk parameters by Average True Range (ATR) and Ridge Regression Credit Ratings for NanoString Technologies Inc as of 13 Jan 2022 Credit Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior AI Rating Class* B1 Baa2 Semantic Signals 60 66 Financial Signals 69 74 Risk Signals 84 72 Substantial Risks 33 76 Speculative Signals 57 90 *Machine Learning utilizes multiple learning algorithms to obtain better predictive powers. In our research, we utilize machine learning to com

Guangzhou Shangpin Home Collection CoLtd Credit Rating & Financial Statements Analysis

BOSTON (AC Invest Credit Rating Terminal) Sat Jan 15 2022 16:26:18 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time) AI Credit Ratings today took the rating actions below: Credit Rating Rationales & Model Our liquidity uses include dividends and share repurchases that we expect under a stress scenario. Unlike other potential uses of liquidity, such as debt maturities or maintenance capital spending, we view dividends and share repurchases as more discretionary, although more so for the latter. For this reason, when evaluating a company's liquidity position, we may use a lower estimate of dividends and shareholder repurchases than in our base-case forecast based on our views of management and the company's track record in terms of shareholder returns and maintaining a certain minimum level of liquidity. Rating Model for Guangzhou Shangpin Home Collection CoLtd: We estimate the credit risk parameters by Tuned Collector Oscillator and Pearson Correlation Credit Ratings for Guangzho

LONE STAR STATE BANK OF WEST TEXAS Credit Rating & Financial Statements Analysis

BOSTON (AC Invest Credit Rating Terminal) Sat Jan 15 2022 16:17:33 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time) AI Credit Ratings today took the rating actions below: Credit Rating Rationales & Model Our liquidity uses include dividends and share repurchases that we expect under a stress scenario. Unlike other potential uses of liquidity, such as debt maturities or maintenance capital spending, we view dividends and share repurchases as more discretionary, although more so for the latter. For this reason, when evaluating a company's liquidity position, we may use a lower estimate of dividends and shareholder repurchases than in our base-case forecast based on our views of management and the company's track record in terms of shareholder returns and maintaining a certain minimum level of liquidity. Rating Model for LONE STAR STATE BANK OF WEST TEXAS: We estimate the credit risk parameters by Bollinger Bands Width and Stepwise Regression Credit Ratings for LONE STAR STATE BAN

Adtalem Global Education Inc Credit Rating & Financial Statements Analysis

BOSTON (AC Invest Credit Rating Terminal) Mon Jan 17 2022 05:06:02 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time) AI Credit Ratings today took the rating actions below: Credit Rating Rationales & Model Our liquidity uses include dividends and share repurchases that we expect under a stress scenario. Unlike other potential uses of liquidity, such as debt maturities or maintenance capital spending, we view dividends and share repurchases as more discretionary, although more so for the latter. For this reason, when evaluating a company's liquidity position, we may use a lower estimate of dividends and shareholder repurchases than in our base-case forecast based on our views of management and the company's track record in terms of shareholder returns and maintaining a certain minimum level of liquidity. Rating Model for Adtalem Global Education Inc: We estimate the credit risk parameters by Ichimoku Cloud (IKH) and Sign Test Credit Ratings for Adtalem Global Education Inc as of 17

Terrabank, National Association Credit Rating & Financial Statements Analysis

BOSTON (AC Invest Credit Rating Terminal) Sat Jan 15 2022 16:17:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time) AI Credit Ratings today took the rating actions below: Credit Rating Rationales & Model If, for example, a facility matured in 18 months, we could include the borrowing availability as a source of liquidity in year one, but exclude the amount in year two under the exceptional and strong descriptors (as well as include any drawn portions as debt maturities under uses of liquidity). This is because we do not assume an extension of bank lines--regardless of the company's perceived credit strength or issuer credit rating. For instance, whether the issuer credit rating on the company is speculative grade or investment grade, we do not assume bank lines will be extended beyond the current stated maturity. Rating Model for Terrabank, National Association: We estimate the credit risk parameters by Price and Paired T-Test Credit Ratings for Terrabank, National Association as o

NSE:GENUSPAPER Stock Forecast, Price Targets (Buy or Sell) | GENUSPAPER Genus Paper & Boards Limited Analyst Ratings

Machine Learning utilizes multiple learning algorithms to obtain better predictive powers. In our research, we utilize machine learning to combine the results from the Neural Network with Rate of Change (ROC) and Lasso Regression. Machine Learning based stock forecast (n+30) for GENUSPAPER Genus Paper & Boards Limited as below: GENUSPAPER Genus Paper & Boards Limited Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) as of 13 Jan 2022 for (n+30) How Does Forecast Model Work? x axis:Likelihood % y axis:Potential Impact % z axis:Color (yellow to green) Technical Analysis % NSE:GENUSPAPER Stock Forecast Rationales & Analyst Ratings Time series to forecast n: 13 Jan 2022 for (n+30) In these cases, the level of capital expenditures will be lower than estimates in our base-case forecast to determine an issuer's financial risk profile, particularly for companies that are pursuing discrete growth projects that have not been committed or can be easily curtailed in case of a need to pre

LON:RIII Stock Forecast, Price Targets (Buy or Sell) | RIII RIGHTS & ISSUES INV TST PLC Analyst Ratings

Machine Learning utilizes multiple learning algorithms to obtain better predictive powers. In our research, we utilize machine learning to combine the results from the Neural Network with Average True Range (ATR) and Paired T-Test. Machine Learning based stock forecast (n+1y) for RIII RIGHTS & ISSUES INV TST PLC as below: RIII RIGHTS & ISSUES INV TST PLC Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) as of 15 Jan 2022 for (n+1y) How Does Forecast Model Work? x axis:Likelihood % y axis:Potential Impact % z axis:Color (yellow to green) Technical Analysis % LON:RIII Stock Forecast Rationales & Analyst Ratings Time series to forecast n: 15 Jan 2022 for (n+1y) In determining how prudent a company's risk management is, we look for evidence that management has historically anticipated potential company-specific or market-related setbacks and has taken necessary actions to ensure sufficient liquidity. We estimate RIII RIGHTS & ISSUES INV TST PLC stock forecast parameters by: A

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