## Abstract

**We evaluate Philip Morris International prediction models with Inductive Learning (ML) and Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the PM stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold PM stock.**

**PM, Philip Morris International, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- What are buy sell or hold recommendations?
- Market Outlook
- Dominated Move

## PM Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Philip Morris International Stock Decision Process with Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test where A is the set of discrete actions of PM stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Inductive Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+16 weeks) $R=\left(\begin{array}{ccc}1& 0& 0\\ 0& 1& 0\\ 0& 0& 1\end{array}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of PM stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## PM Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+16 weeks)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**PM Philip Morris International

**Time series to forecast n: 03 Sep 2022**for (n+16 weeks)

**According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold PM stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

Philip Morris International assigned short-term B1 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Inductive Learning (ML) with Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the PM stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold PM stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for PM Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | B1 | B3 |

Operational Risk | 52 | 46 |

Market Risk | 68 | 40 |

Technical Analysis | 33 | 81 |

Fundamental Analysis | 80 | 30 |

Risk Unsystematic | 57 | 41 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for PM stock?A: PM stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Inductive Learning (ML) and Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test

Q: Is PM stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold PM Stock.

Q: Is Philip Morris International stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Philip Morris International is Hold and assigned short-term B1 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of PM stock?

A: The consensus rating for PM is Hold.

Q: What is the prediction period for PM stock?

A: The prediction period for PM is (n+16 weeks)