## Abstract

**We evaluate Tempur Sealy prediction models with Deductive Inference (ML) and Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the TPX stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold TPX stock.**

**TPX, Tempur Sealy, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- Can neural networks predict stock market?
- How useful are statistical predictions?
- What is prediction model?

## TPX Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Tempur Sealy Stock Decision Process with Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test where A is the set of discrete actions of TPX stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Deductive Inference (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+6 month) $\begin{array}{l}\int {r}^{s}\mathrm{rs}\end{array}$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of TPX stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## TPX Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+6 month)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**TPX Tempur Sealy

**Time series to forecast n: 03 Sep 2022**for (n+6 month)

**According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold TPX stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

Tempur Sealy assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Deductive Inference (ML) with Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the TPX stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold TPX stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for TPX Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | B2 | Ba3 |

Operational Risk | 64 | 38 |

Market Risk | 85 | 64 |

Technical Analysis | 34 | 77 |

Fundamental Analysis | 70 | 83 |

Risk Unsystematic | 30 | 52 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

- Artis, M. J. W. Zhang (1990), "BVAR forecasts for the G-7," International Journal of Forecasting, 6, 349–362.
- Zou H, Hastie T. 2005. Regularization and variable selection via the elastic net. J. R. Stat. Soc. B 67:301–20
- Hastie T, Tibshirani R, Wainwright M. 2015. Statistical Learning with Sparsity: The Lasso and Generalizations. New York: CRC Press
- V. Borkar and R. Jain. Risk-constrained Markov decision processes. IEEE Transaction on Automatic Control, 2014
- L. Panait and S. Luke. Cooperative multi-agent learning: The state of the art. Autonomous Agents and Multi-Agent Systems, 11(3):387–434, 2005.
- R. Rockafellar and S. Uryasev. Optimization of conditional value-at-risk. Journal of Risk, 2:21–42, 2000.
- Athey S, Mobius MM, Pál J. 2017c. The impact of aggregators on internet news consumption. Unpublished manuscript, Grad. School Bus., Stanford Univ., Stanford, CA

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for TPX stock?A: TPX stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Deductive Inference (ML) and Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test

Q: Is TPX stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold TPX Stock.

Q: Is Tempur Sealy stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Tempur Sealy is Hold and assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of TPX stock?

A: The consensus rating for TPX is Hold.

Q: What is the prediction period for TPX stock?

A: The prediction period for TPX is (n+6 month)

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