## Abstract

**We evaluate UGI Corp prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis) and Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the UGI stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold UGI stock.**

**UGI, UGI Corp, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- Fundemental Analysis with Algorithmic Trading
- Is it better to buy and sell or hold?
- What statistical methods are used to analyze data?

## UGI Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider UGI Corp Stock Decision Process with Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test where A is the set of discrete actions of UGI stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+4 weeks) $\begin{array}{l}\int {r}^{s}\mathrm{rs}\end{array}$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of UGI stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## UGI Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+4 weeks)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**UGI UGI Corp

**Time series to forecast n: 04 Sep 2022**for (n+4 weeks)

**According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold UGI stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

UGI Corp assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba2 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis) with Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the UGI stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold UGI stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for UGI Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | B2 | Ba2 |

Operational Risk | 32 | 85 |

Market Risk | 77 | 87 |

Technical Analysis | 64 | 75 |

Fundamental Analysis | 45 | 49 |

Risk Unsystematic | 48 | 48 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for UGI stock?A: UGI stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis) and Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test

Q: Is UGI stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold UGI Stock.

Q: Is UGI Corp stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for UGI Corp is Hold and assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba2 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of UGI stock?

A: The consensus rating for UGI is Hold.

Q: What is the prediction period for UGI stock?

A: The prediction period for UGI is (n+4 weeks)