WTW Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company Ordinary Shares Research Report

Outlook: Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company Ordinary Shares is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating.
Dominant Strategy : Sell
Time series to forecast n: 27 Feb 2023 for (n+4 weeks)
Methodology : Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis)

Abstract

Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company Ordinary Shares prediction model is evaluated with Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis) and Statistical Hypothesis Testing^1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the WTW stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Sell

Key Points

1. Market Outlook
2. How useful are statistical predictions?
3. How do predictive algorithms actually work?

WTW Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company Ordinary Shares Decision Process with Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis) where A is the set of discrete actions of WTW stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^1,2,3,4

F(Statistical Hypothesis Testing)^5,6,7= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& p_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & p_{1n}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{j1}& p_{j2}& \dots & p_{jn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{k1}& p_{k2}& \dots & p_{kn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{n1}& p_{n2}& \dots & p_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+4 weeks) $\begin{array}{l}\int e^x\mathrm{rx}\end{array}$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of WTW stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

WTW Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+4 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: WTW Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company Ordinary Shares
Time series to forecast n: 27 Feb 2023 for (n+4 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Sell

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

IFRS Reconciliation Adjustments for Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company Ordinary Shares

1. The fair value of a financial instrument at initial recognition is normally the transaction price (ie the fair value of the consideration given or received, see also paragraph B5.1.2A and IFRS 13). However, if part of the consideration given or received is for something other than the financial instrument, an entity shall measure the fair value of the financial instrument. For example, the fair value of a long-term loan or receivable that carries no interest can be measured as the present value of all future cash receipts discounted using the prevailing market rate(s) of interest for a similar instrument (similar as to currency, term, type of interest rate and other factors) with a similar credit rating. Any additional amount lent is an expense or a reduction of income unless it qualifies for recognition as some other type of asset.
2. Rebalancing does not apply if the risk management objective for a hedging relationship has changed. Instead, hedge accounting for that hedging relationship shall be discontinued (despite that an entity might designate a new hedging relationship that involves the hedging instrument or hedged item of the previous hedging relationship as described in paragraph B6.5.28).
3. The purpose of estimating expected credit losses is neither to estimate a worstcase scenario nor to estimate the best-case scenario. Instead, an estimate of expected credit losses shall always reflect the possibility that a credit loss occurs and the possibility that no credit loss occurs even if the most likely outcome is no credit loss.
4. When determining whether the recognition of lifetime expected credit losses is required, an entity shall consider reasonable and supportable information that is available without undue cost or effort and that may affect the credit risk on a financial instrument in accordance with paragraph 5.5.17(c). An entity need not undertake an exhaustive search for information when determining whether credit risk has increased significantly since initial recognition.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.

Conclusions

Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company Ordinary Shares is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating. Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company Ordinary Shares prediction model is evaluated with Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis) and Statistical Hypothesis Testing^1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the WTW stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Sell

WTW Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company Ordinary Shares Financial Analysis*

Rating	Short-Term	Long-Term Senior
Outlook*	Ba1	Ba1
Income Statement	Ba3	Baa2
Balance Sheet	Caa2	C
Leverage Ratios	B3	Baa2
Cash Flow	C	Baa2
Rates of Return and Profitability	Caa2	B3

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 93 out of 100 with 646 signals.

References

1. Ashley, R. (1983), "On the usefulness of macroeconomic forecasts as inputs to forecasting models," Journal of Forecasting, 2, 211–223.
2. Bertsimas D, King A, Mazumder R. 2016. Best subset selection via a modern optimization lens. Ann. Stat. 44:813–52
3. Abadie A, Cattaneo MD. 2018. Econometric methods for program evaluation. Annu. Rev. Econ. 10:465–503
4. Hastie T, Tibshirani R, Friedman J. 2009. The Elements of Statistical Learning. Berlin: Springer
5. Varian HR. 2014. Big data: new tricks for econometrics. J. Econ. Perspect. 28:3–28
6. N. B ̈auerle and A. Mundt. Dynamic mean-risk optimization in a binomial model. Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, 70(2):219–239, 2009.
7. Athey S. 2017. Beyond prediction: using big data for policy problems. Science 355:483–85

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for WTW stock?
A: WTW stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis) and Statistical Hypothesis Testing
Q: Is WTW stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell WTW Stock.
Q: Is Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company Ordinary Shares stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company Ordinary Shares is Sell and is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of WTW stock?
A: The consensus rating for WTW is Sell.
Q: What is the prediction period for WTW stock?
A: The prediction period for WTW is (n+4 weeks)

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