## Abstract

**We evaluate Pfizer prediction models with Supervised Machine Learning (ML) and Beta ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the PFE stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell PFE stock.**

**PFE, Pfizer, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- How do you pick a stock?
- What is a prediction confidence?
- Is now good time to invest?

## PFE Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Pfizer Stock Decision Process with Beta where A is the set of discrete actions of PFE stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and Î³ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Beta)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Supervised Machine Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+1 year) $\overrightarrow{R}=\left({r}_{1},{r}_{2},{r}_{3}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of PFE stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## PFE Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+1 year)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**PFE Pfizer

**Time series to forecast n: 06 Sep 2022**for (n+1 year)

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell PFE stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

Pfizer assigned short-term B1 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Supervised Machine Learning (ML) with Beta ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the PFE stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell PFE stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for PFE Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | B1 | B2 |

Operational Risk | 41 | 82 |

Market Risk | 75 | 40 |

Technical Analysis | 39 | 40 |

Fundamental Analysis | 79 | 74 |

Risk Unsystematic | 70 | 32 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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- Wooldridge JM. 2010. Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
- Abadir, K. M., K. Hadri E. Tzavalis (1999), "The influence of VAR dimensions on estimator biases," Econometrica, 67, 163–181.
- O. Bardou, N. Frikha, and G. Pag`es. Computing VaR and CVaR using stochastic approximation and adaptive unconstrained importance sampling. Monte Carlo Methods and Applications, 15(3):173–210, 2009.
- Wooldridge JM. 2010. Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
- J. Peters, S. Vijayakumar, and S. Schaal. Natural actor-critic. In Proceedings of the Sixteenth European Conference on Machine Learning, pages 280–291, 2005.
- Abadir, K. M., K. Hadri E. Tzavalis (1999), "The influence of VAR dimensions on estimator biases," Econometrica, 67, 163–181.

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for PFE stock?A: PFE stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Supervised Machine Learning (ML) and Beta

Q: Is PFE stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell PFE Stock.

Q: Is Pfizer stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Pfizer is Sell and assigned short-term B1 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of PFE stock?

A: The consensus rating for PFE is Sell.

Q: What is the prediction period for PFE stock?

A: The prediction period for PFE is (n+1 year)