## Abstract

In this paper, we introduce a new prediction model depend on Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit (BGRU). Our predictive model relies on both online financial news and historical stock prices data to predict the stock movements in the future.(Obthong, M., Tantisantiwong, N., Jeamwatthanachai, W. and Wills, G., 2020. A survey on machine learning for stock price prediction: algorithms and techniques.)** We evaluate Biotech Acquisition Company Class A Ordinary Shares prediction models with Inductive Learning (ML) and Stepwise Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the BIOT stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold BIOT stock.**

## Key Points

- Probability Distribution
- Understanding Buy, Sell, and Hold Ratings
- Can statistics predict the future?

## BIOT Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Biotech Acquisition Company Class A Ordinary Shares Decision Process with Inductive Learning (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of BIOT stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Stepwise Regression)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Inductive Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+4 weeks) $\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left({r}_{i}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of BIOT stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## BIOT Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+4 weeks)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**BIOT Biotech Acquisition Company Class A Ordinary Shares

**Time series to forecast n: 05 Dec 2022**for (n+4 weeks)

**According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold BIOT stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Adjusted IFRS* Prediction Methods for Biotech Acquisition Company Class A Ordinary Shares

- For the purpose of applying paragraph 6.5.11, at the point when an entity amends the description of a hedged item as required in paragraph 6.9.1(b), the amount accumulated in the cash flow hedge reserve shall be deemed to be based on the alternative benchmark rate on which the hedged future cash flows are determined.
- Expected credit losses reflect an entity's own expectations of credit losses. However, when considering all reasonable and supportable information that is available without undue cost or effort in estimating expected credit losses, an entity should also consider observable market information about the credit risk of the particular financial instrument or similar financial instruments.
- To make that determination, an entity must assess whether it expects that the effects of changes in the liability's credit risk will be offset in profit or loss by a change in the fair value of another financial instrument measured at fair value through profit or loss. Such an expectation must be based on an economic relationship between the characteristics of the liability and the characteristics of the other financial instrument.
- The accounting for the forward element of forward contracts in accordance with paragraph 6.5.16 applies only to the extent that the forward element relates to the hedged item (aligned forward element). The forward element of a forward contract relates to the hedged item if the critical terms of the forward contract (such as the nominal amount, life and underlying) are aligned with the hedged item. Hence, if the critical terms of the forward contract and the hedged item are not fully aligned, an entity shall determine the aligned forward element, ie how much of the forward element included in the forward contract (actual forward element) relates to the hedged item (and therefore should be treated in accordance with paragraph 6.5.16). An entity determines the aligned forward element using the valuation of the forward contract that would have critical terms that perfectly match the hedged item.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) are a set of accounting rules for the financial statements of public companies that are intended to make them consistent, transparent, and easily comparable around the world.

## Conclusions

Biotech Acquisition Company Class A Ordinary Shares assigned short-term B3 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Inductive Learning (ML) with Stepwise Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the BIOT stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold BIOT stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for BIOT Biotech Acquisition Company Class A Ordinary Shares Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | B3 | B1 |

Operational Risk | 59 | 86 |

Market Risk | 32 | 42 |

Technical Analysis | 32 | 64 |

Fundamental Analysis | 31 | 44 |

Risk Unsystematic | 85 | 57 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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- Tibshirani R, Hastie T. 1987. Local likelihood estimation. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 82:559–67
- E. Collins. Using Markov decision processes to optimize a nonlinear functional of the final distribution, with manufacturing applications. In Stochastic Modelling in Innovative Manufacturing, pages 30–45. Springer, 1997
- Bottou L. 2012. Stochastic gradient descent tricks. In Neural Networks: Tricks of the Trade, ed. G Montavon, G Orr, K-R Müller, pp. 421–36. Berlin: Springer
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## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for BIOT stock?A: BIOT stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Inductive Learning (ML) and Stepwise Regression

Q: Is BIOT stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold BIOT Stock.

Q: Is Biotech Acquisition Company Class A Ordinary Shares stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Biotech Acquisition Company Class A Ordinary Shares is Hold and assigned short-term B3 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of BIOT stock?

A: The consensus rating for BIOT is Hold.

Q: What is the prediction period for BIOT stock?

A: The prediction period for BIOT is (n+4 weeks)