## Abstract

**We evaluate FTSE 100 Index prediction models with Modular Neural Network (News Feed Sentiment Analysis) and Multiple Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the FTSE 100 Index stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy FTSE 100 Index stock.**

**FTSE 100 Index, FTSE 100 Index, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- Market Signals
- Prediction Modeling
- How do you pick a stock?

## FTSE 100 Index Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider FTSE 100 Index Stock Decision Process with Multiple Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of FTSE 100 Index stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Multiple Regression)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (News Feed Sentiment Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+8 weeks) $\begin{array}{l}\int {r}^{s}\mathrm{rs}\end{array}$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of FTSE 100 Index stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## FTSE 100 Index Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+8 weeks)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**FTSE 100 Index FTSE 100 Index

**Time series to forecast n: 03 Sep 2022**for (n+8 weeks)

**According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy FTSE 100 Index stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

FTSE 100 Index assigned short-term B2 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (News Feed Sentiment Analysis) with Multiple Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the FTSE 100 Index stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy FTSE 100 Index stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for FTSE 100 Index Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | B2 | B1 |

Operational Risk | 79 | 82 |

Market Risk | 37 | 36 |

Technical Analysis | 61 | 62 |

Fundamental Analysis | 72 | 51 |

Risk Unsystematic | 37 | 66 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

- Chen, C. L. Liu (1993), "Joint estimation of model parameters and outlier effects in time series," Journal of the American Statistical Association, 88, 284–297.
- R. Sutton and A. Barto. Reinforcement Learning. The MIT Press, 1998
- Barrett, C. B. (1997), "Heteroscedastic price forecasting for food security management in developing countries," Oxford Development Studies, 25, 225–236.
- Bertsimas D, King A, Mazumder R. 2016. Best subset selection via a modern optimization lens. Ann. Stat. 44:813–52
- Breiman L. 1993. Better subset selection using the non-negative garotte. Tech. Rep., Univ. Calif., Berkeley
- M. L. Littman. Friend-or-foe q-learning in general-sum games. In Proceedings of the Eighteenth International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML 2001), Williams College, Williamstown, MA, USA, June 28 - July 1, 2001, pages 322–328, 2001
- Wooldridge JM. 2010. Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for FTSE 100 Index stock?A: FTSE 100 Index stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (News Feed Sentiment Analysis) and Multiple Regression

Q: Is FTSE 100 Index stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy FTSE 100 Index Stock.

Q: Is FTSE 100 Index stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for FTSE 100 Index is Buy and assigned short-term B2 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of FTSE 100 Index stock?

A: The consensus rating for FTSE 100 Index is Buy.

Q: What is the prediction period for FTSE 100 Index stock?

A: The prediction period for FTSE 100 Index is (n+8 weeks)

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