Short - term price movements, contribute a considerable measure to the unpredictability of the securities exchanges. Accurately predicting the price fluctuations in stock market is a huge economical advantage. The aforementioned task is generally achieved by analyzing the company, this is called as fundamental analysis. Another method, which is undergoing a lot of research work recently, is to create a predictive algorithmic model using machine learning. To train machines to take trading decisions in such short - period of time, the latter method needs to be adopted. Deep Neural Networks, being the most exceptional innovation in Machine Learning, have been utilized to develop a short-term prediction model. ** We evaluate Indian Railway Catering And Tourism Corporation Limited prediction models with Modular Neural Network (DNN Layer) and Stepwise Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the NSE IRCTC stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE IRCTC stock.**

**NSE IRCTC, Indian Railway Catering And Tourism Corporation Limited, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- Operational Risk
- What is prediction model?
- Trust metric by Neural Network

## NSE IRCTC Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

Stock market prediction is a crucial and challenging task due to its nonlinear, evolutionary, complex, and dynamic nature. Research on the stock market has been an important issue for researchers in recent years. Companies invest in trading the stock market. Predicting the stock market trend accurately will minimize the risk and bring a maximum amount of profit for all the stakeholders. During the last several years, a lot of studies have been done to predict stock market trends using Traditional, Machine learning and deep learning techniques. We consider Indian Railway Catering And Tourism Corporation Limited Stock Decision Process with Stepwise Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of NSE IRCTC stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Stepwise Regression)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (DNN Layer)) X S(n):→ (n+8 weeks) $\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left({s}_{i}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of NSE IRCTC stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## NSE IRCTC Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+8 weeks)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**NSE IRCTC Indian Railway Catering And Tourism Corporation Limited

**Time series to forecast n: 01 Oct 2022**for (n+8 weeks)

**According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE IRCTC stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

Indian Railway Catering And Tourism Corporation Limited assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term Ba2 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (DNN Layer) with Stepwise Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the NSE IRCTC stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE IRCTC stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for NSE IRCTC Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | Ba3 | Ba2 |

Operational Risk | 74 | 83 |

Market Risk | 59 | 88 |

Technical Analysis | 70 | 72 |

Fundamental Analysis | 55 | 58 |

Risk Unsystematic | 63 | 41 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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- Bell RM, Koren Y. 2007. Lessons from the Netflix prize challenge. ACM SIGKDD Explor. Newsl. 9:75–79

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for NSE IRCTC stock?A: NSE IRCTC stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (DNN Layer) and Stepwise Regression

Q: Is NSE IRCTC stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE IRCTC Stock.

Q: Is Indian Railway Catering And Tourism Corporation Limited stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Indian Railway Catering And Tourism Corporation Limited is Hold and assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term Ba2 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of NSE IRCTC stock?

A: The consensus rating for NSE IRCTC is Hold.

Q: What is the prediction period for NSE IRCTC stock?

A: The prediction period for NSE IRCTC is (n+8 weeks)