Modelling A.I. in Economics

How do you know when a stock will go up or down? (FLTR Stock Forecast) (Forecast)

Predicting stock market prices is crucial subject at the present economy. Hence, the tendency of researchers towards new opportunities to predict the stock market has been increased. Researchers have found that, historical stock data and Search Engine Queries, social mood from user generated content in sources like Twitter, Web News has a predictive relationship to the future stock prices. Lack of information such as social mood was there in past studies and in this research, we discuss an effective method to analyze multiple information sources to fill the information gap and predict an accurate future value. We evaluate Flutter Entertainment prediction models with Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer) and Ridge Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the FLTR stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold FLTR stock.


Keywords: FLTR, Flutter Entertainment, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. Buy, Sell and Hold Signals
  2. Prediction Modeling
  3. Technical Analysis with Algorithmic Trading

FLTR Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

Investors raise profit from stock market by maximising gains and minimising loses. The profit is difficult to raise because of the volatile nature of stock market prices. Predictive modelling allows investors to make informed decisions. We consider Flutter Entertainment Stock Decision Process with Ridge Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of FLTR stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Ridge Regression)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer)) X S(n):→ (n+16 weeks) i = 1 n s i

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of FLTR stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

FLTR Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+16 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: FLTR Flutter Entertainment
Time series to forecast n: 10 Sep 2022 for (n+16 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold FLTR stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

Flutter Entertainment assigned short-term B2 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer) with Ridge Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the FLTR stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold FLTR stock.

Financial State Forecast for FLTR Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B2B3
Operational Risk 3841
Market Risk6435
Technical Analysis6635
Fundamental Analysis5380
Risk Unsystematic5442

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 92 out of 100 with 559 signals.

References

  1. Varian HR. 2014. Big data: new tricks for econometrics. J. Econ. Perspect. 28:3–28
  2. V. Borkar. A sensitivity formula for the risk-sensitive cost and the actor-critic algorithm. Systems & Control Letters, 44:339–346, 2001
  3. Doudchenko N, Imbens GW. 2016. Balancing, regression, difference-in-differences and synthetic control methods: a synthesis. NBER Work. Pap. 22791
  4. Knox SW. 2018. Machine Learning: A Concise Introduction. Hoboken, NJ: Wiley
  5. J. Spall. Multivariate stochastic approximation using a simultaneous perturbation gradient approximation. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, 37(3):332–341, 1992.
  6. Dietterich TG. 2000. Ensemble methods in machine learning. In Multiple Classifier Systems: First International Workshop, Cagliari, Italy, June 21–23, pp. 1–15. Berlin: Springer
  7. Bessler, D. A. T. Covey (1991), "Cointegration: Some results on U.S. cattle prices," Journal of Futures Markets, 11, 461–474.
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for FLTR stock?
A: FLTR stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer) and Ridge Regression
Q: Is FLTR stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold FLTR Stock.
Q: Is Flutter Entertainment stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Flutter Entertainment is Hold and assigned short-term B2 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of FLTR stock?
A: The consensus rating for FLTR is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for FLTR stock?
A: The prediction period for FLTR is (n+16 weeks)

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