Modelling A.I. in Economics

Is LON:MYSL Stock Buy or Sell? (Stock Forecast)

Abstract

We evaluate MYSALE GROUP PLC prediction models with Deductive Inference (ML) and Spearman Correlation1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:MYSL stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:MYSL stock.


Keywords: LON:MYSL, MYSALE GROUP PLC, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. What statistical methods are used to analyze data?
  2. What is prediction in deep learning?
  3. Reaction Function

LON:MYSL Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider MYSALE GROUP PLC Stock Decision Process with Spearman Correlation where A is the set of discrete actions of LON:MYSL stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Spearman Correlation)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Deductive Inference (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+4 weeks) r s rs

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of LON:MYSL stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

LON:MYSL Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+4 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: LON:MYSL MYSALE GROUP PLC
Time series to forecast n: 05 Sep 2022 for (n+4 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:MYSL stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

MYSALE GROUP PLC assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Deductive Inference (ML) with Spearman Correlation1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:MYSL stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:MYSL stock.

Financial State Forecast for LON:MYSL Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba3B2
Operational Risk 8979
Market Risk7438
Technical Analysis4131
Fundamental Analysis3673
Risk Unsystematic8454

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 88 out of 100 with 741 signals.

References

  1. Kallus N. 2017. Balanced policy evaluation and learning. arXiv:1705.07384 [stat.ML]
  2. M. Colby, T. Duchow-Pressley, J. J. Chung, and K. Tumer. Local approximation of difference evaluation functions. In Proceedings of the Fifteenth International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems, Singapore, May 2016
  3. A. Shapiro, W. Tekaya, J. da Costa, and M. Soares. Risk neutral and risk averse stochastic dual dynamic programming method. European journal of operational research, 224(2):375–391, 2013
  4. Vapnik V. 2013. The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory. Berlin: Springer
  5. Bessler, D. A. S. W. Fuller (1993), "Cointegration between U.S. wheat markets," Journal of Regional Science, 33, 481–501.
  6. Hornik K, Stinchcombe M, White H. 1989. Multilayer feedforward networks are universal approximators. Neural Netw. 2:359–66
  7. Rosenbaum PR, Rubin DB. 1983. The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects. Biometrika 70:41–55
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for LON:MYSL stock?
A: LON:MYSL stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Deductive Inference (ML) and Spearman Correlation
Q: Is LON:MYSL stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:MYSL Stock.
Q: Is MYSALE GROUP PLC stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for MYSALE GROUP PLC is Hold and assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of LON:MYSL stock?
A: The consensus rating for LON:MYSL is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for LON:MYSL stock?
A: The prediction period for LON:MYSL is (n+4 weeks)

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