Modelling A.I. in Economics

Emami Paper Mills Limited Stock Forecast, Price & Rating (NSE EMAMIPAP) (Forecast)

Machine learning is a branch of computer science that has the potential to transform epidemiologic sciences. Amid a growing focus on "Big Data," it offers epidemiologists new tools to tackle problems for which classical methods are not well-suited. In order to critically evaluate the value of integrating machine learning algorithms and existing methods, however, it is essential to address language and technical barriers between the two fields that can make it difficult for epidemiologists to read and assess machine learning studies. We evaluate Emami Paper Mills Limited prediction models with Deductive Inference (ML) and Statistical Hypothesis Testing1,2,3,4 and conclude that the NSE EMAMIPAP stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell NSE EMAMIPAP stock.


Keywords: NSE EMAMIPAP, Emami Paper Mills Limited, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. Operational Risk
  2. Can stock prices be predicted?
  3. What are main components of Markov decision process?

NSE EMAMIPAP Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

In this paper a Bayesian regularized artificial neural network is proposed as a novel method to forecast financial market behavior. Daily market prices and financial technical indicators are utilized as inputs to predict the one day future closing price of individual stocks. The prediction of stock price movement is generally considered to be a challenging and important task for financial time series analysis. We consider Emami Paper Mills Limited Stock Decision Process with Statistical Hypothesis Testing where A is the set of discrete actions of NSE EMAMIPAP stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Statistical Hypothesis Testing)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Deductive Inference (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+4 weeks) S = s 1 s 2 s 3

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of NSE EMAMIPAP stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

NSE EMAMIPAP Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+4 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: NSE EMAMIPAP Emami Paper Mills Limited
Time series to forecast n: 30 Sep 2022 for (n+4 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell NSE EMAMIPAP stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

Emami Paper Mills Limited assigned short-term B1 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Deductive Inference (ML) with Statistical Hypothesis Testing1,2,3,4 and conclude that the NSE EMAMIPAP stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell NSE EMAMIPAP stock.

Financial State Forecast for NSE EMAMIPAP Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B1Ba3
Operational Risk 6560
Market Risk5486
Technical Analysis6468
Fundamental Analysis6177
Risk Unsystematic4639

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 82 out of 100 with 661 signals.

References

  1. Belloni A, Chernozhukov V, Hansen C. 2014. High-dimensional methods and inference on structural and treatment effects. J. Econ. Perspect. 28:29–50
  2. K. Boda, J. Filar, Y. Lin, and L. Spanjers. Stochastic target hitting time and the problem of early retirement. Automatic Control, IEEE Transactions on, 49(3):409–419, 2004
  3. Tibshirani R, Hastie T. 1987. Local likelihood estimation. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 82:559–67
  4. Hartigan JA, Wong MA. 1979. Algorithm as 136: a k-means clustering algorithm. J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. C 28:100–8
  5. M. Petrik and D. Subramanian. An approximate solution method for large risk-averse Markov decision processes. In Proceedings of the 28th International Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, 2012.
  6. Jacobs B, Donkers B, Fok D. 2014. Product Recommendations Based on Latent Purchase Motivations. Rotterdam, Neth.: ERIM
  7. Hartigan JA, Wong MA. 1979. Algorithm as 136: a k-means clustering algorithm. J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. C 28:100–8
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for NSE EMAMIPAP stock?
A: NSE EMAMIPAP stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Deductive Inference (ML) and Statistical Hypothesis Testing
Q: Is NSE EMAMIPAP stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell NSE EMAMIPAP Stock.
Q: Is Emami Paper Mills Limited stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Emami Paper Mills Limited is Sell and assigned short-term B1 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of NSE EMAMIPAP stock?
A: The consensus rating for NSE EMAMIPAP is Sell.
Q: What is the prediction period for NSE EMAMIPAP stock?
A: The prediction period for NSE EMAMIPAP is (n+4 weeks)

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