Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. In this work, we propose a hybrid approach for stock price prediction using machine learning and deep learning-based methods.** We evaluate Oil India Limited prediction models with Ensemble Learning (ML) and Paired T-Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the NSE OIL stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE OIL stock.**

**NSE OIL, Oil India Limited, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- What is prediction in deep learning?
- Is now good time to invest?
- What statistical methods are used to analyze data?

## NSE OIL Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

The stock market prediction has attracted much attention from academia as well as business. Due to the non-linear, volatile and complex nature of the market, it is quite difficult to predict. As the stock markets grow bigger, more investors pay attention to develop a systematic approach to predict the stock market. We consider Oil India Limited Stock Decision Process with Paired T-Test where A is the set of discrete actions of NSE OIL stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Paired T-Test)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Ensemble Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+6 month) $\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left({r}_{i}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of NSE OIL stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## NSE OIL Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+6 month)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**NSE OIL Oil India Limited

**Time series to forecast n: 27 Sep 2022**for (n+6 month)

**According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE OIL stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

Oil India Limited assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Ensemble Learning (ML) with Paired T-Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the NSE OIL stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE OIL stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for NSE OIL Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | B2 | Ba3 |

Operational Risk | 41 | 49 |

Market Risk | 32 | 73 |

Technical Analysis | 66 | 48 |

Fundamental Analysis | 83 | 76 |

Risk Unsystematic | 38 | 85 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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- Bennett J, Lanning S. 2007. The Netflix prize. In Proceedings of KDD Cup and Workshop 2007, p. 35. New York: ACM
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- Hill JL. 2011. Bayesian nonparametric modeling for causal inference. J. Comput. Graph. Stat. 20:217–40
- Chernozhukov V, Chetverikov D, Demirer M, Duflo E, Hansen C, Newey W. 2017. Double/debiased/ Neyman machine learning of treatment effects. Am. Econ. Rev. 107:261–65
- Hoerl AE, Kennard RW. 1970. Ridge regression: biased estimation for nonorthogonal problems. Technometrics 12:55–67

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for NSE OIL stock?A: NSE OIL stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Ensemble Learning (ML) and Paired T-Test

Q: Is NSE OIL stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE OIL Stock.

Q: Is Oil India Limited stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Oil India Limited is Hold and assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of NSE OIL stock?

A: The consensus rating for NSE OIL is Hold.

Q: What is the prediction period for NSE OIL stock?

A: The prediction period for NSE OIL is (n+6 month)