Modelling A.I. in Economics

LON:SMIF TWENTYFOUR SELECT MONTHLY INCOME FUND LIMITED

Outlook: TWENTYFOUR SELECT MONTHLY INCOME FUND LIMITED is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating.
Dominant Strategy : Buy
Time series to forecast n: 16 Feb 2023 for (n+16 weeks)
Methodology : Modular Neural Network (Speculative Sentiment Analysis)

Abstract

TWENTYFOUR SELECT MONTHLY INCOME FUND LIMITED prediction model is evaluated with Modular Neural Network (Speculative Sentiment Analysis) and Ridge Regression1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the LON:SMIF stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy

Key Points

  1. Dominated Move
  2. How do you decide buy or sell a stock?
  3. How do you know when a stock will go up or down?

LON:SMIF Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider TWENTYFOUR SELECT MONTHLY INCOME FUND LIMITED Decision Process with Modular Neural Network (Speculative Sentiment Analysis) where A is the set of discrete actions of LON:SMIF stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Ridge Regression)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (Speculative Sentiment Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+16 weeks) e x rx

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of LON:SMIF stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

LON:SMIF Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+16 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: LON:SMIF TWENTYFOUR SELECT MONTHLY INCOME FUND LIMITED
Time series to forecast n: 16 Feb 2023 for (n+16 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

IFRS Reconciliation Adjustments for TWENTYFOUR SELECT MONTHLY INCOME FUND LIMITED

  1. An entity must look through until it can identify the underlying pool of instruments that are creating (instead of passing through) the cash flows. This is the underlying pool of financial instruments.
  2. An entity that first applies IFRS 17 as amended in June 2020 at the same time it first applies this Standard shall apply paragraphs 7.2.1–7.2.28 instead of paragraphs 7.2.38–7.2.42.
  3. If an entity previously accounted at cost (in accordance with IAS 39), for an investment in an equity instrument that does not have a quoted price in an active market for an identical instrument (ie a Level 1 input) (or for a derivative asset that is linked to and must be settled by delivery of such an equity instrument) it shall measure that instrument at fair value at the date of initial application. Any difference between the previous carrying amount and the fair value shall be recognised in the opening retained earnings (or other component of equity, as appropriate) of the reporting period that includes the date of initial application.
  4. The accounting for the time value of options in accordance with paragraph 6.5.15 applies only to the extent that the time value relates to the hedged item (aligned time value). The time value of an option relates to the hedged item if the critical terms of the option (such as the nominal amount, life and underlying) are aligned with the hedged item. Hence, if the critical terms of the option and the hedged item are not fully aligned, an entity shall determine the aligned time value, ie how much of the time value included in the premium (actual time value) relates to the hedged item (and therefore should be treated in accordance with paragraph 6.5.15). An entity determines the aligned time value using the valuation of the option that would have critical terms that perfectly match the hedged item.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.

Conclusions

TWENTYFOUR SELECT MONTHLY INCOME FUND LIMITED is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating. TWENTYFOUR SELECT MONTHLY INCOME FUND LIMITED prediction model is evaluated with Modular Neural Network (Speculative Sentiment Analysis) and Ridge Regression1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the LON:SMIF stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy

LON:SMIF TWENTYFOUR SELECT MONTHLY INCOME FUND LIMITED Financial Analysis*

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba1Ba1
Income StatementBa1B2
Balance SheetCBa2
Leverage RatiosBaa2C
Cash FlowCaa2B3
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityB3Baa2

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 93 out of 100 with 606 signals.

References

  1. D. Bertsekas. Dynamic programming and optimal control. Athena Scientific, 1995.
  2. Chernozhukov V, Chetverikov D, Demirer M, Duflo E, Hansen C, Newey W. 2017. Double/debiased/ Neyman machine learning of treatment effects. Am. Econ. Rev. 107:261–65
  3. F. A. Oliehoek, M. T. J. Spaan, and N. A. Vlassis. Optimal and approximate q-value functions for decentralized pomdps. J. Artif. Intell. Res. (JAIR), 32:289–353, 2008
  4. Holland PW. 1986. Statistics and causal inference. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 81:945–60
  5. Abadie A, Cattaneo MD. 2018. Econometric methods for program evaluation. Annu. Rev. Econ. 10:465–503
  6. Dietterich TG. 2000. Ensemble methods in machine learning. In Multiple Classifier Systems: First International Workshop, Cagliari, Italy, June 21–23, pp. 1–15. Berlin: Springer
  7. Meinshausen N. 2007. Relaxed lasso. Comput. Stat. Data Anal. 52:374–93
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for LON:SMIF stock?
A: LON:SMIF stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Speculative Sentiment Analysis) and Ridge Regression
Q: Is LON:SMIF stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy LON:SMIF Stock.
Q: Is TWENTYFOUR SELECT MONTHLY INCOME FUND LIMITED stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for TWENTYFOUR SELECT MONTHLY INCOME FUND LIMITED is Buy and is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of LON:SMIF stock?
A: The consensus rating for LON:SMIF is Buy.
Q: What is the prediction period for LON:SMIF stock?
A: The prediction period for LON:SMIF is (n+16 weeks)

Premium

  • Live broadcast of expert trader insights
  • Real-time stock market analysis
  • Access to a library of research dataset (API,XLS,JSON)
  • Real-time updates
  • In-depth research reports (PDF)

Login
This project is licensed under the license; additional terms may apply.