Abstract
We evaluate Scotts Miracle-Gro Company prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis) and Chi-Square1,2,3,4 and conclude that the SMG stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SMG stock.
Keywords: SMG, Scotts Miracle-Gro Company, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.
Key Points
- Investment Risk
- What is a prediction confidence?
- Should I buy stocks now or wait amid such uncertainty?

SMG Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology
We consider Scotts Miracle-Gro Company Stock Decision Process with Chi-Square where A is the set of discrete actions of SMG stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4
F(Chi-Square)5,6,7= X R(Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+1 year)
n:Time series to forecast
p:Price signals of SMG stock
j:Nash equilibria
k:Dominated move
a:Best response for target price
For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:
How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?
SMG Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+1 year)
Sample Set: Neural NetworkStock/Index: SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
Time series to forecast n: 04 Sep 2022 for (n+1 year)
According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SMG stock.
X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)
Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)
Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%
Conclusions
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company assigned short-term B1 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis) with Chi-Square1,2,3,4 and conclude that the SMG stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SMG stock.
Financial State Forecast for SMG Stock Options & Futures
Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|
Outlook* | B1 | Ba3 |
Operational Risk | 39 | 76 |
Market Risk | 58 | 40 |
Technical Analysis | 74 | 42 |
Fundamental Analysis | 54 | 72 |
Risk Unsystematic | 70 | 89 |
Prediction Confidence Score
References
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Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is the prediction methodology for SMG stock?A: SMG stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis) and Chi-Square
Q: Is SMG stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SMG Stock.
Q: Is Scotts Miracle-Gro Company stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Scotts Miracle-Gro Company is Hold and assigned short-term B1 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of SMG stock?
A: The consensus rating for SMG is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for SMG stock?
A: The prediction period for SMG is (n+1 year)