Machine Learning stock prediction: LON:LBE Stock Prediction

In this paper, we propose a hybrid machine learning system based on Genetic Algor ithm (GA) and Support Vector Machines (SVM) for stock market prediction. A variety of indicators from the technical analysis field of study are used as input features. We also make use of the correlation between stock prices of different companies to forecast the price of a stock, making use of technical indicators of highly correlated stocks, not only the stock to be predicted. The genetic algorithm is used to select the set of most informative input features from among all the technical indicators. We evaluate LONGBOAT ENERGY PLC prediction models with Deductive Inference (ML) and Factor1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:LBE stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell LON:LBE stock.


Keywords: LON:LBE, LONGBOAT ENERGY PLC, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. Decision Making
  2. Can neural networks predict stock market?
  3. How do you pick a stock?

LON:LBE Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

Prediction of stocks is complicated by the dynamic, complex, and chaotic environment of the stock market. Many studies predict stock price movements using deep learning models. Although the attention mechanism has gained popularity recently in neural machine translation, little focus has been devoted to attention-based deep learning models for stock prediction. We consider LONGBOAT ENERGY PLC Stock Decision Process with Factor where A is the set of discrete actions of LON:LBE stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Factor)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Deductive Inference (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+6 month) R = r 1 r 2 r 3

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of LON:LBE stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

LON:LBE Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+6 month)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: LON:LBE LONGBOAT ENERGY PLC
Time series to forecast n: 14 Oct 2022 for (n+6 month)

According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell LON:LBE stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

LONGBOAT ENERGY PLC assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Deductive Inference (ML) with Factor1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:LBE stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell LON:LBE stock.

Financial State Forecast for LON:LBE Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba3B3
Operational Risk 9035
Market Risk6543
Technical Analysis5048
Fundamental Analysis7842
Risk Unsystematic3759

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 90 out of 100 with 506 signals.

References

  1. Blei DM, Lafferty JD. 2009. Topic models. In Text Mining: Classification, Clustering, and Applications, ed. A Srivastava, M Sahami, pp. 101–24. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press
  2. Breiman L. 2001a. Random forests. Mach. Learn. 45:5–32
  3. Abadie A, Cattaneo MD. 2018. Econometric methods for program evaluation. Annu. Rev. Econ. 10:465–503
  4. Knox SW. 2018. Machine Learning: A Concise Introduction. Hoboken, NJ: Wiley
  5. Byron, R. P. O. Ashenfelter (1995), "Predicting the quality of an unborn grange," Economic Record, 71, 40–53.
  6. Abadir, K. M., K. Hadri E. Tzavalis (1999), "The influence of VAR dimensions on estimator biases," Econometrica, 67, 163–181.
  7. J. Filar, D. Krass, and K. Ross. Percentile performance criteria for limiting average Markov decision pro- cesses. IEEE Transaction of Automatic Control, 40(1):2–10, 1995.
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for LON:LBE stock?
A: LON:LBE stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Deductive Inference (ML) and Factor
Q: Is LON:LBE stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell LON:LBE Stock.
Q: Is LONGBOAT ENERGY PLC stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for LONGBOAT ENERGY PLC is Sell and assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of LON:LBE stock?
A: The consensus rating for LON:LBE is Sell.
Q: What is the prediction period for LON:LBE stock?
A: The prediction period for LON:LBE is (n+6 month)

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