Modelling A.I. in Economics

Should You Buy SNX Right Now? (Stock Forecast)

Abstract

We evaluate TD Synnex prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis) and Beta1,2,3,4 and conclude that the SNX stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SNX stock.


Keywords: SNX, TD Synnex, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. What are main components of Markov decision process?
  2. Why do we need predictive models?
  3. Can neural networks predict stock market?

SNX Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider TD Synnex Stock Decision Process with Beta where A is the set of discrete actions of SNX stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Beta)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+4 weeks) S = s 1 s 2 s 3

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of SNX stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

SNX Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+4 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: SNX TD Synnex
Time series to forecast n: 03 Sep 2022 for (n+4 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SNX stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

TD Synnex assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term Baa2 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis) with Beta1,2,3,4 and conclude that the SNX stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SNX stock.

Financial State Forecast for SNX Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba3Baa2
Operational Risk 6387
Market Risk4363
Technical Analysis7055
Fundamental Analysis7570
Risk Unsystematic7989

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 73 out of 100 with 668 signals.

References

  1. S. J. Russell and P. Norvig. Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach. Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ, 3nd edition, 2010
  2. Scholkopf B, Smola AJ. 2001. Learning with Kernels: Support Vector Machines, Regularization, Optimization, and Beyond. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
  3. H. Khalil and J. Grizzle. Nonlinear systems, volume 3. Prentice hall Upper Saddle River, 2002.
  4. Clements, M. P. D. F. Hendry (1995), "Forecasting in cointegrated systems," Journal of Applied Econometrics, 10, 127–146.
  5. R. Sutton and A. Barto. Reinforcement Learning. The MIT Press, 1998
  6. Dudik M, Erhan D, Langford J, Li L. 2014. Doubly robust policy evaluation and optimization. Stat. Sci. 29:485–511
  7. Burkov A. 2019. The Hundred-Page Machine Learning Book. Quebec City, Can.: Andriy Burkov
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for SNX stock?
A: SNX stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis) and Beta
Q: Is SNX stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SNX Stock.
Q: Is TD Synnex stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for TD Synnex is Hold and assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term Baa2 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of SNX stock?
A: The consensus rating for SNX is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for SNX stock?
A: The prediction period for SNX is (n+4 weeks)

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