Modelling A.I. in Economics

Is CDW stock expected to rise?

Abstract

We evaluate CDW prediction models with Statistical Inference (ML) and Chi-Square1,2,3,4 and conclude that the CDW stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell CDW stock.


Keywords: CDW, CDW, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. What is a prediction confidence?
  2. Market Risk
  3. Prediction Modeling

CDW Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider CDW Stock Decision Process with Chi-Square where A is the set of discrete actions of CDW stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Chi-Square)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Statistical Inference (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+6 month) S = s 1 s 2 s 3

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of CDW stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

CDW Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+6 month)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: CDW CDW
Time series to forecast n: 06 Sep 2022 for (n+6 month)

According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell CDW stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

CDW assigned short-term B1 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) with Chi-Square1,2,3,4 and conclude that the CDW stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell CDW stock.

Financial State Forecast for CDW Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B1B2
Operational Risk 3149
Market Risk7057
Technical Analysis4954
Fundamental Analysis6830
Risk Unsystematic7859

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 74 out of 100 with 782 signals.

References

  1. O. Bardou, N. Frikha, and G. Pag`es. Computing VaR and CVaR using stochastic approximation and adaptive unconstrained importance sampling. Monte Carlo Methods and Applications, 15(3):173–210, 2009.
  2. Varian HR. 2014. Big data: new tricks for econometrics. J. Econ. Perspect. 28:3–28
  3. D. S. Bernstein, S. Zilberstein, and N. Immerman. The complexity of decentralized control of Markov Decision Processes. In UAI '00: Proceedings of the 16th Conference in Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, Stanford University, Stanford, California, USA, June 30 - July 3, 2000, pages 32–37, 2000.
  4. Christou, C., P. A. V. B. Swamy G. S. Tavlas (1996), "Modelling optimal strategies for the allocation of wealth in multicurrency investments," International Journal of Forecasting, 12, 483–493.
  5. S. J. Russell and A. Zimdars. Q-decomposition for reinforcement learning agents. In Machine Learning, Proceedings of the Twentieth International Conference (ICML 2003), August 21-24, 2003, Washington, DC, USA, pages 656–663, 2003.
  6. J. Hu and M. P. Wellman. Nash q-learning for general-sum stochastic games. Journal of Machine Learning Research, 4:1039–1069, 2003.
  7. Mikolov T, Sutskever I, Chen K, Corrado GS, Dean J. 2013b. Distributed representations of words and phrases and their compositionality. In Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, Vol. 26, ed. Z Ghahramani, M Welling, C Cortes, ND Lawrence, KQ Weinberger, pp. 3111–19. San Diego, CA: Neural Inf. Process. Syst. Found.
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for CDW stock?
A: CDW stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) and Chi-Square
Q: Is CDW stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell CDW Stock.
Q: Is CDW stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for CDW is Sell and assigned short-term B1 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of CDW stock?
A: The consensus rating for CDW is Sell.
Q: What is the prediction period for CDW stock?
A: The prediction period for CDW is (n+6 month)

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