Guidewire Stock Forecast, Price & Rating (GWRE)

Abstract

We evaluate Guidewire prediction models with Statistical Inference (ML) and Sign Test^1,2,3,4 and conclude that the GWRE stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy GWRE stock.

Keywords: GWRE, Guidewire, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

1. Probability Distribution
2. Stock Forecast Based On a Predictive Algorithm
3. What is a prediction confidence?

GWRE Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Guidewire Stock Decision Process with Sign Test where A is the set of discrete actions of GWRE stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^1,2,3,4

F(Sign Test)^5,6,7= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& p_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & p_{1n}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{j1}& p_{j2}& \dots & p_{jn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{k1}& p_{k2}& \dots & p_{kn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{n1}& p_{n2}& \dots & p_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Statistical Inference (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+4 weeks) $\sum _{i=1}^n\left(s_i\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of GWRE stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

GWRE Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+4 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: GWRE Guidewire
Time series to forecast n: 05 Sep 2022 for (n+4 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy GWRE stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%

Conclusions

Guidewire assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) with Sign Test^1,2,3,4 and conclude that the GWRE stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy GWRE stock.

Financial State Forecast for GWRE Stock Options & Futures

Rating	Short-Term	Long-Term Senior
Outlook*	Ba3	B1
Operational Risk	84	40
Market Risk	84	72
Technical Analysis	89	44
Fundamental Analysis	45	90
Risk Unsystematic	34	50

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 83 out of 100 with 636 signals.

References

1. Chernozhukov V, Escanciano JC, Ichimura H, Newey WK. 2016b. Locally robust semiparametric estimation. arXiv:1608.00033 [math.ST]
2. Van der Vaart AW. 2000. Asymptotic Statistics. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge Univ. Press
3. V. Borkar. A sensitivity formula for the risk-sensitive cost and the actor-critic algorithm. Systems & Control Letters, 44:339–346, 2001
4. Byron, R. P. O. Ashenfelter (1995), "Predicting the quality of an unborn grange," Economic Record, 71, 40–53.
5. Armstrong, J. S. M. C. Grohman (1972), "A comparative study of methods for long-range market forecasting," Management Science, 19, 211–221.
6. Imbens G, Wooldridge J. 2009. Recent developments in the econometrics of program evaluation. J. Econ. Lit. 47:5–86
7. Li L, Chen S, Kleban J, Gupta A. 2014. Counterfactual estimation and optimization of click metrics for search engines: a case study. In Proceedings of the 24th International Conference on the World Wide Web, pp. 929–34. New York: ACM

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for GWRE stock?
A: GWRE stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) and Sign Test
Q: Is GWRE stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy GWRE Stock.
Q: Is Guidewire stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Guidewire is Buy and assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of GWRE stock?
A: The consensus rating for GWRE is Buy.
Q: What is the prediction period for GWRE stock?
A: The prediction period for GWRE is (n+4 weeks)

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