## Abstract

**We evaluate CrowdStrike prediction models with Multi-Task Learning (ML) and Logistic Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the CRWD stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold CRWD stock.**

**CRWD, CrowdStrike, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- Why do we need predictive models?
- Nash Equilibria
- What is Markov decision process in reinforcement learning?

## CRWD Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider CrowdStrike Stock Decision Process with Logistic Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of CRWD stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Logistic Regression)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Multi-Task Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+4 weeks) $\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left({s}_{i}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of CRWD stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## CRWD Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+4 weeks)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**CRWD CrowdStrike

**Time series to forecast n: 07 Sep 2022**for (n+4 weeks)

**According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold CRWD stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

CrowdStrike assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Multi-Task Learning (ML) with Logistic Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the CRWD stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold CRWD stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for CRWD Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | Ba3 | B1 |

Operational Risk | 81 | 65 |

Market Risk | 53 | 34 |

Technical Analysis | 39 | 71 |

Fundamental Analysis | 57 | 79 |

Risk Unsystematic | 89 | 30 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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- D. Bertsekas. Min common/max crossing duality: A geometric view of conjugacy in convex optimization. Lab. for Information and Decision Systems, MIT, Tech. Rep. Report LIDS-P-2796, 2009
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- Hornik K, Stinchcombe M, White H. 1989. Multilayer feedforward networks are universal approximators. Neural Netw. 2:359–66
- Clements, M. P. D. F. Hendry (1997), "An empirical study of seasonal unit roots in forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, 13, 341–355.
- Blei DM, Lafferty JD. 2009. Topic models. In Text Mining: Classification, Clustering, and Applications, ed. A Srivastava, M Sahami, pp. 101–24. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for CRWD stock?A: CRWD stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Multi-Task Learning (ML) and Logistic Regression

Q: Is CRWD stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold CRWD Stock.

Q: Is CrowdStrike stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for CrowdStrike is Hold and assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of CRWD stock?

A: The consensus rating for CRWD is Hold.

Q: What is the prediction period for CRWD stock?

A: The prediction period for CRWD is (n+4 weeks)

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