Abstract
We evaluate Gentex prediction models with Statistical Inference (ML) and Sign Test1,2,3,4 and conclude that the GNTX stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold GNTX stock.
Keywords: GNTX, Gentex, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.
Key Points
- Can neural networks predict stock market?
- How do you decide buy or sell a stock?
- How do predictive algorithms actually work?
GNTX Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology
We consider Gentex Stock Decision Process with Sign Test where A is the set of discrete actions of GNTX stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4
F(Sign Test)5,6,7= X R(Statistical Inference (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+1 year)
n:Time series to forecast
p:Price signals of GNTX stock
j:Nash equilibria
k:Dominated move
a:Best response for target price
For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:
How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?
GNTX Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+1 year)
Sample Set: Neural NetworkStock/Index: GNTX Gentex
Time series to forecast n: 02 Sep 2022 for (n+1 year)
According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold GNTX stock.
X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)
Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)
Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%
Conclusions
Gentex assigned short-term Caa2 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) with Sign Test1,2,3,4 and conclude that the GNTX stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold GNTX stock.
Financial State Forecast for GNTX Stock Options & Futures
| Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
|---|---|---|
| Outlook* | Caa2 | B2 |
| Operational Risk | 30 | 49 |
| Market Risk | 30 | 37 |
| Technical Analysis | 30 | 54 |
| Fundamental Analysis | 47 | 66 |
| Risk Unsystematic | 67 | 46 |
Prediction Confidence Score
References
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- Athey S. 2019. The impact of machine learning on economics. In The Economics of Artificial Intelligence: An Agenda, ed. AK Agrawal, J Gans, A Goldfarb. Chicago: Univ. Chicago Press. In press
- V. Borkar. Stochastic approximation: a dynamical systems viewpoint. Cambridge University Press, 2008
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- Artis, M. J. W. Zhang (1990), "BVAR forecasts for the G-7," International Journal of Forecasting, 6, 349–362.
- Holland PW. 1986. Statistics and causal inference. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 81:945–60
- Mazumder R, Hastie T, Tibshirani R. 2010. Spectral regularization algorithms for learning large incomplete matrices. J. Mach. Learn. Res. 11:2287–322
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is the prediction methodology for GNTX stock?A: GNTX stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) and Sign Test
Q: Is GNTX stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold GNTX Stock.
Q: Is Gentex stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Gentex is Hold and assigned short-term Caa2 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of GNTX stock?
A: The consensus rating for GNTX is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for GNTX stock?
A: The prediction period for GNTX is (n+1 year)