## Abstract

**We evaluate Scotts Miracle-Gro Company prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis) and Chi-Square ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the SMG stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SMG stock.**

**SMG, Scotts Miracle-Gro Company, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- Investment Risk
- What is a prediction confidence?
- Should I buy stocks now or wait amid such uncertainty?

## SMG Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Scotts Miracle-Gro Company Stock Decision Process with Chi-Square where A is the set of discrete actions of SMG stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Chi-Square)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+1 year) $\overrightarrow{S}=\left({s}_{1},{s}_{2},{s}_{3}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of SMG stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## SMG Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+1 year)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro Company

**Time series to forecast n: 04 Sep 2022**for (n+1 year)

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SMG stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

Scotts Miracle-Gro Company assigned short-term B1 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis) with Chi-Square ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the SMG stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SMG stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for SMG Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | B1 | Ba3 |

Operational Risk | 39 | 76 |

Market Risk | 58 | 40 |

Technical Analysis | 74 | 42 |

Fundamental Analysis | 54 | 72 |

Risk Unsystematic | 70 | 89 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for SMG stock?A: SMG stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis) and Chi-Square

Q: Is SMG stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SMG Stock.

Q: Is Scotts Miracle-Gro Company stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Scotts Miracle-Gro Company is Hold and assigned short-term B1 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of SMG stock?

A: The consensus rating for SMG is Hold.

Q: What is the prediction period for SMG stock?

A: The prediction period for SMG is (n+1 year)