## Abstract

**We evaluate Guidewire prediction models with Statistical Inference (ML) and Sign Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the GWRE stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy GWRE stock.**

**GWRE, Guidewire, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- Probability Distribution
- Stock Forecast Based On a Predictive Algorithm
- What is a prediction confidence?

## GWRE Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Guidewire Stock Decision Process with Sign Test where A is the set of discrete actions of GWRE stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and Î³ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Sign Test)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Statistical Inference (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+4 weeks) $\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left({s}_{i}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of GWRE stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## GWRE Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+4 weeks)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**GWRE Guidewire

**Time series to forecast n: 05 Sep 2022**for (n+4 weeks)

**According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy GWRE stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

Guidewire assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) with Sign Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the GWRE stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy GWRE stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for GWRE Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | Ba3 | B1 |

Operational Risk | 84 | 40 |

Market Risk | 84 | 72 |

Technical Analysis | 89 | 44 |

Fundamental Analysis | 45 | 90 |

Risk Unsystematic | 34 | 50 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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- V. Borkar. A sensitivity formula for the risk-sensitive cost and the actor-critic algorithm. Systems & Control Letters, 44:339–346, 2001
- Byron, R. P. O. Ashenfelter (1995), "Predicting the quality of an unborn grange," Economic Record, 71, 40–53.
- Armstrong, J. S. M. C. Grohman (1972), "A comparative study of methods for long-range market forecasting," Management Science, 19, 211–221.
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## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for GWRE stock?A: GWRE stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) and Sign Test

Q: Is GWRE stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy GWRE Stock.

Q: Is Guidewire stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Guidewire is Buy and assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of GWRE stock?

A: The consensus rating for GWRE is Buy.

Q: What is the prediction period for GWRE stock?

A: The prediction period for GWRE is (n+4 weeks)