Modelling A.I. in Economics

How Is Machine Learning Used in Trading? (NSE SUNDARMHLD Stock Forecast) (Forecast)

Predicting the future price of financial assets has always been an important research topic in the field of quantitative finance. This paper attempts to use the latest artificial intelligence technologies to design and implement a framework for financial asset price prediction. We evaluate Sundaram Finance Holdings Limited prediction models with Statistical Inference (ML) and Pearson Correlation1,2,3,4 and conclude that the NSE SUNDARMHLD stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE SUNDARMHLD stock.


Keywords: NSE SUNDARMHLD, Sundaram Finance Holdings Limited, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. What statistical methods are used to analyze data?
  2. How do you decide buy or sell a stock?
  3. What is Markov decision process in reinforcement learning?

NSE SUNDARMHLD Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

This study presents financial network indicators that can be applied to global stock market investment strategies. We propose to design both undirected and directed volatility networks of global stock market based on simple pair-wise correlation and system-wide connectedness of stock date using a vector auto-regressive model. We consider Sundaram Finance Holdings Limited Stock Decision Process with Pearson Correlation where A is the set of discrete actions of NSE SUNDARMHLD stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Pearson Correlation)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Statistical Inference (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+4 weeks) i = 1 n a i

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of NSE SUNDARMHLD stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

NSE SUNDARMHLD Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+4 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: NSE SUNDARMHLD Sundaram Finance Holdings Limited
Time series to forecast n: 03 Oct 2022 for (n+4 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE SUNDARMHLD stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

Sundaram Finance Holdings Limited assigned short-term Caa2 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) with Pearson Correlation1,2,3,4 and conclude that the NSE SUNDARMHLD stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE SUNDARMHLD stock.

Financial State Forecast for NSE SUNDARMHLD Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Caa2Ba3
Operational Risk 3175
Market Risk3672
Technical Analysis5450
Fundamental Analysis6050
Risk Unsystematic3178

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 81 out of 100 with 714 signals.

References

  1. Andrews, D. W. K. W. Ploberger (1994), "Optimal tests when a nuisance parameter is present only under the alternative," Econometrica, 62, 1383–1414.
  2. P. Marbach. Simulated-Based Methods for Markov Decision Processes. PhD thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1998
  3. Athey S, Imbens G. 2016. Recursive partitioning for heterogeneous causal effects. PNAS 113:7353–60
  4. E. Collins. Using Markov decision processes to optimize a nonlinear functional of the final distribution, with manufacturing applications. In Stochastic Modelling in Innovative Manufacturing, pages 30–45. Springer, 1997
  5. M. L. Littman. Markov games as a framework for multi-agent reinforcement learning. In Ma- chine Learning, Proceedings of the Eleventh International Conference, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ, USA, July 10-13, 1994, pages 157–163, 1994
  6. F. A. Oliehoek and C. Amato. A Concise Introduction to Decentralized POMDPs. SpringerBriefs in Intelligent Systems. Springer, 2016
  7. Bertsimas D, King A, Mazumder R. 2016. Best subset selection via a modern optimization lens. Ann. Stat. 44:813–52
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for NSE SUNDARMHLD stock?
A: NSE SUNDARMHLD stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) and Pearson Correlation
Q: Is NSE SUNDARMHLD stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE SUNDARMHLD Stock.
Q: Is Sundaram Finance Holdings Limited stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Sundaram Finance Holdings Limited is Hold and assigned short-term Caa2 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of NSE SUNDARMHLD stock?
A: The consensus rating for NSE SUNDARMHLD is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for NSE SUNDARMHLD stock?
A: The prediction period for NSE SUNDARMHLD is (n+4 weeks)

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