Short/Long Term Stocks: LON:VOG Stock Forecast

Abstract

We evaluate VICTORIA OIL & GAS PLC prediction models with Inductive Learning (ML) and Factor^1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:VOG stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:VOG stock.

Keywords: LON:VOG, VICTORIA OIL & GAS PLC, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

1. Can stock prices be predicted?
2. What are main components of Markov decision process?
3. Which neural network is best for prediction?

LON:VOG Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider VICTORIA OIL & GAS PLC Stock Decision Process with Factor where A is the set of discrete actions of LON:VOG stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^1,2,3,4

F(Factor)^5,6,7= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& p_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & p_{1n}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{j1}& p_{j2}& \dots & p_{jn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{k1}& p_{k2}& \dots & p_{kn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{n1}& p_{n2}& \dots & p_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Inductive Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+6 month) $R=\left(\begin{array}{ccc}1& 0& 0\\ 0& 1& 0\\ 0& 0& 1\end{array}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of LON:VOG stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

LON:VOG Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+6 month)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: LON:VOG VICTORIA OIL & GAS PLC
Time series to forecast n: 07 Sep 2022 for (n+6 month)

According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:VOG stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%

Conclusions

VICTORIA OIL & GAS PLC assigned short-term B2 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Inductive Learning (ML) with Factor^1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:VOG stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:VOG stock.

Financial State Forecast for LON:VOG Stock Options & Futures

Rating	Short-Term	Long-Term Senior
Outlook*	B2	B3
Operational Risk	41	78
Market Risk	72	31
Technical Analysis	33	31
Fundamental Analysis	54	48
Risk Unsystematic	81	50

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 85 out of 100 with 469 signals.

References

1. Athey S, Bayati M, Imbens G, Zhaonan Q. 2019. Ensemble methods for causal effects in panel data settings. NBER Work. Pap. 25675
2. Chipman HA, George EI, McCulloch RE. 2010. Bart: Bayesian additive regression trees. Ann. Appl. Stat. 4:266–98
3. Mullainathan S, Spiess J. 2017. Machine learning: an applied econometric approach. J. Econ. Perspect. 31:87–106
4. Dietterich TG. 2000. Ensemble methods in machine learning. In Multiple Classifier Systems: First International Workshop, Cagliari, Italy, June 21–23, pp. 1–15. Berlin: Springer
5. Andrews, D. W. K. W. Ploberger (1994), "Optimal tests when a nuisance parameter is present only under the alternative," Econometrica, 62, 1383–1414.
6. K. Tuyls and G. Weiss. Multiagent learning: Basics, challenges, and prospects. AI Magazine, 33(3): 41–52, 2012
7. Tibshirani R, Hastie T. 1987. Local likelihood estimation. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 82:559–67

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for LON:VOG stock?
A: LON:VOG stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Inductive Learning (ML) and Factor
Q: Is LON:VOG stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:VOG Stock.
Q: Is VICTORIA OIL & GAS PLC stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for VICTORIA OIL & GAS PLC is Hold and assigned short-term B2 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of LON:VOG stock?
A: The consensus rating for LON:VOG is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for LON:VOG stock?
A: The prediction period for LON:VOG is (n+6 month)

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