Modelling A.I. in Economics

Buy, sell or hold: TTWO Stock Forecast

Abstract

We evaluate Take-Two Interactive prediction models with Inductive Learning (ML) and Logistic Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the TTWO stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell TTWO stock.


Keywords: TTWO, Take-Two Interactive, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. How do predictive algorithms actually work?
  2. What are the most successful trading algorithms?
  3. What are buy sell or hold recommendations?

TTWO Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Take-Two Interactive Stock Decision Process with Logistic Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of TTWO stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Logistic Regression)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Inductive Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+1 year) R = 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of TTWO stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

TTWO Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+1 year)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: TTWO Take-Two Interactive
Time series to forecast n: 05 Sep 2022 for (n+1 year)

According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell TTWO stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

Take-Two Interactive assigned short-term B1 & long-term Baa2 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Inductive Learning (ML) with Logistic Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the TTWO stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell TTWO stock.

Financial State Forecast for TTWO Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B1Baa2
Operational Risk 6580
Market Risk5270
Technical Analysis5088
Fundamental Analysis5990
Risk Unsystematic7487

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 76 out of 100 with 682 signals.

References

  1. Chernozhukov V, Escanciano JC, Ichimura H, Newey WK. 2016b. Locally robust semiparametric estimation. arXiv:1608.00033 [math.ST]
  2. Banerjee, A., J. J. Dolado, J. W. Galbraith, D. F. Hendry (1993), Co-integration, Error-correction, and the Econometric Analysis of Non-stationary Data. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  3. Banerjee, A., J. J. Dolado, J. W. Galbraith, D. F. Hendry (1993), Co-integration, Error-correction, and the Econometric Analysis of Non-stationary Data. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  4. S. Bhatnagar, R. Sutton, M. Ghavamzadeh, and M. Lee. Natural actor-critic algorithms. Automatica, 45(11): 2471–2482, 2009
  5. Byron, R. P. O. Ashenfelter (1995), "Predicting the quality of an unborn grange," Economic Record, 71, 40–53.
  6. Chernozhukov V, Newey W, Robins J. 2018c. Double/de-biased machine learning using regularized Riesz representers. arXiv:1802.08667 [stat.ML]
  7. Robins J, Rotnitzky A. 1995. Semiparametric efficiency in multivariate regression models with missing data. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 90:122–29
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for TTWO stock?
A: TTWO stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Inductive Learning (ML) and Logistic Regression
Q: Is TTWO stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell TTWO Stock.
Q: Is Take-Two Interactive stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Take-Two Interactive is Sell and assigned short-term B1 & long-term Baa2 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of TTWO stock?
A: The consensus rating for TTWO is Sell.
Q: What is the prediction period for TTWO stock?
A: The prediction period for TTWO is (n+1 year)

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