AC Investment Research

IMPPP Imperial Petroleum Inc. 8.75% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Shares Research Report

Outlook: Imperial Petroleum Inc. 8.75% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Shares is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating.
Dominant Strategy : Hold
Time series to forecast n: 17 Jan 2023 for (n+8 weeks)
Methodology : Modular Neural Network (Market News Sentiment Analysis)

Abstract

Imperial Petroleum Inc. 8.75% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Shares prediction model is evaluated with Modular Neural Network (Market News Sentiment Analysis) and ElasticNet Regression1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the IMPPP stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold

Key Points

  1. Is Target price a good indicator?
  2. Market Risk
  3. Market Signals

IMPPP Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Imperial Petroleum Inc. 8.75% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Shares Decision Process with Modular Neural Network (Market News Sentiment Analysis) where A is the set of discrete actions of IMPPP stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(ElasticNet Regression)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (Market News Sentiment Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+8 weeks) R = 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of IMPPP stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

IMPPP Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+8 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: IMPPP Imperial Petroleum Inc. 8.75% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Shares
Time series to forecast n: 17 Jan 2023 for (n+8 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

IFRS Reconciliation Adjustments for Imperial Petroleum Inc. 8.75% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Shares

  1. An entity must look through until it can identify the underlying pool of instruments that are creating (instead of passing through) the cash flows. This is the underlying pool of financial instruments.
  2. The fact that a derivative is in or out of the money when it is designated as a hedging instrument does not in itself mean that a qualitative assessment is inappropriate. It depends on the circumstances whether hedge ineffectiveness arising from that fact could have a magnitude that a qualitative assessment would not adequately capture.
  3. Expected credit losses reflect an entity's own expectations of credit losses. However, when considering all reasonable and supportable information that is available without undue cost or effort in estimating expected credit losses, an entity should also consider observable market information about the credit risk of the particular financial instrument or similar financial instruments.
  4. At the date of initial application, an entity shall use reasonable and supportable information that is available without undue cost or effort to determine the credit risk at the date that a financial instrument was initially recognised (or for loan commitments and financial guarantee contracts at the date that the entity became a party to the irrevocable commitment in accordance with paragraph 5.5.6) and compare that to the credit risk at the date of initial application of this Standard.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.

Conclusions

Imperial Petroleum Inc. 8.75% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Shares is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating. Imperial Petroleum Inc. 8.75% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Shares prediction model is evaluated with Modular Neural Network (Market News Sentiment Analysis) and ElasticNet Regression1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the IMPPP stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold

IMPPP Imperial Petroleum Inc. 8.75% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Shares Financial Analysis*

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba1Ba1
Income StatementBaa2Baa2
Balance SheetB3Caa2
Leverage RatiosBa1C
Cash FlowBa3Baa2
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityBaa2Ba3

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 86 out of 100 with 870 signals.

References

  1. J. Peters, S. Vijayakumar, and S. Schaal. Natural actor-critic. In Proceedings of the Sixteenth European Conference on Machine Learning, pages 280–291, 2005.
  2. A. Tamar, D. Di Castro, and S. Mannor. Policy gradients with variance related risk criteria. In Proceedings of the Twenty-Ninth International Conference on Machine Learning, pages 387–396, 2012.
  3. S. Bhatnagar and K. Lakshmanan. An online actor-critic algorithm with function approximation for con- strained Markov decision processes. Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, 153(3):688–708, 2012.
  4. Andrews, D. W. K. (1993), "Tests for parameter instability and structural change with unknown change point," Econometrica, 61, 821–856.
  5. Candès EJ, Recht B. 2009. Exact matrix completion via convex optimization. Found. Comput. Math. 9:717
  6. Hoerl AE, Kennard RW. 1970. Ridge regression: biased estimation for nonorthogonal problems. Technometrics 12:55–67
  7. Ashley, R. (1988), "On the relative worth of recent macroeconomic forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, 4, 363–376.
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for IMPPP stock?
A: IMPPP stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market News Sentiment Analysis) and ElasticNet Regression
Q: Is IMPPP stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold IMPPP Stock.
Q: Is Imperial Petroleum Inc. 8.75% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Shares stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Imperial Petroleum Inc. 8.75% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Shares is Hold and is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of IMPPP stock?
A: The consensus rating for IMPPP is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for IMPPP stock?
A: The prediction period for IMPPP is (n+8 weeks)

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